The tenth IMSC, Beijing, China, 2007 - International Meetings on ...

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Bridging the gap between simulated climate and local weather ...........................................139 Heiko Paeth...................................................................................................................139 Comparison of past and future trends of extreme climate indices for Central/Eastern Europe ...............................................................................................................................................140 R. Pongracz ...................................................................................................................140 Past climate reconstruction for the Carpathian basin using documentary sources................140 R. Pongracz ...................................................................................................................140 Prediction of Monsoon rainfall over Peninsular India using parameters over Arabian Sea and adjacent seas..........................................................................................................................141 Rajesh J .........................................................................................................................141 Statistical downscaling of a specific weather pattern for rainfall forecast using techniques of artificial intelligence .............................................................................................................142 María Cleof Valverde Ramírez......................................................................................142 Determining Africa Socio-Economic Challenges to Climate Sensitivity: the Need to Work Together ................................................................................................................................143 Ayadiani Kenneth Rumi ................................................................................................143 A GEV fit to Annual Temperature Extremes in Argentina: a Study of the 1976-77 Climate Shift.......................................................................................................................................144 Matilde Rusticucci ........................................................................................................144 Impact of ENSO PHASES on Amazonia Seasonal Rainfall.................................................145 Clovis Angeli Sansigolo................................................................................................145 Climate Data Homogenization and Climate Trend/Variability Assessment..........................145 Nazaryan Satenik ..........................................................................................................145 <strong>The</strong> KMA Ensemble Prediction System : the impact of Ensemble size increase..................146 Joo-Hyung Son..............................................................................................................146 Arctic heat spells - a case study of the warm spring 2006 at Svalbard .................................147 Dag Johan Steinskog .....................................................................................................147 West African Weather Systems in the Development of Tropical Cyclones...........................147 Salami Tairu ..................................................................................................................147 Intense Precipitation Events in the Reanalysis Datasets over the Asia .................................148 Kiyotoshi Takahashi......................................................................................................148 Relationship Between Ensemble Mean Square and Ensemble Mean Skill in Four Climate Models...................................................................................................................................149 Youmin Tang .................................................................................................................149 A Methodology in Predicting the Influence of Climatic .......................................................149 Herminia C. Tanguilig...................................................................................................149 Intelligent data processing center (IDPC) of climate and rural development in Iran (case study: sistan region).........................................................................................................................150 Mortaza tavakoli ...........................................................................................................150 Climatic jumps in precipitation extremes in association with recent drying process in North <strong>China</strong>.....................................................................................................................................150 Tu Kai............................................................................................................................150 Water vapour transport from the tropical Atlantic and summer rainfall over tropical southern Africa ....................................................................................................................................151 12
Nicolas Vigaud ..............................................................................................................151 Regional scale and downscaled climate projections for Croatia...........................................152 Visnja Vucetic ...............................................................................................................152 Climate change impact on the increase of forest fire risk on the Croatian Adriatic coast.....153 Marko Vučetić...............................................................................................................153 Fitting a power law model for low frequencies of ERA40 air temperature spectra..............154 Dmitry Vyushin .............................................................................................................154 Impact of Long-Range Correlations on Trend Detection in Total Ozone .............................154 Dmitry Vyushin .............................................................................................................154 Crytic Period Analysis Model of Hydrological Process Based on Herteroskedasticity Test and Its Application.......................................................................................................................155 Hongrui Wang ...............................................................................................................155 Examining the Oceanic Fresh Water Flux in the NCEP Reanalyses and Global Models .....156 Pingping Xie .................................................................................................................156 Impact of Urban Expansion on Regional Temperature Change in the Yangtze River Delta 157 Zhiqing Xie ...................................................................................................................157 Detecting Inhomogeneity in Daily Climate Series Using Wavelet Analysis.........................157 Zhongwei Yan ...............................................................................................................157 Changing Trends of Climate in Jiangsu Province during 1961 to 2000................................158 Xiliang Zhang ...............................................................................................................158 Calibrating and evaluating reanalyses surface temperature bias by topographic correction.159 Tianbao Zhao.................................................................................................................159 A Statistical Prediction of the Seasonal Mean Circulation and a Comparison with Dynamical Ensemble Prediction using NCEP’s CFS..............................................................................159 Xiaogu Zheng................................................................................................................159 A Statistical Prediction of the Seasonal Mean Circulation....................................................160 Xiaogu Zheng................................................................................................................160 To explore an optimal climate decision-making method suitable for medium-sized reservoir management ..........................................................................................................................161 Zou Xiyun .....................................................................................................................161 13
Page 1 and 2: 1Oth International
Page 3: Preface It is truly a great pleasur
Page 6 and 7: Speaker: Dan Cooley................
Page 8 and 9: Speaker: Qian Li ..................
Page 10 and 11: Speaker: Ediang Okuku Archibong....
Page 12 and 13: Speaker: Yi Wang...................
Page 14 and 15: Climatological Dataset.............
Page 18 and 19: Invited Session: Spatial patterns o
Page 20 and 21: Joint Program on the Science and Po
Page 22 and 23: e to adopt a different calibrated l
Page 24 and 25: those retained, and [iii] performan
Page 26 and 27: A range of existing statistical app
Page 28 and 29: palaeo-environmental data from sout
Page 30 and 31: Whilst it has been noted that such
Page 32 and 33: State Key Laboratory of Numerical M
Page 34 and 35: address new policies for changing c
Page 36 and 37: and show promise for analyzing tren
Page 38 and 39: 1901-2005 with complete data of all
Page 40 and 41: Homogenization of daily meteorologi
Page 42 and 43: as Homogen Data, Gap, Index, Statis
Page 44 and 45: Penalized maximal t-test for detect
Page 46 and 47: Iran,Tehran, Azad university, Resea
Page 48 and 49: We present applications of several
Page 50 and 51: A 50-member ensemble is produced wi
Page 52 and 53: ichard@stats.ucl.ac.uk Nadja Leith
Page 54 and 55: Answering questions about empirical
Page 56 and 57: In a series of climate change impac
Page 58 and 59: climatological annual frequency of
Page 60 and 61: Detection of urban warming in recen
Page 62 and 63: Detection of Human Influence on pan
Page 64 and 65: Extending attribution studies: post
Page 66 and 67:
Francis W. Zwiers, Gabriele C. Hege
Page 68 and 69:
1, In the middle-pattern of El Niñ
Page 70 and 71:
convergence zone (ITCZ). Th
Page 72 and 73:
stationary waves occur in mid-latit
Page 74 and 75:
A multiple surrogate data study of
Page 76 and 77:
Linear and non-linear reconstructio
Page 78 and 79:
Pseudo-proxy tests of the regulariz
Page 80 and 81:
Parallel Sessions:Regional Studies
Page 82 and 83:
Iterative Interpolation of Daily Pr
Page 84 and 85:
disturbance in the natural ecosyste
Page 86 and 87:
Climate Risk Management in North-Ea
Page 88 and 89:
Analyzing of synoptic intence showe
Page 90 and 91:
chosen since it completely defines
Page 92 and 93:
The Roles of Ensem
Page 94 and 95:
The diagram shows
Page 96 and 97:
Empirical probabilistic seasonal fo
Page 98 and 99:
Rajesh J. Department of Atmospheric
Page 100 and 101:
Andrew Moore Uni. of California at
Page 102 and 103:
Parallel Sessions:Simulation tools
Page 104 and 105:
data can ever be generated. In fact
Page 106 and 107:
egion can be explained by the rando
Page 108 and 109:
on instantaneous time scales, respe
Page 110 and 111:
Key words:- principal component reg
Page 112 and 113:
een analysed with geostatistical to
Page 114 and 115:
Iberian Peninsula and with the corr
Page 116 and 117:
89% during the 10 days of mid-June,
Page 118 and 119:
The paper examines
Page 120 and 121:
Special AMS Session:Verification of
Page 122 and 123:
Verification of Climate Forecasts (
Page 124 and 125:
the regional climate change is repr
Page 126 and 127:
model has been applied to the serie
Page 128 and 129:
are analyzed. It is shown that thes
Page 130 and 131:
stations in Iran. The</stro
Page 132 and 133:
The study of the U
Page 134 and 135:
Development and analysis of a daily
Page 136 and 137:
Fractal widely exists in nature, an
Page 138 and 139:
Rescue of historical climate data:
Page 140 and 141:
D. Semeradova Institute of Landscap
Page 142 and 143:
Kulkarni Ashwini, Sabade S S and Kr
Page 144 and 145:
The magnitude of t
Page 146 and 147:
Richard E. Chandler University Coll
Page 148 and 149:
convective cloud clusters when they
Page 150 and 151:
1999; Smith et al, 2001; Gibbons, 2
Page 152 and 153:
dmanatsa@buse.ac.zw Wisemen Chingom
Page 154 and 155:
The Relation Betwe
Page 156 and 157:
conditioned on some indices of the
Page 158 and 159:
ari@ludens.elte.hu J. Bartholy Dept
Page 160 and 161:
ainfall as predictand. Additionally
Page 162 and 163:
Impact of ENSO PHASES on Amazonia S
Page 164 and 165:
time lag. Both perturbed analysis a
Page 166 and 167:
Relationship Between Ensemble Mean
Page 168 and 169:
ways were considered. Four zones, f
Page 170 and 171:
- Monthly ratios of synthetic and o
Page 172 and 173:
Total ozone trends are typically st
Page 174 and 175:
Impact of Urban Expansion on Region
Page 176 and 177:
Calibrating and evaluating reanalys
Page 178:
To explore an optimal climate decis
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