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… and the Pursuit of Happiness - Institute of Economic Affairs

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<strong>…</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> pursuit <strong>of</strong> happiness<br />

<strong>the</strong> folly <strong>of</strong> wellbeing in public policy<br />

calls for higher, more progressive taxes on <strong>the</strong> ‘science’ <strong>of</strong> happiness.<br />

Richard Layard, one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> leading academic proponents<br />

<strong>of</strong> happiness, argues that progressive taxation will make society<br />

unequivocally better <strong>of</strong>f from <strong>the</strong> perspective <strong>of</strong> happiness.<br />

The fact that measured happiness has not increased over<br />

decades is viewed by some commentators as indicating a flaw<br />

in our society which must be corrected through government<br />

intervention. <strong>Happiness</strong> supporters believe that <strong>the</strong>y occupy<br />

<strong>the</strong> perceived moral high ground as a result <strong>of</strong> such findings. As<br />

a result, it appears to <strong>the</strong>m that increasing happiness is a selfevident<br />

good, to which only <strong>the</strong> most irredeemable misanthrope<br />

could object.<br />

But we can also compare trends in measured happiness over<br />

time with factors o<strong>the</strong>r than income. Figure 1, for example, shows<br />

happiness <strong>and</strong> real public expenditure in <strong>the</strong> UK from 1979 to<br />

2010. These factors are measured on quite different scales, so to<br />

make <strong>the</strong> comparison <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir progress over time easier to see, <strong>the</strong><br />

values <strong>of</strong> each <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>m in 1979 have been set equal to 100. This<br />

does not mean that <strong>the</strong>y were in any sense <strong>the</strong> same in that year;<br />

it is just a useful <strong>and</strong> st<strong>and</strong>ard way <strong>of</strong> comparing over time two<br />

series which are naturally measured in different units.<br />

And in Figure 2 we can see happiness <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> degree <strong>of</strong><br />

inequality (using <strong>the</strong> st<strong>and</strong>ard concept <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Gini coefficient to<br />

measure <strong>the</strong> latter), again with both set equal to 100 in 1979.<br />

If rising GDP has no effect on happiness, as is alleged, what do<br />

we conclude from <strong>the</strong>se two charts? 4 Increasing public spending<br />

in real terms (i.e. after allowing for inflation) by some 60 per<br />

cent has made no difference to <strong>the</strong> wellbeing <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> nation. So<br />

4 Invoking multiple regression ra<strong>the</strong>r than simple correlation does not affect <strong>the</strong><br />

message here.<br />

Figure 1 <strong>Happiness</strong> <strong>and</strong> public expenditure in <strong>the</strong> UK, 1979–2010<br />

160 <strong>Happiness</strong> index<br />

Public expenditure index<br />

150<br />

140<br />

130<br />

120<br />

110<br />

100<br />

90<br />

1995<br />

1993<br />

1991<br />

1989<br />

1987<br />

1985<br />

1983<br />

1981<br />

1979<br />

110<br />

Source: Statistics from <strong>Institute</strong> for Fiscal Studies (2010)<br />

2009<br />

2007<br />

2005<br />

2003<br />

2001<br />

1999<br />

1997<br />

Figure 2 <strong>Happiness</strong> <strong>and</strong> inequality in <strong>the</strong> UK, 1979–2010<br />

160 GINI index<br />

<strong>Happiness</strong> index<br />

150<br />

140<br />

130<br />

120<br />

100<br />

90<br />

2009<br />

2007<br />

2005<br />

2003<br />

2001<br />

1999<br />

1997<br />

1995<br />

1993<br />

1991<br />

1989<br />

1987<br />

1985<br />

1983<br />

1981<br />

1979<br />

46 47

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