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… and the Pursuit of Happiness - Institute of Economic Affairs

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<strong>…</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> pursuit <strong>of</strong> happiness<br />

wellbeing <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> size <strong>of</strong> government<br />

for Knaves’: a set <strong>of</strong> effective rules that will keep politicians from<br />

inflicting harm whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong>y are benevolent or not (Brennan <strong>and</strong><br />

Buchanan, 1983). As all constitutions – written or unwritten – fall<br />

well short <strong>of</strong> this goal, one cannot automatically assume as <strong>the</strong><br />

default that political decisions on government interventions <strong>and</strong><br />

public expenditures are supposed to have, let alone will have in<br />

practice, positive consequences for <strong>the</strong> wellbeing <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> population.<br />

A more realistic depiction <strong>of</strong> politics would tend to lead one<br />

to <strong>the</strong> opposite conclusion.<br />

Instead, a logical, consequentialist requirement for anyone<br />

arguing for increasing <strong>the</strong> size <strong>and</strong> scope <strong>of</strong> government activities<br />

– more interventions, more activist policy or higher or more<br />

progressive taxes – must be that <strong>the</strong>y document that <strong>the</strong> overall<br />

size <strong>of</strong> government is positively associated with national average<br />

wellbeing. Whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong>re are any effects – positive or negative –<br />

<strong>and</strong> whe<strong>the</strong>r government policy affects o<strong>the</strong>r elements that drive<br />

wellbeing differences are <strong>the</strong> questions explored in this chapter.<br />

As argued below, <strong>the</strong> general answer is no – increased government<br />

intervention is not positively associated with increases in<br />

wellbeing.<br />

Government ability <strong>and</strong> incentives<br />

When considering government behaviour, one first has to ask<br />

two questions: 1) is government able to provide <strong>the</strong> ‘right’ amount<br />

<strong>and</strong> extent <strong>of</strong> public goods <strong>and</strong> redistribution (if any); <strong>and</strong> 2) does<br />

government have any incentives to do so?<br />

An implicit assumption in most active policy proposals<br />

coming from happiness scholars seems to be that <strong>the</strong> government<br />

is sufficiently informed about <strong>the</strong> distribution <strong>of</strong> preferences<br />

in <strong>the</strong> population. In o<strong>the</strong>r words, <strong>the</strong> government knows what<br />

people want. This assumption is inconsistent with <strong>the</strong> complexity<br />

<strong>of</strong> any modern society, as real-world politicians face a massive<br />

Hayekian information problem (Hayek, 1960). In small, local<br />

societies, leaders may have sufficient knowledge to direct policies<br />

towards those in actual need or towards groups with specific preferences.<br />

Yet in only slightly larger societies, it becomes impossible<br />

to know enough about <strong>the</strong> preferences <strong>and</strong> needs <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> population<br />

to precisely direct policies in such a way. Instead, politicians<br />

arguably need to rely on what <strong>the</strong> typical or median person in <strong>the</strong><br />

population prefers.<br />

Yet even if politicians knew <strong>the</strong> approximate preferences <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> median voter, <strong>the</strong>y would still face a heterogeneity problem:<br />

although <strong>the</strong> government might be able to get <strong>the</strong> right public<br />

goods provision to <strong>the</strong> median voter, a large share <strong>of</strong> people would<br />

find specific public goods over-provided <strong>and</strong> ano<strong>the</strong>r share would<br />

find <strong>the</strong>m under-provided. Consequently, most people would<br />

be paying <strong>the</strong> wrong amount <strong>of</strong> taxes for public goods provision<br />

targeted merely to <strong>the</strong> median voter. They would be paying for<br />

not only <strong>the</strong> wrong level <strong>of</strong> public goods but also <strong>the</strong> wrong mix.<br />

A second problem is that <strong>of</strong> how decisions are reached in<br />

politics. Dictatorships may arguably be able to focus policies on<br />

meeting <strong>the</strong> desires <strong>of</strong> relatively narrow elites while providing<br />

enough order <strong>and</strong> public goods to prevent social unrest. In principle,<br />

democracies ought to be different <strong>and</strong> provide a wider<br />

set <strong>of</strong> necessary public goods in accordance with <strong>the</strong> needs <strong>and</strong><br />

preferences <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> population. Owing to information problems,<br />

being able to do so may never<strong>the</strong>less be prohibitively difficult.<br />

In addition, politicians <strong>of</strong>ten have incentives that aggravate this<br />

problem <strong>and</strong> undermine <strong>the</strong>ir willingness to try.<br />

162 163

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