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IPCC Expert Meeting on Geoengineering

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Annex 5: Breakout Group Reports<br />

Several other possible techniques such as hurricane suppressi<strong>on</strong>, modifying storm track positi<strong>on</strong> and protecting glaciers<br />

were also discussed. Some participants thought that these ideas were too small scale and may be better c<strong>on</strong>sidered <strong>on</strong> the<br />

scale of adaptati<strong>on</strong>, but they could also be assessed by the <str<strong>on</strong>g>IPCC</str<strong>on</strong>g> where literature is available.<br />

Framing<br />

The group felt that it was important to c<strong>on</strong>sider frameworks for assessing geoengineering, such as in the wider c<strong>on</strong>text of<br />

mitigati<strong>on</strong> and climate change adaptati<strong>on</strong>. Choice of baseline for comparing techniques was repeatedly discussed. The<br />

group acknowledged that publicati<strong>on</strong>s have different baselines and this could make assessment of the literature difficult.<br />

Activities such as the <strong>Geoengineering</strong> Model Intercomparis<strong>on</strong> Project (GEOMIP) could be useful as baselines are<br />

comparable (Kravitz u. a. 2011).<br />

BOG participants discussed value judgments in assessing geoengineering techniques. Words such as “good” and “bad” or<br />

even “effectiveness” and “side-effects” can be awkward when there are winners and losers both from geoengineering and<br />

mitigati<strong>on</strong>. Authors should try to be explicit when value judgments and/or assumpti<strong>on</strong>s are made.<br />

The BOG discussed the advantages of the radiative forcing metric. It also c<strong>on</strong>sidered the importance of assessing other<br />

aspects of the physical climate, as not all radiative forcings are created equal: there are regi<strong>on</strong>al effects and hydrological<br />

cycle effects, and radiative forcings can have different efficacies for even the globally averaged surface temperature.<br />

Other framing issues c<strong>on</strong>sidered were the timescale of deployment, the testability of techniques, their scalability, any<br />

terminati<strong>on</strong> effects from turning schemes off, and the timescales of such effects. How SRM could influence CO 2 was also<br />

c<strong>on</strong>sidered, as were the costs that might be included in assessments.<br />

Overall there was a general focus <strong>on</strong> Working Group I issues. Due to lack of time and the directi<strong>on</strong> of the c<strong>on</strong>versati<strong>on</strong><br />

several issues particularly surrounding Working Group II and III issues were not covered in detail.<br />

References<br />

Kravitz B., Alan Robock, O. Boucher, H. Schmidt, K.E. Taylor, G. Stenchikov, and M. Schulz, 2011: The <strong>Geoengineering</strong><br />

Model Intercomparis<strong>on</strong> Project (GeoMIP). Atmospheric Science Letters 12, 162–167. (DOI: 10.1002/asl.316).<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>IPCC</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Expert</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Meeting</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Geoengineering</strong> - 71

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