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IPCC Expert Meeting on Geoengineering

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Annex 4: Poster Abstracts<br />

Tropospheric sulfate burdens as a c<strong>on</strong>sequence of stratospheric sulfate<br />

geoengineering<br />

Jas<strong>on</strong> M. English 1,2 , Brian To<strong>on</strong> 1,2 *, Michael J. Mills 3<br />

1<br />

Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA<br />

2<br />

Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics, Boulder, CO, USA<br />

3<br />

NCAR Earth System Laboratory, Nati<strong>on</strong>al Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA<br />

Stratospheric sulfur injecti<strong>on</strong> is a leading geoengineering idea to counteract climate change. Sulfate aerosols can cool the<br />

lower atmosphere by scattering and absorbing incoming shortwave radiati<strong>on</strong>. The stratosphere is a more efficient locati<strong>on</strong><br />

than the troposphere due to l<strong>on</strong>ger aerosol lifetime, but has unintended c<strong>on</strong>sequences such as changes to heterogeneous<br />

chemistry and oz<strong>on</strong>e destructi<strong>on</strong>.<br />

Volcanoes act as natural tests to this idea; after major volcanic erupti<strong>on</strong>s, reduced surface temperatures and reducti<strong>on</strong>s in<br />

the stratospheric oz<strong>on</strong>e column are observed. However, little is known about the efficacy and c<strong>on</strong>sequences of c<strong>on</strong>tinuous<br />

stratospheric sulfur injecti<strong>on</strong>. Simulati<strong>on</strong>s with prescribed size distributi<strong>on</strong>s have found a generally linear associati<strong>on</strong><br />

between injecti<strong>on</strong> rate, sulfate burden, and temperature reducti<strong>on</strong> (e.g. Rasch et al., 2008; Robock et al., 2008). The first<br />

microphysical aerosol simulati<strong>on</strong>s were c<strong>on</strong>ducted by Heckendorn et al. (2009) using a 2d aerosol model, and found<br />

geoengineered aerosols to grow much larger than previously assumed, resulting in a significantly lower lifetime and<br />

temperature change efficacy. All previous work has focused <strong>on</strong> the stratosphere and the earth’s surface, while impacts in<br />

the middle and upper troposphere have not been well studied. We present geoengineering simulati<strong>on</strong>s using a 3d<br />

microphysical aerosol model fully coupled with a 3d general circulati<strong>on</strong> model and full sulfur chemistry. We compare our<br />

stratospheric burden results to Heckendorn et al.(2009), and c<strong>on</strong>duct a detailed analysis of the upper tropospheric sulfate<br />

burden.<br />

We use the WACCM3/CARMA model that includes three-dimensi<strong>on</strong>al treatment of SO 2 and OCS surface emissi<strong>on</strong>s, 63-<br />

species chemistry, nucleati<strong>on</strong>, growth, coagulati<strong>on</strong>, and wet depositi<strong>on</strong> (English et al., 2011). The model is run using 4 x 5<br />

degrees horiz<strong>on</strong>tal resoluti<strong>on</strong>, 66 vertical levels, and 42 dry sulfuric acid aerosol bins. We use a numerically-efficient form of<br />

binary homogeneous nucleati<strong>on</strong> (Zhao and Turco, 1995), and enhanced coagulati<strong>on</strong> due to Van der Waal’s forces (Chan<br />

and Mozurkewich, 2005). We specify four geoengineering scenarios (1, 2, 5, and 10 Tg sulfur annual injecti<strong>on</strong>) of SO 2 at<br />

the 50 mb level, between 4 degrees S and 4 degrees N, across all l<strong>on</strong>gitudes (similar to Heckendorn et al., 2009).<br />

Simulati<strong>on</strong>s are run for 5 years, with the 5th year analyzed.<br />

We find the relati<strong>on</strong>ship between SO 2 injecti<strong>on</strong> rate and stratospheric mass burden is highly n<strong>on</strong>-linear, with reduced<br />

efficacy at higher injecti<strong>on</strong> rates (Figure A.4.5). To achieve 6 Tg S burden, 10 Tg S/yr injecti<strong>on</strong> rate is required, which is five<br />

times more than simulati<strong>on</strong>s that assumed prescribed size distributi<strong>on</strong>s (Rasch et al., 2008), and very close to that<br />

predicted by the <strong>on</strong>ly other microphysical study d<strong>on</strong>e (Heckendorn et al., 2009). The burden discrepancy is attributed to the<br />

particles growing to larger sizes (1 micrometer radius) than previously assumed, which have faster fall velocities and shorter<br />

stratospheric lifetimes. (Additi<strong>on</strong>ally, larger particles are less effective at scattering shortwave radiati<strong>on</strong>). Additi<strong>on</strong>ally, we<br />

find a significantly increased sulfate burden across large regi<strong>on</strong>s of the troposphere. Fully <strong>on</strong>e-third of the sulfate burden is<br />

in the troposphere, with tropospheric enhancements observed in many regi<strong>on</strong>s, particularly the high latitude upper<br />

troposphere. For the 10 Tg simulati<strong>on</strong>, we find the sulfate mass burden between the tropopause and 100 hPa below the<br />

tropopause is 30 times higher and the next 100 hPa regi<strong>on</strong> down is 10 times higher than the unperturbed scenario. The<br />

entire tropospheric burden is five times higher than normal. This enhancement of sulfate aerosols can have implicati<strong>on</strong>s for<br />

tropospheric cloud properties, radiative forcing, and upper tropospheric chemistry. Additi<strong>on</strong>ally, increased acid depositi<strong>on</strong><br />

occurs in mid- and high- latitudes, as has been previously noted (e.g. Kravitz et al., 2009).<br />

These results highlight numerous limitati<strong>on</strong>s and c<strong>on</strong>sequences of stratospheric sulfate geoengineering. In additi<strong>on</strong> to<br />

limited efficacy, oz<strong>on</strong>e destructi<strong>on</strong>, and surface acid depositi<strong>on</strong> that have been published previously, we find a significantly<br />

enhanced upper tropospheric sulfate burden which may alter tropospheric clouds, chemistry, and radiative forcing. We<br />

recommend geoengineering ideas to be studied in more detail before they are seriously c<strong>on</strong>sidered as climate interventi<strong>on</strong><br />

opti<strong>on</strong>s.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>IPCC</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Expert</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Meeting</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Geoengineering</strong> - 62

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