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GM Crops: The First Ten Years - International Service for the ...

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size. <strong>The</strong> analysis found that mean adoption rates appeared to increase with size of operation<br />

<strong>for</strong> herbicide tolerant crops (soybeans and maize) up to 50 hectares in size and <strong>the</strong>n were<br />

fairly stable, whilst <strong>for</strong> Bt maize adoption appeared to increase with size. This analysis did,<br />

however not take into o<strong>the</strong>r factors affecting adoption such as education, awareness of<br />

new technology and willingness to adopt, income, access to credit and whe<strong>the</strong>r a farm<br />

was full or part time - all <strong>the</strong>se are considered to affect adoption yet are also often correlated<br />

to size of farm. Overall, <strong>the</strong> study suggested that farm size has not been an important<br />

factor influencing adoption of <strong>GM</strong> crops;<br />

• Brookes (2002) identified in Spain that <strong>the</strong> average size of farmer adopting Bt maize was 50<br />

hectares and that many were much smaller than this (under 20 hectares). Size was not<br />

<strong>the</strong>re<strong>for</strong>e considered to be an important factor affecting adoption, with many small farmers<br />

using <strong>the</strong> technology;<br />

• Brookes (2003) also identified in Romania that <strong>the</strong> average size of farmer adopting HT<br />

soybeans was not related to size of farm;<br />

• Pray et al (2002). This research into <strong>GM</strong> insect resistant cotton adoption in China illustrated<br />

that adoption has been by mostly small farmers (<strong>the</strong> average cotton grower in China plants<br />

between 0.3 and 0.5 ha of cotton);<br />

• Adopters of insect resistant cotton and maize in South Africa have been drawn from both<br />

large and small farmers (see Morse et al 2005, Ismael et al 2002).<br />

Overall, <strong>the</strong> nature of findings from most studies where <strong>the</strong> nature and size of adopter has been a<br />

focus of research has shown that size of farm has not been a factor affecting use of <strong>GM</strong> technology.<br />

Both large and small farmers have adopted. Size of operation has not been a barrier to adoption<br />

and in 2005, 8.5 million farmers were using <strong>the</strong> technology globally, 90% of which were resourcepoor<br />

farmers in developing countries.<br />

3.10 Trade flows and related issues<br />

<strong>GM</strong> <strong>Crops</strong>: <strong>The</strong> <strong>First</strong> <strong>Ten</strong> <strong>Years</strong><br />

a) Share of global production<br />

As indicated in section 2, in 2005, <strong>GM</strong> plantings accounted <strong>for</strong> 29% of <strong>the</strong> global area planted to<br />

<strong>the</strong> crops of soybeans, maize, cotton and canola. At <strong>the</strong> crop level, <strong>the</strong> <strong>GM</strong> share of global plantings<br />

was 59%, 13%, 27% and 18% respectively <strong>for</strong> soybeans, maize, cotton and canola.<br />

b) Share of global exports<br />

Looking at <strong>the</strong> extent to which <strong>the</strong> leading <strong>GM</strong> producing countries are traders (exporters) of <strong>the</strong>se<br />

crops and key derivatives (Table 26 and Table 27) show <strong>the</strong> following:<br />

• Soybeans: in 2005, 30% of global production was exported and 98% of this trade came<br />

from countries which grow <strong>GM</strong> soybeans. Assuming that <strong>the</strong> same proportion of production<br />

in <strong>the</strong>se <strong>GM</strong> exporting countries that was <strong>GM</strong> in 2005 was also exported, <strong>the</strong>n 77% of<br />

globally traded soybeans was <strong>GM</strong>, although if it is assumed that <strong>the</strong>re is no active segregation<br />

of exported soybeans from <strong>the</strong>se countries into <strong>GM</strong> versus non <strong>GM</strong> product (ie, exported<br />

37

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