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IPCC Expert Meeting on Geoengineering

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Annex 5: Breakout Group Reports<br />

<br />

Authors may also want to avoid singling out geoengineering by imposing special criteria that are not equally<br />

applied to c<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong>al mitigati<strong>on</strong>. For example, it has been noted that CDR has a rebound effect (decreasing<br />

atmospheric CO 2 would reduce ocean CO 2 uptake), but this also applies to c<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong>al mitigati<strong>on</strong>.<br />

With regard to c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong> of CDR techniques in the <str<strong>on</strong>g>IPCC</str<strong>on</strong>g> AR5, the group then c<strong>on</strong>sidered tightening the definiti<strong>on</strong> of<br />

CDR. Elements suggested for c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong> by authors in the <str<strong>on</strong>g>IPCC</str<strong>on</strong>g> AR5 were the potential for techniques to:<br />

and/or<br />

1. significantly cool global climate (e.g., by removing greater than 1 GtC/yr of CO 2)<br />

2. lead to significant trans-boundary impacts, other than the intended impacts of lowering global atmospheric CO 2.<br />

A refined CDR definiti<strong>on</strong> might exclude some techniques from c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong> as geoengineering in the <str<strong>on</strong>g>IPCC</str<strong>on</strong>g> AR5 <strong>on</strong> the<br />

basis of scale (e.g., ocean pipes), or the relative absence of n<strong>on</strong>-CO 2 trans-boundary effects (e.g., no-tillage agriculture).<br />

The figure proposed by BOG I.3 (Figure A.5.1) was thought to be useful to c<strong>on</strong>ceptualize these aspects of CDR approaches.<br />

On the basis of these criteria, CDR techniques that are <strong>on</strong> the left side of the dotted line could be the priorities for<br />

assessment in the <str<strong>on</strong>g>IPCC</str<strong>on</strong>g> AR5.<br />

Treatment of various aspects of CDR across <str<strong>on</strong>g>IPCC</str<strong>on</strong>g> AR5 Working Groups<br />

The BOG discussed which chapter/secti<strong>on</strong> of the <str<strong>on</strong>g>IPCC</str<strong>on</strong>g> AR5 might treat each aspect of CDR, with Table 1 produced as a first<br />

attempt at suggesti<strong>on</strong>s. The BOG also suggested that the following chapters may cover CDR in a broad sense: for Working<br />

Group 1, Chapter 6 (carb<strong>on</strong> and other biogeochemical cycles); for Working Group 2, Chapter 20 (climate-resilient<br />

pathways); for Working Group 3, Chapter 2 (risk, framework), Chapter 13 (internati<strong>on</strong>al governance), Chapter 14 (nati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

policy).<br />

As the table shows, the treatment of CDR (and geoengineering in general) could be distributed throughout the<br />

c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong>s of the three <str<strong>on</strong>g>IPCC</str<strong>on</strong>g> AR5 Working Groups. This implies a challenge to present a coherent analysis of CDR. The<br />

group felt that the <str<strong>on</strong>g>IPCC</str<strong>on</strong>g> could c<strong>on</strong>sider the following opti<strong>on</strong>s to meet this challenge: (a) A Technical Report or Special<br />

Report (but this would entail significant work and could <strong>on</strong>ly be undertaken after the <str<strong>on</strong>g>IPCC</str<strong>on</strong>g> AR5 process had been<br />

completed); and (b) a topic or box in the synthesis report that brings together the assessment of CDR from across the three<br />

Working Group reports.<br />

Other suggesti<strong>on</strong>s<br />

The group recommended that the expert meeting participants should serve as reviewers of the relevant chapters of the<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>IPCC</str<strong>on</strong>g> AR5, to help ensure c<strong>on</strong>sistent treatment of geoengineering across the different <str<strong>on</strong>g>IPCC</str<strong>on</strong>g> Working Groups.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>IPCC</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Expert</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Meeting</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Geoengineering</strong> - 94

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