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Crop production data and forecasts system in ... - Foodnet - cgiar

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Table of Contents<br />

Table of Contents...........................................................................................................2<br />

List of Tables .................................................................................................................3<br />

List of Figures................................................................................................................3<br />

Acronyms.......................................................................................................................3<br />

Executive Summary.......................................................................................................4<br />

1 INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................5<br />

2 METHODOLOGY ................................................................................................5<br />

3 LIST OF KEY STAPLES INCLUDED IN THE STUDY ....................................6<br />

4 BASELINE PRODUCTION INFORMATION FOR EACH CROP ....................7<br />

4.2 Production Information..................................................................................7<br />

4.2 Broad Production Estimates for All <strong>Crop</strong>s ..................................................12<br />

5 DATA CREDIBILITY ........................................................................................14<br />

5.1 Ug<strong>and</strong>a Bureau of Statistics <strong>and</strong> M<strong>in</strong>istry of Agriculture, Animal Industry<br />

<strong>and</strong> Fisheries ............................................................................................................14<br />

5.1.1 Generation of <strong>Crop</strong> Production Statistics for the Statistical Abstract..14<br />

5.1.2 <strong>Crop</strong> Survey Modules 1995 / 6 <strong>and</strong> 1999 / 2000 .................................18<br />

5.2 FAO Data.....................................................................................................19<br />

5.3 IDEA Project Data .......................................................................................19<br />

5.3.1 Forecast<strong>in</strong>g District <strong>and</strong> National Maize <strong>and</strong> Bean Production...........19<br />

5.3.2 Import <strong>and</strong> Export Data .......................................................................20<br />

5.4 URA Customs Data......................................................................................20<br />

5.5 Sector Specific Commodity Studies ............................................................20<br />

5.6 Trader Estimates ..........................................................................................20<br />

5.7 Conclusions of Data Reliability...................................................................20<br />

6 OPTION FOR THE PROCESS OF CONSTRUCTING REGULAR MONTHLY<br />

UPDATES....................................................................................................................21<br />

7 THE WAY FORWARD ......................................................................................23<br />

References....................................................................................................................25<br />

Annex 1. Scope of Work..............................................................................................27<br />

Annex 2. Production Data disaggregated by District, Region <strong>and</strong> Year. ....................29<br />

Annex 3. Available additional <strong>in</strong>formation <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g imports, exports, post harvest<br />

losses <strong>and</strong> stock levels .................................................................................................42<br />

Annex 4 Support to Strengthen Agricultural Statistics Project (SSASP)....................55<br />

Annex 5 People Contacted...........................................................................................58<br />

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