BoxOffice® Pro - November 2012

BY THE NUMBERS > 2012 HOLIDAY PREDICTIONS
LINCOLN
WE PREDICT!
OPENING WEEKEND $17M
DOMESTIC GROSS $94M
Distributor Touchstone
Cast Daniel Day-Lewis, Joseph Gordon-Levitt, Tommy
Lee Jones, Sally Field
Director Steven Spielberg
Release date November 9 (ltd), November 16 (wide)
Steven Spielberg. Daniel Day-Lewis. Abraham Lincoln.
Got your attention yet? There couldn’t be a better
formula for a historical biopic, and we think that will be
more than clear when the grosses for this slow-to-rollout
film are tallied at the end of 2012. Spielberg rarely
misses (though Amistad proved he is human), and the
rarely seen Day-Lewis only tackles a big film every few
years to remind audiences that he’s a master of his
craft. Plus the 16th president of the United States may
be one of the few historical figures revered enough to
entice a larger audience. (That is, if he’s not fighting
vampires.) If the film delivers and Oscar buzz follows,
expect a long and healthy run for Lincoln throughout
the holidays.
THE TWILIGHT SAGA
BREAKING DAWN—PART 2
WE PREDICT!
OPENING WEEKEND $148M
DOMESTIC GROSS $294M
Distributor Summit
Cast Kristen Stewart, Robert Pattinson, Taylor Lautner,
Dakota Fanning
Director Bill Condon
Release date November 16
A juggernaut winds down this November when the
vampire saga of Edward, Bella and Jacob is finally
drained of blood. Following four hugely successful
entries—three of which hit true blockbuster status by
grossing between $280 million and $305 million each
domestically—the second half of Breaking Dawn comes
one year after a cliffhanger that left fans clamoring
to see Bella post-transformation into a vampire and
mother. We don’t expect the Twilight finale to quite
reach the same heights enjoyed by Harry Potter’s 2011
conclusion, but expect a big number for Breaking
Dawn—Part 2.
54 BOXOFFICE PRO NOVEMBER 2012