The tenth IMSC, Beijing, China, 2007 - International Meetings on ...

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Speaker: Yi Wang............................................................................................................89 Parallel Sessions: ENSO and Monsoon ..........................................................................................90 <strong>The</strong> preparation of the colza suitability map using statistical analysis and GIS .....................90 Speaker: Hamed Adab.....................................................................................................90 Multi-scale analysis of the surface energy balance during the corn growing season, and a new reason for energy unclosed......................................................................................................90 Speaker: Jianxia Guo.......................................................................................................90 Effects of land cover change on East Asian summer monsoon variability..............................91 Speaker: Eungul Lee .......................................................................................................91 Seasonal Prediction of Rainfall over Peninsular India using a Principal Component Regression Model ...................................................................................................................92 Speaker: Lorna R. Nayagam ...........................................................................................92 Long Range Forecasting of Monsoon Rainfall over Peninsular India for Recent Years.........93 Speaker: J Rajesh ............................................................................................................93 Monitoring and defining El Ni?o/Southern Oscillation behaviour with an enhanced Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) ............................................................................................93 Speaker: Klaus Wolter.....................................................................................................93 Parallel Sessions:Spatial statistics................................................................................................94 Interactions between dust clouds and meningitis epidemics in the Sahel: a geostatistical study .................................................................................................................................................94 Speaker: Béatrice Augereau ............................................................................................94 Estimation of the missing data by principal components analysis..........................................95 Speaker: L. Benaichata....................................................................................................95 Spatial interpolation of daily precipitation in <strong>China</strong>: 1951-2000............................................95 Speaker: Deliang Chen....................................................................................................95 Applications of Bayesian Networks in Climate ......................................................................96 Speaker: Jose M. Gutierrez .............................................................................................96 Space-time Modeling of Biomass Burning and Regional Aerosols in Southeast Asia............97 Speaker: Tao Shi..............................................................................................................97 Construction and applications of 2-d digital filters for separating spatial scales ....................98 Speaker: Hans von Storch ...............................................................................................98 Parallel Sessions:Climate and Industry ........................................................................................98 Multi-scale analysis of the surface energy balance during the corn growing season, and a new reason for energy unclosed......................................................................................................98 Speaker: Jianxia Guo.......................................................................................................98 A Decision Tree Classification with Correlation-based Feature Selection for Decision Making in Conducting the Cloud Seeding Operations .........................................................................99 Speaker: Lily Ingsrisawang.............................................................................................99 Uncertain Climatic Land of Africa........................................................................................100 Speaker: Gordon Ondiek Nyabade................................................................................100 Estimating barley yield by means of drought indexes and climatic parameters in Eastern Azerbaijan using Artificial Neural Network .........................................................................101 8
Speaker: Elham Rahmani..............................................................................................101 Drought and its ecological effects in central of Gilan –south western of Caspian sea..........102 Speaker: Ramezani Gourabi, Bahman ..........................................................................102 A model of potential natural vegetation ................................................................................102 Speaker: Matteo Zampieri.............................................................................................102 Special AMS Session:Verification of Climate Forecasts............................................................103 Diagnostic and user-focused verification of seasonal and climate forecasts: Extensions from weather forecast verification methodologies.........................................................................103 Speaker: Barbara G. Brown...........................................................................................103 Locality and the Ranked Probability Score...........................................................................103 Speaker: Simon Mason .................................................................................................103 Verification of Seasonal to Secular Climate Forecasts.........................................104 Speaker: David Stephenson...........................................................................................104 Verification of Climate Forecasts (Discussion).....................................................................105 Speaker: Ian Jolliffe ......................................................................................................105 Beyond Ensembles: <strong>The</strong> Application and Improvement of Climate Simulations .................105 Speaker: Leonard Smith................................................................................................105 Poster Session ...............................................................................................................................105 Detected shift of Mediterranean cyclone tracks using the ERA-40 database........................105 Judit Bartholy................................................................................................................105 Regional climate change expected by the end of the 21st century in Central/Eastern Europe ...............................................................................................................................................106 J. Bartholy .....................................................................................................................106 Future changes of extreme events over Korea in regional projection...................................107 Kyung-On Boo..............................................................................................................107 Multi-scale statistic and dynamic model for annual streamflow of the Yangtze River at the Three Gorges Dam in <strong>China</strong>..................................................................................................107 CAO Liqing...................................................................................................................107 Climate Change in the Siberian High and Its Relationship to the East-Asian Monsoon ......108 Hong-xing Cao..............................................................................................................108 Long-term Probabilistic Forecast and T* Distribution..........................................................109 Shao-Hang Chu .............................................................................................................109 Spatial Drought Reconstruction Based On Point-By-Point Regression................................109 Edward R. Cook............................................................................................................109 High resolution modeling of the monsoon circulation in the Indian Ocean..........................110 N. A. Diansky................................................................................................................110 <strong>The</strong> Study of the Impacts of Meteorological Parameters on the Air Quality Index in the Esfahan City.......................................................................................................................... 111 Victoria Ezzatian ........................................................................................................... 111 Statistical Analysis of temporal variation of rainfall and evapotranspiration in several meteorological stations of Iran..............................................................................................112 Fathi. Mohammad .........................................................................................................112 Error Detection and Checking of Inhomogenities Basing on the Metadata in Uganda 9
Page 1 and 2: 1Oth International
Page 3: Preface It is truly a great pleasur
Page 6 and 7: Speaker: Dan Cooley................
Page 8 and 9: Speaker: Qian Li ..................
Page 10 and 11: Speaker: Ediang Okuku Archibong....
Page 14 and 15: Climatological Dataset.............
Page 16 and 17: Bridging the gap between simulated
Page 18 and 19: Invited Session: Spatial patterns o
Page 20 and 21: Joint Program on the Science and Po
Page 22 and 23: e to adopt a different calibrated l
Page 24 and 25: those retained, and [iii] performan
Page 26 and 27: A range of existing statistical app
Page 28 and 29: palaeo-environmental data from sout
Page 30 and 31: Whilst it has been noted that such
Page 32 and 33: State Key Laboratory of Numerical M
Page 34 and 35: address new policies for changing c
Page 36 and 37: and show promise for analyzing tren
Page 38 and 39: 1901-2005 with complete data of all
Page 40 and 41: Homogenization of daily meteorologi
Page 42 and 43: as Homogen Data, Gap, Index, Statis
Page 44 and 45: Penalized maximal t-test for detect
Page 46 and 47: Iran,Tehran, Azad university, Resea
Page 48 and 49: We present applications of several
Page 50 and 51: A 50-member ensemble is produced wi
Page 52 and 53: ichard@stats.ucl.ac.uk Nadja Leith
Page 54 and 55: Answering questions about empirical
Page 56 and 57: In a series of climate change impac
Page 58 and 59: climatological annual frequency of
Page 60 and 61: Detection of urban warming in recen
Page 62 and 63:
Detection of Human Influence on pan
Page 64 and 65:
Extending attribution studies: post
Page 66 and 67:
Francis W. Zwiers, Gabriele C. Hege
Page 68 and 69:
1, In the middle-pattern of El Niñ
Page 70 and 71:
convergence zone (ITCZ). Th
Page 72 and 73:
stationary waves occur in mid-latit
Page 74 and 75:
A multiple surrogate data study of
Page 76 and 77:
Linear and non-linear reconstructio
Page 78 and 79:
Pseudo-proxy tests of the regulariz
Page 80 and 81:
Parallel Sessions:Regional Studies
Page 82 and 83:
Iterative Interpolation of Daily Pr
Page 84 and 85:
disturbance in the natural ecosyste
Page 86 and 87:
Climate Risk Management in North-Ea
Page 88 and 89:
Analyzing of synoptic intence showe
Page 90 and 91:
chosen since it completely defines
Page 92 and 93:
The Roles of Ensem
Page 94 and 95:
The diagram shows
Page 96 and 97:
Empirical probabilistic seasonal fo
Page 98 and 99:
Rajesh J. Department of Atmospheric
Page 100 and 101:
Andrew Moore Uni. of California at
Page 102 and 103:
Parallel Sessions:Simulation tools
Page 104 and 105:
data can ever be generated. In fact
Page 106 and 107:
egion can be explained by the rando
Page 108 and 109:
on instantaneous time scales, respe
Page 110 and 111:
Key words:- principal component reg
Page 112 and 113:
een analysed with geostatistical to
Page 114 and 115:
Iberian Peninsula and with the corr
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89% during the 10 days of mid-June,
Page 118 and 119:
The paper examines
Page 120 and 121:
Special AMS Session:Verification of
Page 122 and 123:
Verification of Climate Forecasts (
Page 124 and 125:
the regional climate change is repr
Page 126 and 127:
model has been applied to the serie
Page 128 and 129:
are analyzed. It is shown that thes
Page 130 and 131:
stations in Iran. The</stro
Page 132 and 133:
The study of the U
Page 134 and 135:
Development and analysis of a daily
Page 136 and 137:
Fractal widely exists in nature, an
Page 138 and 139:
Rescue of historical climate data:
Page 140 and 141:
D. Semeradova Institute of Landscap
Page 142 and 143:
Kulkarni Ashwini, Sabade S S and Kr
Page 144 and 145:
The magnitude of t
Page 146 and 147:
Richard E. Chandler University Coll
Page 148 and 149:
convective cloud clusters when they
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1999; Smith et al, 2001; Gibbons, 2
Page 152 and 153:
dmanatsa@buse.ac.zw Wisemen Chingom
Page 154 and 155:
The Relation Betwe
Page 156 and 157:
conditioned on some indices of the
Page 158 and 159:
ari@ludens.elte.hu J. Bartholy Dept
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ainfall as predictand. Additionally
Page 162 and 163:
Impact of ENSO PHASES on Amazonia S
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time lag. Both perturbed analysis a
Page 166 and 167:
Relationship Between Ensemble Mean
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ways were considered. Four zones, f
Page 170 and 171:
- Monthly ratios of synthetic and o
Page 172 and 173:
Total ozone trends are typically st
Page 174 and 175:
Impact of Urban Expansion on Region
Page 176 and 177:
Calibrating and evaluating reanalys
Page 178:
To explore an optimal climate decis
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