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The tenth IMSC, Beijing, China, 2007 - International Meetings on ...

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For creating historical data of base a whole series of problems are solved.<br />

• Rescue of historical data, recording data using modern technologies.<br />

• Forming of historical data in united size (format).<br />

• Forming of metadata of appropriate stati<strong>on</strong>s.<br />

• Eliminati<strong>on</strong> of heterogeneity in meteorological variable c<strong>on</strong>nected with the changes in<br />

methodic of observati<strong>on</strong> and processing and changes of devices.<br />

• Providing with ability of regular replenishment of current informati<strong>on</strong>.<br />

During the formati<strong>on</strong> of historical series the problem of filling the lack of meteorological<br />

data, which evenly appeared in different periods of creating archives, is solved ( during<br />

overwriting of informati<strong>on</strong> from punched card to magnetic tape, during overwriting from old<br />

magnetic tape to modern technical methods ).<br />

For the formati<strong>on</strong> of historical data in united size (format) and of metadata special attenti<strong>on</strong> is<br />

paid <strong>on</strong> the c<strong>on</strong>trol of the quality of data and eliminati<strong>on</strong> of heterogeneity. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> cause of<br />

heterogeneity in data is changes in methodic of observati<strong>on</strong> (change of quantity of term of<br />

observati<strong>on</strong>), replacement of devices, changes in methodic of processing data of<br />

observati<strong>on</strong>.<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>re are no program methods for homogenizing historical series in Armenia <strong>on</strong><br />

this stage, but it is very important. It is handmade.<br />

Starting from aforesaid it becomes clear that for integrated solving of the problem of<br />

homogeneous data formati<strong>on</strong>, it is important to eliminate heterogeneity in the series of<br />

meteorological elements c<strong>on</strong>nected with the changes in the methodic of observati<strong>on</strong> and<br />

processing, changes of devices, etc.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> KMA Ensemble Predicti<strong>on</strong> System : the impact of Ensemble size increase<br />

Joo-Hyung S<strong>on</strong><br />

Numerical Predicti<strong>on</strong> Center, KMA<br />

jhs<strong>on</strong>@kma.go.kr<br />

Hyung-Sook Jung<br />

Numerical Predicti<strong>on</strong> Center, KMA<br />

Se<strong>on</strong>-Ok Mo<strong>on</strong><br />

Numerical Predicti<strong>on</strong> Center, KMA<br />

Eun-Hee Je<strong>on</strong><br />

Numerical Predicti<strong>on</strong> Center, KMA<br />

D<strong>on</strong>g-Jo<strong>on</strong> Kim<br />

Numerical Predicti<strong>on</strong> Center, KMA<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> Ensemble Predicti<strong>on</strong> System (EPS), based <strong>on</strong> the breeding method with the global<br />

spectral (KMA GDAPS) model was <strong>on</strong> operati<strong>on</strong> at March 2001 at KMA. Since the revised<br />

GDAPS (T426L40) was implemented for operati<strong>on</strong>, the EPS has also been c<strong>on</strong>structed with<br />

T213L40M32 versi<strong>on</strong> at 00 and 12 UTC in July 2006.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> global spectral model with the slightly different initial c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s run 17 times included<br />

the c<strong>on</strong>trol forecast at 00 UTC and 12UTC. And then we have 32 members from the 12hourly<br />

146

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