The tenth IMSC, Beijing, China, 2007 - International Meetings on ...

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Climatological Dataset..........................................................................................................113 Lubega N.Fortunata.......................................................................................................113 Analyze Effect Factors and Research Forecasting Method of the Annual Water Consumption in <strong>Beijing</strong> City.......................................................................................................................114 Ge Zhao-xia...................................................................................................................114 Forecasting Schemes of the Reservoir’s Monthly Runoff Volume Based on the Wavelet Analyze .................................................................................................................................114 Ge Zhao-xia...................................................................................................................114 <strong>The</strong> study of the Urban Heat Island in Nanjing city..............................................................115 Gu Lihua .......................................................................................................................115 “Attribution of changes in extreme weather risk: a study of the European Summer 2003 Heatwave”.............................................................................................................................115 Helen Hanlon ................................................................................................................115 Seasonal Rainfall Prediction for the Tropical Pacific Region...............................................116 Luke He.........................................................................................................................116 Development and analysis of a daily high resolution grid over Spain (1950-2003) .............117 Sixto Herrera .................................................................................................................117 Projection of future heat wave mortality rates using regional climate model predictions ....117 Chun Kit Ho..................................................................................................................117 East Asian Summer monsoon changes in the MIS 3 Stage recorded from the western South <strong>China</strong> Sea ..............................................................................................................................118 Baoqi Huang .................................................................................................................118 Wavelet Based Fractal Analysis of El Niño Episodes...........................................................118 Zhiyong Huang .............................................................................................................118 Global average surface temperature anomalies with COBE-SST.........................................119 Koji Ishihara..................................................................................................................119 Multi-timescale Analysis, Reconstruction and Estimation for Global Sun Solar in January and North Hemispherical Temperature Anomalies Data..............................................................119 Ji Lingling .....................................................................................................................119 Long-term climatology of droughts in the Limpopo Province of South Africa ....................120 T. A. Kabanda................................................................................................................120 Rescue of historical climate data: Compilation of a new historical data-base for Germany.121 Alice Kapala..................................................................................................................121 Annual and seasonal precipitation trend investigation in central region of Iran using non-parametric methods........................................................................................................121 Yoones Khoshkhoo .......................................................................................................121 Long-range correlations of ERA-40 temperature data: Geographic patterns and height dependence............................................................................................................................122 Andrea Kiraly................................................................................................................122 Interpolation methods of weather generator parameters .......................................................122 Stanislava Kliegrova .....................................................................................................122 Intra-seasonal Variability of Indian Monsoon Precipitation in Coupled Climate Model Simulations and Projections under IPCC AR4......................................................................123 ASHWINI KULKARNI................................................................................................123 10
Statistical analysis of definiteness of selected climate classifications from a view of climate change ...................................................................................................................................125 KVETON, VIT..............................................................................................................125 <strong>The</strong> structure of predictability in a quasigeostrophic atmospheric model.............................125 Frank Kwasniok ............................................................................................................125 Projected change in mean and extreme climate over Korea..................................................126 Won-Tae Kwon .............................................................................................................126 Trend Indicators of Atmospheric Climate Change based on Reanalyses and Global Climate Model Scenarios....................................................................................................................127 Bettina C. Lackner ........................................................................................................127 Bayesian Detection and Attribution of Climate Change on a Region of Northeast Asia ......128 Jeong-Hyeong Lee ........................................................................................................128 Stochastic downscaling of climate model outputs for continuous hydrological simulation..128 Nadja Leith....................................................................................................................128 <strong>The</strong> seasonal characteristic of ChangSha's climate warming................................................129 Liao Chunhua................................................................................................................129 Rainfall and Synoptic characteristics of the flood discharge events at Xin'anjiang, eastern <strong>China</strong>, during the 1980s-1990s .............................................................................................130 Hongtao Liu ..................................................................................................................130 <strong>The</strong> Analysis and Study on Mesoscale convective Cloud Clusters and the Torrential Rains of the Middle Yangtze River During Meiyu Season..................................................................130 Tiantian Liu...................................................................................................................130 <strong>The</strong> Study of <strong>The</strong> Effect of Dongting Lake on <strong>The</strong> Temperature..........................................131 Tiantian Liu...................................................................................................................131 <strong>The</strong> Study of Reasons of Drought of Northwestern Region of Iran......................................131 Fardin Saberi Louyeh....................................................................................................131 Quantifying Uncertanties Associated With Climate Variaiblity and Climate Change Studies: the Cox´S Semiparametric Approach....................................................................................132 Aline de Holanda Nunes Maia ......................................................................................132 <strong>The</strong> Dominant Indian Ocean Dipole Influence on Southeastern African Seasonal Rainfall Variability..............................................................................................................................134 Desmond Manatsa.........................................................................................................134 Climate Prediction Techniques for Small Scale Farmers Using Daily Rainfall Data in Southern Province - Zambia..................................................................................................135 Munalula Mate ..............................................................................................................135 Statistical Analysis of variation and precipitation trend in arid region, central IRAN..........136 Nasr Isfahani Mehrdad..................................................................................................136 <strong>The</strong> Relation Between PCA and SOM in Processing of Multivariate Datasets ....................137 Ladislav METELKA.....................................................................................................137 Probabilistic Climate Change Predictions Applying Bayesian Model Averaging.................137 Seung-Ki Min................................................................................................................137 Linking atmospheric circulation to daily rainfall patterns over the territory of Bulgaria using Hidden Markov Models ........................................................................................................138 Neyko M. Neykov.........................................................................................................138 11
Page 1 and 2: 1Oth International
Page 3: Preface It is truly a great pleasur
Page 6 and 7: Speaker: Dan Cooley................
Page 8 and 9: Speaker: Qian Li ..................
Page 10 and 11: Speaker: Ediang Okuku Archibong....
Page 12 and 13: Speaker: Yi Wang...................
Page 16 and 17: Bridging the gap between simulated
Page 18 and 19: Invited Session: Spatial patterns o
Page 20 and 21: Joint Program on the Science and Po
Page 22 and 23: e to adopt a different calibrated l
Page 24 and 25: those retained, and [iii] performan
Page 26 and 27: A range of existing statistical app
Page 28 and 29: palaeo-environmental data from sout
Page 30 and 31: Whilst it has been noted that such
Page 32 and 33: State Key Laboratory of Numerical M
Page 34 and 35: address new policies for changing c
Page 36 and 37: and show promise for analyzing tren
Page 38 and 39: 1901-2005 with complete data of all
Page 40 and 41: Homogenization of daily meteorologi
Page 42 and 43: as Homogen Data, Gap, Index, Statis
Page 44 and 45: Penalized maximal t-test for detect
Page 46 and 47: Iran,Tehran, Azad university, Resea
Page 48 and 49: We present applications of several
Page 50 and 51: A 50-member ensemble is produced wi
Page 52 and 53: ichard@stats.ucl.ac.uk Nadja Leith
Page 54 and 55: Answering questions about empirical
Page 56 and 57: In a series of climate change impac
Page 58 and 59: climatological annual frequency of
Page 60 and 61: Detection of urban warming in recen
Page 62 and 63: Detection of Human Influence on pan
Page 64 and 65:
Extending attribution studies: post
Page 66 and 67:
Francis W. Zwiers, Gabriele C. Hege
Page 68 and 69:
1, In the middle-pattern of El Niñ
Page 70 and 71:
convergence zone (ITCZ). Th
Page 72 and 73:
stationary waves occur in mid-latit
Page 74 and 75:
A multiple surrogate data study of
Page 76 and 77:
Linear and non-linear reconstructio
Page 78 and 79:
Pseudo-proxy tests of the regulariz
Page 80 and 81:
Parallel Sessions:Regional Studies
Page 82 and 83:
Iterative Interpolation of Daily Pr
Page 84 and 85:
disturbance in the natural ecosyste
Page 86 and 87:
Climate Risk Management in North-Ea
Page 88 and 89:
Analyzing of synoptic intence showe
Page 90 and 91:
chosen since it completely defines
Page 92 and 93:
The Roles of Ensem
Page 94 and 95:
The diagram shows
Page 96 and 97:
Empirical probabilistic seasonal fo
Page 98 and 99:
Rajesh J. Department of Atmospheric
Page 100 and 101:
Andrew Moore Uni. of California at
Page 102 and 103:
Parallel Sessions:Simulation tools
Page 104 and 105:
data can ever be generated. In fact
Page 106 and 107:
egion can be explained by the rando
Page 108 and 109:
on instantaneous time scales, respe
Page 110 and 111:
Key words:- principal component reg
Page 112 and 113:
een analysed with geostatistical to
Page 114 and 115:
Iberian Peninsula and with the corr
Page 116 and 117:
89% during the 10 days of mid-June,
Page 118 and 119:
The paper examines
Page 120 and 121:
Special AMS Session:Verification of
Page 122 and 123:
Verification of Climate Forecasts (
Page 124 and 125:
the regional climate change is repr
Page 126 and 127:
model has been applied to the serie
Page 128 and 129:
are analyzed. It is shown that thes
Page 130 and 131:
stations in Iran. The</stro
Page 132 and 133:
The study of the U
Page 134 and 135:
Development and analysis of a daily
Page 136 and 137:
Fractal widely exists in nature, an
Page 138 and 139:
Rescue of historical climate data:
Page 140 and 141:
D. Semeradova Institute of Landscap
Page 142 and 143:
Kulkarni Ashwini, Sabade S S and Kr
Page 144 and 145:
The magnitude of t
Page 146 and 147:
Richard E. Chandler University Coll
Page 148 and 149:
convective cloud clusters when they
Page 150 and 151:
1999; Smith et al, 2001; Gibbons, 2
Page 152 and 153:
dmanatsa@buse.ac.zw Wisemen Chingom
Page 154 and 155:
The Relation Betwe
Page 156 and 157:
conditioned on some indices of the
Page 158 and 159:
ari@ludens.elte.hu J. Bartholy Dept
Page 160 and 161:
ainfall as predictand. Additionally
Page 162 and 163:
Impact of ENSO PHASES on Amazonia S
Page 164 and 165:
time lag. Both perturbed analysis a
Page 166 and 167:
Relationship Between Ensemble Mean
Page 168 and 169:
ways were considered. Four zones, f
Page 170 and 171:
- Monthly ratios of synthetic and o
Page 172 and 173:
Total ozone trends are typically st
Page 174 and 175:
Impact of Urban Expansion on Region
Page 176 and 177:
Calibrating and evaluating reanalys
Page 178:
To explore an optimal climate decis
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