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Risk Management and Governance for PFI Project ... - Title Page - MIT

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Classification Examples<br />

<strong>Risk</strong><br />

classification by<br />

stage<br />

<strong>Risk</strong><br />

classification by<br />

business<br />

<strong>Risk</strong><br />

classification by<br />

cause<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> Treatment<br />

Table 7: <strong>Risk</strong> Classification <strong>and</strong> Examples<br />

1. Commercialization planning stage<br />

2. Facility design <strong>and</strong> construction stage<br />

3. Operation <strong>and</strong> maintenance stage<br />

4. Completion stage<br />

1. Completion risk Construction cost/period <strong>and</strong> quality, etc.<br />

2. Production risk Operation, maintenance, etc.<br />

3. Market risk Dem<strong>and</strong> <strong>for</strong>ecast, actual support, etc.<br />

(External risk)<br />

1. Economic cause Prices, interest rates, exchange rate, etc.<br />

2. Political cause Regime change, tax, law, regulations, etc.<br />

3. Cause by natural phenomena Geology, meteorology, disasters, etc.<br />

(Internal risk)<br />

4. Social cause Labor issues, environmental issues, etc.<br />

5. Technical cause Safety, reliability rate, innovation, etc.<br />

6. Cause by partner <strong>Management</strong> foundation, reliability, etc.<br />

7. Cause by team/human Consultant, leader<br />

Source: Nagoya Urban Institute. (2008). Research on <strong>PFI</strong>.<br />

After analyzing <strong>and</strong> assessing the risks, the way to respond to these risks should be considered.<br />

The potential risk treatments include the following four measures: (1) avoidance, (2) reduction,<br />

(3) retention, <strong>and</strong> (4) transfer. Table 8 shows a concrete example <strong>and</strong> summary of how to<br />

respond to these risks. These measures are not uni<strong>for</strong>m, but it is customary to address the risk<br />

by combining multiple measures.<br />

As stated above, this section describes an overview of the general process of risk management<br />

from risk perception to risk treatment. In Japan, risk management is implemented in<br />

accordance with the principles of these procedures; however, there remain various challenges<br />

<strong>for</strong> risk allocation, contract expertise, risk workshops, <strong>and</strong> monitoring of financial institutions.<br />

In the following section, risk management-related issues will be analyzed in more detail from<br />

these four viewpoints by exploring the individual risks in real cases, which were discussed in<br />

Chapter 3.<br />

54

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