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Boxoffice® Pro - March 2014

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EXECUTIVE<br />

SUITE<br />

TOO MANY MOVIES,<br />

OR TOO FEW?<br />

A PARADOX OF THEATRICAL DISTRIBUTION<br />

AND EXHIBITION<br />

by John Fithian,<br />

President and CEO, NATO<br />

Cinema operators in New York<br />

and Los Angeles have described to<br />

me the sheer volume of requests<br />

they receive to exhibit more movies<br />

than they can possibly manage.<br />

Members in other markets tell<br />

me they wish they had more<br />

commercial product to choose<br />

from, particularly in the “off-peak”<br />

months. Does the industry have<br />

too many movies, or too few?<br />

n Paradoxical though it may seem, the answer<br />

may be both. There may be too many movies<br />

playing on a limited number of screens with<br />

little or no chance of breaking into a wider<br />

theatrical run. At the same time, there may be<br />

too few movies that secure a wider theatrical<br />

footprint and have real commercial viability.<br />

Earlier this year a famed film critic for the<br />

New York Times, Manohla Dargis, wrote that<br />

“there are too many lackluster, forgettable and<br />

just plain bad movies pouring into theaters.”<br />

Indeed, nearly 900 movies were reviewed by<br />

that newspaper in 2013.<br />

Why do distributors want screen time<br />

if box office receipts will likely be very low?<br />

Often, a theatrical release satisfies a contractual<br />

agreement with financiers. Similarly, the simple<br />

fact of a theatrical release can be used to drive<br />

home release deals and sales. And many publications,<br />

such as the New York Times, publish<br />

film reviews principally for movies released<br />

theatrically, and those reviews can be helpful<br />

for the ancillary markets. Some distributors<br />

are so desperate to get a theatrical release that<br />

they pay to “four wall,” or rent out, a cinema<br />

auditorium(s) just to legitimize the claim that<br />

their movie played in theaters.<br />

At the same time, though, exhibitors<br />

outside the two leading markets of Los Angeles<br />

and New York often have a different experience.<br />

In a recent chat with the independent members<br />

of the NATO executive board, for example,<br />

I heard all four of those exhibitors explain<br />

that they would like more movie choices with<br />

commercial appeal for exhibition, particularly<br />

during the months of February, <strong>March</strong>, April,<br />

September, and October. The major studios<br />

with their big distribution and marketing<br />

machines often ignore some or most of those<br />

months when it comes to titles they consider<br />

potential hits. Compounding the problem, the<br />

number of movies released by the major studios<br />

has been in consistent decline. The six major<br />

studios who are members of the Motion Picture<br />

Association of America, and their subsidiaries,<br />

released 189 movies in 2007 compared with<br />

128 in 2012 (see chart).<br />

In terms of domestic box office receipts, the<br />

increasing concentration of returns is troubling.<br />

In 2013, 829 movies recorded a domestic gross,<br />

according to Rentrak. But a mere 31 of those<br />

movies, all of which grossed more than $100<br />

million, accounted for 54.4 percent of the total<br />

box office, while the 100 top-grossing movies<br />

accounted for 89 percent.<br />

Not only have the major studios distributed<br />

fewer movies, they have also reduced the<br />

breadth of genres they offer. In their desire to<br />

make tentpoles, the studios have concentrated<br />

189<br />

168<br />

158<br />

MAJOR STUDIO FILM RELEASES<br />

MPAA STUDIOS WITH SUBSIDIARIES<br />

SOURCE: NATO<br />

141 141<br />

128<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

12 BoxOffice ® <strong>Pro</strong> The Business of Movies MARCH <strong>2014</strong>

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