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IPCC Expert Meeting on Geoengineering

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Annex 5: Breakout Group Reports<br />

Breakout Group I.1: Solar Radiati<strong>on</strong> Management Opti<strong>on</strong>s and Methods<br />

Chair: Govindasamy Bala<br />

Rapporteur: Piers Forster<br />

The summary that follows, written by the Chair and Rapporteur, characterizes the main points of the BOG I.1 discussi<strong>on</strong>. It<br />

may not reflect the pers<strong>on</strong>al views of the BOG’s Chair and Rapporteur. The summary is intended for c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong> by <str<strong>on</strong>g>IPCC</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

authors of the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5), but is neither endorsed nor approved by the <str<strong>on</strong>g>IPCC</str<strong>on</strong>g> or its Working Groups.<br />

Participants in the BOG c<strong>on</strong>sidered a series of questi<strong>on</strong>s related to geoengineering research, developed by the meeting’s<br />

Scientific Steering Group.<br />

Questi<strong>on</strong>s suggested for discussi<strong>on</strong>:<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

What are the most important Solar Radiati<strong>on</strong> Management approaches that <str<strong>on</strong>g>IPCC</str<strong>on</strong>g> authors might want to c<strong>on</strong>sider in<br />

the AR5?<br />

What are the most important aspects of these approaches to evaluate (e.g., physical impacts, time scales, system<br />

boundaries, spatial scales, direct/private costs)?<br />

Can the most important aspects of these issues be supported by reference to the peer-reviewed literature, ideally<br />

drawing from multiple lines of independent evidence? What is the available evidence and what are relevant<br />

references?<br />

Introducti<strong>on</strong><br />

This BOG discussed Solar Radiati<strong>on</strong> Management (SRM) focusing <strong>on</strong> determining techniques <str<strong>on</strong>g>IPCC</str<strong>on</strong>g> authors might c<strong>on</strong>sider,<br />

overall framework and terminology that could be employed, and ways different impacts could be assessed.<br />

Terminology<br />

The group briefly discussed terminology. The group felt comfortable with “geoengineering” as a term describing a variety<br />

of mechanisms that deliberately affect climate at a large scale. The group discussed the boundaries of this term when<br />

impacts of a given technique are more regi<strong>on</strong>al than global. However, the group did not see the necessity of forcing an<br />

exact definiti<strong>on</strong>; a loose definiti<strong>on</strong> may serve the community.<br />

As some proposed techniques, such as cirrus thinning, affect l<strong>on</strong>g wave radiati<strong>on</strong>, the term SRM was discussed. The BOG<br />

suggested that the term “Radiati<strong>on</strong> Management” may be more appropriate.<br />

Scope<br />

Much discussi<strong>on</strong> focused <strong>on</strong> what was and was not in the scope of approaches that <str<strong>on</strong>g>IPCC</str<strong>on</strong>g> authors might want to c<strong>on</strong>sider in<br />

the AR5. Generally it was felt that the <str<strong>on</strong>g>IPCC</str<strong>on</strong>g>’s AR5 reports should be as comprehensive as possible with regard to SRM, but<br />

focused <strong>on</strong> the most plausible schemes that are supported by the literature. Extensive discussi<strong>on</strong> of speculative schemes or<br />

those with little potential of either deployment and/or impact would be less useful for policymakers.<br />

Approaches supported by literature that the <str<strong>on</strong>g>IPCC</str<strong>on</strong>g> could c<strong>on</strong>sider are: space mirrors/generic total solar irradiance (TSI)<br />

experiments; stratospheric aerosol techniques via injecti<strong>on</strong> of gases, particles and/or special particles; cloud whitening,<br />

especially marine stratocumulus; direct tropospheric aerosol effects from sea-salt or sulphate; reducing cirrus amount or<br />

thickness; increasing crop albedo, land-surface albedo, or ocean surface albedo (e.g., ocean bubbles or painting roofs<br />

white). It was felt that within these techniques, stratospheric aerosol and cloud whitening had more extensive literature.<br />

Some suggested assessment of ideas that, although small <strong>on</strong> the global scale, may be relevant for regi<strong>on</strong>al adaptati<strong>on</strong> and<br />

mitigati<strong>on</strong>, such as the possible role of urban surface albedo enhancement in urban heat island mitigati<strong>on</strong>.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>IPCC</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Expert</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Meeting</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Geoengineering</strong> - 70

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