Crop production data and forecasts system in ... - Foodnet - cgiar

More documents

Recommendations

Info

Table 17. Annual Production of Wheat in Metric Tonnes Wheat UBOS Statistical Abstract 2002* FAO 1996 9,000 9,000 1997 9,000 9,000 1998 9,000 9,000 1999 11,000 11,000 2000 12,000 12,000 2001 14,000 14,000 2002 14,000 14,000 * 2001 figures are estimates, 2002 figures are projections The UBOS Statistical Abstract is the primary source of crop production statistics for Uganda. FAO figures are extracted from the UBOS Statistical Abstract and hence largely mirror this publication. The comparison between UBOS Statistical Abstract figures and other data sources (UBOS Crop Survey Module, IDEA Project data, Commodity Studies and Commercial Estimates) produces interesting results. Statistical Abstract crop production figures significantly exceed other available data for cooking banana, cassava, finger millet, sorghum and sesame. UBOS Statistical Abstract and Crop Module figures are similar for beans, however both exceed IDEA Project estimates for this crop. Statistical Abstract and Crop Survey Modules present roughly similar crop production levels for sweet potatoes and groundnuts. Irish potato figures present an exception whereby a commodity study suggests production levels exceed those portrayed in the Statistical Abstract. For Soybean, Rice, Pigeon Peas, Cow Peas and Wheat we are currently solely reliant of the UBOS Statistical Abstract. Wheat is included in the USAID Belmon analysis, which allows some comparison at a district level (Annex 3). This comparison again suggests overstatement on the part of the Statistical Abstract. The discrepancy seen between UBOS Statistical Abstract crop production levels and other data sources supports the hypothesis drawn from comparing National production and consumption (Table 2) in that UBOS Statistical Abstract figures are overstated. 4.2 Broad Production Estimates for All Crops The study concluded that there are currently insufficient sources of reliable data for development of a food balance sheet. Table 18 gives very approximate estimates of annual production per crop based on available data. It is anticipated that data from other sources, not available within the timeframe of this study, can be gathered to improve the accuracy of these estimates. 12
Table 18. Approximate Annual Crop Production Estimates Crop Crop Estimate (MT) Rational Cooking Bananas 5,545,000 Guided by Crop Survey Module Cassava 2,246,000 Guided by Crop Survey Module Maize 500,000 Point of Convergence between Estimates Sweet Potatoes 2,621,000 Guided by Crop Survey Module Finger Millet 185,000 Guided by Crop Survey Module Sorghum 113,000 Guided by Crop Survey Module Sesame 17,500 Guided by Commodity Study Soya bean 80,000 50% of Statistical Abstract Estimate No estimate as significant divergence Beans - between Crop Module and Idea Project Data Ground Nuts 125,000 Guided by Crop Survey Module Rice 60,000 50% of Statistical Abstract Estimate No estimate as Commodity Study exceeds Irish Potatoes - the normally exaggerated Statistical Abstract figures Pigeon Peas 40,000 50% of Statistical Abstract Estimate Cow Peas 30,000 50% of Statistical Abstract Estimate Wheat 7,000 50% of Statistical Abstract Estimate The next section of this report looks at why the conclusion was reached that insufficient reliable data currently exists by looking at data credibility. 13
Page 1 and 2: Short Term Technical Assistance, Ma
Page 3 and 4: List of Tables Table 1. List of Cro
Page 5 and 6: 1 INTRODUCTION This report is an ou
Page 7 and 8: 4 BASELINE PRODUCTION INFORMATION F
Page 9 and 10: Table 8. Annual Production of Sorgh
Page 11: Table 14. Annual Production of Iris
Page 15 and 16: Table 19. Comparison of District an
Page 17 and 18: yield estimates used in the past fi
Page 19 and 20: sampling methods to generate nation
Page 21 and 22: 6 OPTION FOR THE PROCESS OF CONSTRU
Page 23 and 24: 7 THE WAY FORWARD 1 Enhancement of
Page 25 and 26: References Collinson, C., Wanda, K.
Page 27 and 28: Annex 1. Scope of Work Improving Ma
Page 29 and 30: Annex 2. Production Data disaggrega
Page 31 and 32: Maize UBOS Crop Survey Module 1999/
Page 33 and 34: Finger Millet UBOS Crop Survey Modu
Page 35 and 36: Sesame MAAIF Production of Sesame (
Page 37 and 38: Beans UBOS Crop Survey Module 1999/
Page 39 and 40: Rice MAAIF Production of Rice (MT)
Page 41 and 42: Cow Peas MAAIF Production of Cow Pe
Page 43 and 44: Annual Maize Exports 1995 - 2002 Ex
Page 45 and 46: Monthly Bean Export Volumes 2000 to
Page 47 and 48: URA CUSTOMS UGANDA : IMPORTS OF SEL
Page 49 and 50: YEAR 2001 NET WEIGHT ( KGS) DESCRIP
Page 51 and 52: URA CUSTOMS UGANDA: EXPORTS OF SELE
Page 53 and 54: URA CUSTOMS UGANDA: EXPORTS OF SELE
Page 55 and 56: Annex 4 Support to Strengthen Agric
Page 57 and 58: (h) A contract between Statistics N
Page 59 and 60: Andrew Kizito Muganga Project Coord
Page 61 and 62: Venie Tinkumanya Agricultural Deput

Crop production data and forecasts system in ... - Foodnet - cgiar

Create successful ePaper yourself

Delete template?

Save as template?