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IPCC Expert Meeting on Geoengineering

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Annex 5: Breakout Group Reports<br />

Table A.5.2: Criteria for Carb<strong>on</strong> Dioxide Removal Approaches<br />

Ocean<br />

uptake,<br />

biological<br />

Ocean<br />

uptake,<br />

chemical<br />

Afforestati<strong>on</strong>;<br />

Reforestati<strong>on</strong><br />

Biochar;<br />

Bio-<br />

Storage<br />

Air<br />

Capture<br />

Weathering<br />

<strong>on</strong> land<br />

Ethi cal<br />

Arguments<br />

Feasibili ty<br />

Effecti veness<br />

Si de-effects<br />

Effi ci ency<br />

(“ Social cost” ,<br />

including sideeffects)<br />

Regulati<strong>on</strong> (legal<br />

aspects)<br />

Regulati<strong>on</strong><br />

(policies and<br />

instruments)<br />

M<strong>on</strong>itoring /<br />

Verificati<strong>on</strong><br />

Soci al<br />

Acceptability<br />

The group discussed the value of the criteria shown in the matrix in evaluating CDR technologies. There was also a<br />

suggesti<strong>on</strong> not <strong>on</strong>ly to c<strong>on</strong>sider the ec<strong>on</strong>omic efficiency of CDR opti<strong>on</strong>s but also to recognize explicitly the distributi<strong>on</strong>al<br />

impacts of certain CDR opti<strong>on</strong>s, across societal groups as well as across nati<strong>on</strong>s or regi<strong>on</strong>s.<br />

Suggesti<strong>on</strong>s for AR5<br />

It was agreed to discuss the evaluati<strong>on</strong> criteria in a generic manner (CDR broadly rather than specific approaches) and to<br />

focus <strong>on</strong> the societal aspects (e.g., regulati<strong>on</strong>, acceptability, etc.). Points raised include the following:<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

AR5 authors may wish to note that published papers almost always refer to operating costs. They often ignore<br />

investment and research and development costs. Often, the market effects of rising prices for large-scale<br />

purchases for geoengineering activities are neglected, and in additi<strong>on</strong>, the external costs of side-effects are not<br />

taken into account. It was highlighted that an assessment of CDR (and also of Solar Radiati<strong>on</strong> Management<br />

(SRM)) may need to go bey<strong>on</strong>d operating costs and look at the ‘full’ ec<strong>on</strong>omic cost (a term that should be well<br />

defined) for each of the CDR approaches.<br />

One of the important aspects of an assessment of CDR is the choice of a reference case. There are many possible<br />

reference scenarios against which a certain CDR opti<strong>on</strong> can be evaluated. It was emphasized that the choice of a<br />

reference scenario by itself is a normative decisi<strong>on</strong> and has an important influence <strong>on</strong> the evaluati<strong>on</strong> of a CDR<br />

opti<strong>on</strong>. It was suggested that several scenarios be used as a reference and that the difference in the results<br />

communicated.<br />

The issue of vulnerability or resilience in the c<strong>on</strong>text of implementing CDR opti<strong>on</strong>s was raised. This is an important<br />

issue when certain vulnerable social groups might be affected by CDR. The evaluati<strong>on</strong> of CDR might be c<strong>on</strong>sidered<br />

within the particular external c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s of the regi<strong>on</strong> in which it will be applied. The example of afforestati<strong>on</strong> was<br />

given.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>IPCC</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Expert</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Meeting</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Geoengineering</strong> - 86

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