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Confidence Intervals and Sample Size

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lu49076_ch07.qxd 5/20/2003 3:16 PM Page 357<br />

Example 7–15<br />

Exercises 7–5<br />

Hence, one can be 95% confident that the true variance for the nicotine content is<br />

between 1.5 <strong>and</strong> 5.5.<br />

For the st<strong>and</strong>ard deviation, the confidence interval is<br />

�1.5 � s � �5.5<br />

1.2 � s � 2.3<br />

Hence, one can be 95% confident that the true st<strong>and</strong>ard deviation for the nicotine content<br />

of all cigarettes manufactured is between 1.2 <strong>and</strong> 2.3 milligrams based on a sample<br />

of 20 cigarettes.<br />

Find the 90% confidence interval for the variance <strong>and</strong> st<strong>and</strong>ard deviation for the<br />

price in dollars of an adult single-day ski lift ticket. The data represent a selected<br />

sample of nationwide ski resorts. Assume the variable is normally distributed.<br />

59 54 53 52 51<br />

39 49 46 49 48<br />

Source: USA TODAY.<br />

Solution<br />

Section 7–5 <strong>Confidence</strong> <strong>Intervals</strong> for Variances <strong>and</strong> St<strong>and</strong>ard Deviations 357<br />

STEP 1 Find the variance for the data. Use the formulas in Chapter 3 or your<br />

calculator. The variance s 2 � 28.2.<br />

STEP 2 Find x 2 right <strong>and</strong> x 2 left from Table G in Appendix C. Since a � 0.10, the two<br />

critical values are 3.325 <strong>and</strong> 16.919, using d.f. � 9 <strong>and</strong> 0.95 <strong>and</strong> 0.05.<br />

STEP 3 Substitute in the formula <strong>and</strong> solve.<br />

�n � 1�s2 �2 � s<br />

right<br />

2 �n � 1�s2<br />

�<br />

�2 left<br />

�10 � 1��28.2�<br />

16.919<br />

� s2 �10 � 1��28.2�<br />

�<br />

3.325<br />

15.0 � s2 � 76.3<br />

For the st<strong>and</strong>ard deviation<br />

�15 � s � �76.3<br />

3.87 � s � 8.73<br />

Hence one can be 90% confident that the st<strong>and</strong>ard deviation for the price of all single-day<br />

ski lift tickets of the population is between $3.87 <strong>and</strong> $8.73 based on a sample of 10 nationwide<br />

ski resorts. (Two decimal places are used since the data are in dollars <strong>and</strong> cents.)<br />

Note: If you are using the st<strong>and</strong>ard deviation instead (as in Example 7–14) of the<br />

variance, be sure to square the st<strong>and</strong>ard deviation when substituting in the formula.<br />

1. What distribution must be used when computing<br />

confidence intervals for variances <strong>and</strong> st<strong>and</strong>ard deviations?<br />

2. What assumption must be made when computing<br />

confidence intervals for variances <strong>and</strong> st<strong>and</strong>ard deviations?<br />

7–33

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