Avgangsalder og pensjoneringsmønster i staten - Nova

changed and vary between occupational groups and services. This is an
alternative method which provides better statistical control for the age
composition of the employees and those retiring. Various types of retirement
routes are also investigated using competing risk (multi nominal) discrete
time models. By and large, the different statistical methods provide
consistent results, with a slight exception when comparing state branches/
services and some individual years.
The age distribution of state employees is almost uniform from age 50
to 60. The number of employees drops sharply, however, in the age brackets
above 60. This drop reflects that many employees start retiring from their
early 60s and (in addition) that cohorts born after Wold War II are much
larger than those born up to 1945.
Survival curves show that some retire already at age 57, typically men
working in the police force and the military services. Most other groups can
retire only from age 62. More men than women retire before 62 but more
men than women also tend to work after 66. Women retire most typically
between 62 and 66 years. Surviving curves also show that people retired later
in 2006/2007 than in 2001/2002. In particular, fewer people retired in the
age bracket 62–64 in 2006/2007 compared to similar age groups five years
before. Also average retirement age among retirees and discrete time models
indicate that people retired later over the study period. Average retirement
age increased from 61.3 in 2001/2002 to 62.4 in 2006/2007. The retirement
age increased more strongly among women than men. In 2001/2002 women
retired earlier than men, in 2006/2007 women retired later than men did.
The analysis distinguishes between 13 occupational groups and 22
governmental services. The largest occupational group is ‘executive officers’,
people who are responsible for dealing with various types of applications.
Universities and higher education is the largest service. Police and military
personnel retire earlier than any other occupational group, whereas
university/college teachers and researchers retire latest. Among services, it is
also the police who retire earliest whereas the Ministry of Foreign Affairs has
the oldest retirees. Linear regression models indicate that the very low
retirement age among police and military personnel is explained by the high
frequency of special age limits which apply to these groups. Retirement age is
58
– NOVA Rapport 1/2009 –