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Annual Report and Accounts 2009 - BG Group

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6<br />

Directors’ <strong>Report</strong>: Business Review<br />

Chairman’s statement<br />

Global economic conditions were notably<br />

challenging in <strong>2009</strong>, with adverse consequences<br />

for energy dem<strong>and</strong> in some of <strong>BG</strong> <strong>Group</strong>’s<br />

key markets. Despite this, <strong>BG</strong> <strong>Group</strong>’s<br />

performance over the year was solid. Total<br />

operating profit* of £4 211 million was 21%<br />

lower year-on-year against a background of<br />

significant reductions in international<br />

benchmark oil <strong>and</strong> gas prices. Earnings per<br />

share were 27% lower at 67.3 pence. The<br />

<strong>Group</strong> continues to benefit from strong cash<br />

flows. Gearing is higher than in previous years<br />

but at 17% remains within the range that the<br />

<strong>Group</strong> considers to be appropriate. The<br />

full-year dividend payment has been<br />

increased by 10% to 12.35 pence per share.<br />

Full details of the <strong>Group</strong>’s <strong>2009</strong> financial<br />

performance can be found on page 69.<br />

<strong>BG</strong> <strong>Group</strong> enjoyed continued exploration<br />

success, particularly offshore Brazil,<br />

strengthening further the <strong>Group</strong>’s platform<br />

for growth through the new decade. During<br />

the year, the <strong>Group</strong> acquired Pure Energy<br />

Resources Limited in Australia <strong>and</strong> entered<br />

into an alliance with EXCO Resources, Inc.<br />

(“EXCO”), a US shale gas producer with<br />

upstream <strong>and</strong> transmission assets at the<br />

heart of the world’s largest gas market.<br />

Market context<br />

Although timely intervention by governments<br />

prevented the 2008 banking crisis from<br />

tipping the global economy into collapse, the<br />

new decade begins with many economies<br />

weighed down by a range of recessionary<br />

factors. These include a reduction in industrial<br />

activity, growing unemployment <strong>and</strong> a fall<br />

in consumer confidence, leading to lower<br />

dem<strong>and</strong> for goods <strong>and</strong> services in the major<br />

consumer markets. Additionally, a number of<br />

countries, including the UK, enter the decade<br />

with very high levels of national debt <strong>and</strong><br />

huge fiscal deficits.<br />

Oil prices partially recovered through the<br />

year from the lows of late 2008, <strong>and</strong> appear<br />

to have stabilised at levels which, while<br />

significantly lower than the summer 2008<br />

www.bg-group.com<br />

A solid performance despite<br />

notably challenging global<br />

economic conditions.<br />

Sir Robert Wilson<br />

Chairman<br />

* For a reconciliation between Business Performance <strong>and</strong> Total Results, see note 2, page 77.<br />

peak, seem to be broadly sustainable, at least<br />

under current market conditions. However,<br />

gas prices remain subdued – a factor reflected<br />

in the <strong>Group</strong>’s <strong>2009</strong> earnings.<br />

The present weak level of global energy<br />

dem<strong>and</strong> has led to talk of a natural gas ‘glut’<br />

as new sources of supply continue to come<br />

onstream <strong>and</strong> producers compete to secure<br />

customers in a buyer’s market. There is in<br />

some markets a mismatch between capacity<br />

<strong>and</strong> dem<strong>and</strong> at the moment. However,<br />

this may not last long if, as anticipated,<br />

momentum is restored to global economic<br />

growth in the early years of this decade.<br />

There are two other relevant factors.<br />

First, despite the weak conclusions of the<br />

Copenhagen summit, political leaders still<br />

face an urgent need to define credible <strong>and</strong><br />

deliverable policies which will meet current<br />

<strong>and</strong> future national energy requirements,<br />

while simultaneously achieving a significant<br />

reduction in carbon emissions. Second, US<br />

<strong>and</strong> European concerns about energy<br />

security are driving a desire to secure new<br />

<strong>and</strong> sustainable sources of energy which are<br />

free from the threat of politically-motivated<br />

supply constraints.<br />

Natural gas goes some way to addressing<br />

both of those policy issues. It is acknowledged<br />

to be a ‘bridge fuel’ with a role to play in<br />

displacing higher-carbon fossil fuels, such<br />

as coal, which remain the energy sources<br />

of choice across much of the world. Gas<br />

resources are abundant <strong>and</strong> for many years<br />

have been brought to market using<br />

techniques that are proven <strong>and</strong> cost-effective,<br />

unlike a number of alternative energy<br />

technologies. Finally, from an energy<br />

security perspective, it is important not to<br />

underestimate the significance of liquefied<br />

natural gas (LNG) – an increasingly fungible<br />

global commodity with diverse <strong>and</strong> resilient<br />

global sources of supply – as well as the rapid<br />

development of unconventional gas resources<br />

within the borders of developed world<br />

nations, particularly the USA <strong>and</strong> Australia.<br />

The pace of gas usage growth in China – one<br />

of the world’s largest economies – is just one<br />

indication that the new decade is likely to see<br />

further growth in dem<strong>and</strong> for the cleanest<br />

of the fossil fuels. I believe that <strong>BG</strong> <strong>Group</strong>,<br />

as a global gas company, is strongly placed to<br />

benefit as natural gas continues to underpin<br />

the journey to a lower-carbon future.<br />

A strengthened <strong>and</strong> rebalanced portfolio<br />

A challenge shared by all oil <strong>and</strong> gas<br />

companies is that a substantial proportion<br />

of global hydrocarbon resources is located<br />

within developing economies. Over the last<br />

three years, the <strong>Group</strong> has rebalanced its<br />

portfolio to ensure that future growth has<br />

a firm foundation in countries with a long<br />

track record of stability. That does not imply,<br />

though, that <strong>BG</strong> <strong>Group</strong> will avoid all<br />

countries where there is an element of risk.<br />

Doing so would not be tenable in this<br />

industry, nor would it be in our shareholders’<br />

wider interests.<br />

I am pleased to report that the <strong>Group</strong><br />

continues to make important improvements<br />

in its overall geopolitical risk profile in order<br />

to protect, as well as create, value for our<br />

shareholders. The rapid development of the<br />

<strong>Group</strong>’s QGC business in Australia <strong>and</strong> the<br />

Santos Basin successes in Brazil are two key<br />

outcomes from this deliberate strategy to<br />

establish new opportunities for material value<br />

creation in countries proven to be favourable<br />

destinations for long-term investment.<br />

<strong>BG</strong> <strong>Group</strong>’s alliance with EXCO in the USA is<br />

intended to achieve two interlocking aims.<br />

First, it strengthens the <strong>Group</strong>’s US supply<br />

portfolio <strong>and</strong> expertise near the hub of the<br />

US eastern seaboard gas market. Second, it<br />

exp<strong>and</strong>s the <strong>Group</strong>’s skills <strong>and</strong> development<br />

opportunities in unconventional gas resources at<br />

a time when, as a consequence of technological<br />

developments, these are emerging rapidly as<br />

substantial sources of natural gas production.<br />

An overview of developments in <strong>BG</strong> <strong>Group</strong>’s<br />

portfolio is set out in the Operating Review on<br />

pages 16 to 23.

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