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The tenth IMSC, Beijing, China, 2007 - International Meetings on ...

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Analyzing of synoptic intence showers over the southern part of ARAS River<br />

Speaker: Behrooz Sari Sarraf<br />

Dr.Behrooz Sari Sarraf<br />

University of Tabriz<br />

sarisarraf@tabrizu.ac.ir<br />

Dr.Ali Akbar Rasouli<br />

University of Tabriz<br />

Javad Farshi Frogh<br />

Tabriz meteorologocal organizati<strong>on</strong><br />

Mrs.Taherh Kayani<br />

University of Tabriz<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> main goal of the current study was to examinati<strong>on</strong> of some of distinguished intense<br />

rainfalls using six synoptic stati<strong>on</strong> data in the southern part of Aras River.To achive our main<br />

goals, the data from six stati<strong>on</strong> including Makoo, Khoy, Ardabil,Parsabad, Ahar, and Gholfa<br />

from 1986 t0 2003 was used.By taking advantage of synoptic maps it was found that some<br />

type of shower rains could be resulted of c<strong>on</strong>sequence effect of interring cold fr<strong>on</strong>t upcoming<br />

to the study areas.In this regard two synoptic stati<strong>on</strong> Skew_T maps have been analyzed.<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

final result shows that in the study area some intense showers could be produced from the<br />

local thunderstorm as well. Key Words: southern part of Aras River ,intense shower,Skew-t<br />

Map<br />

Indian M<strong>on</strong>so<strong>on</strong> Rainfall and its relati<strong>on</strong>ship with El-nino/Southern Oscillati<strong>on</strong> Index (SOI)<br />

Over India during 1940- 2000<br />

Speaker: C.V.Singh<br />

Dr. C.V.Singh<br />

D.M.S., Vishvkarma Bhawan,Indian Institute of Technology, New Delhi-110016 (India)<br />

cvsingh2@rediffmail.com/*E-mail : cvsingh@cas.iitd.ernet.in<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> interannual fluctuati<strong>on</strong>s in the Southern Oscillati<strong>on</strong> Index (SOI) and their relati<strong>on</strong>ship<br />

to the Indian m<strong>on</strong>so<strong>on</strong> rainfall (June-September) have been studies for the period 1940-2000<br />

covering 340 stati<strong>on</strong>s all over India (in figure 1. each stati<strong>on</strong>s c<strong>on</strong>tains the seas<strong>on</strong>al average<br />

rainfall of five neighbors stati<strong>on</strong>s). <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> m<strong>on</strong>so<strong>on</strong> rainfall is significant correlated with the<br />

southern oscillati<strong>on</strong> index (June-September) 0.65. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> large positive southern oscillati<strong>on</strong><br />

indexes are positively correlated with the flood years, while the negative southern oscillati<strong>on</strong><br />

indexes are correlated with the drought years. In this study, we have taken the flood/drought<br />

and El-Nino years separately and find their relati<strong>on</strong>ship with SOI. It has been observed that<br />

mostly drought occurs, when Southern Oscillati<strong>on</strong> Index value is negative. It has also been<br />

noticed that there is a good correlati<strong>on</strong> ship with El-Nino and drought years (57%). <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

Spectrum analysis is also carried out <strong>on</strong> m<strong>on</strong>so<strong>on</strong> rainfall and Southern Oscillati<strong>on</strong> Index<br />

71

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