04a JSNA Appendix , item 5. PDF 6 MB - Lambeth Council

DRAFT
living in other boroughs but within the surgery catchment areas and people
who have moved but not informed their doctors.
PROJECTED CHANGES
• ONS project total Lambeth population as 279,500 by 2028, a 5% increase
on 2008.
• GLA figures project the total population in Lambeth by 2028 as 322,300
people. This is an increase of 12.9% on 2008.
What is the male/female ratio of people in Lambeth?
STATUS
• According to the 2001 census, the gender split in Lambeth of 49% male and
51% female reflects that of London and the country more broadly.
PROJECTED CHANGES
• There is no agreement on the predicted ratio. The GLA population
projections predict that the female population of the borough will increase to
52% by 2028 while the ONS projections show the opposite proportions (with
males representing 52% and females 48%).
What ages are the people of Lambeth?
STATUS
• Almost half (45%) of Lambeth’s population is aged between 20 and 39
years, compared with just over a third (36%) for London and three in ten
(28%) nationally 1 .
• Approximately one in five of Lambeth’s population are aged 19 or under
(59,711 or 21.9%). Of these, a third (19,455) are aged 0-4 years. (2006 Mid
Year Estimate)
• Lambeth has one of the highest teenage populations of the Inner London
boroughs (18,522 13-19 year olds).
• Older People aged 65 and over account for just 1 in 10 residents, a smaller
proportion than elsewhere.
PROJECTED CHANGES
• Both the GLA and ONS population projections predict a substantial increase
of around 50% in the number of 50-69 year olds by 2028.
• The ONS figures predict that by 2028, the 0-30 year old population will have
dropped below 2003 figures. The GLA figures also project a 5% drop in the
19-34 year old population by 2028.
• Moderate increases are projected in 5-16 age band, 45-49 age band, 70-74
age band (GLA figures only) and over 85 year olds.
What are their ethnic backgrounds?
STATUS
• According to the 2001 Census, a third (33%) of Lambeth's then population
were from ethnic minorities, the seventh highest proportion in the country.
• The borough has the second highest proportion of Black Caribbean
residents of any UK local authority (after Lewisham) and the fourth highest
proportion of Black African people (both 11%).
• Around six in ten residents have a white ethnic origin.
1 2001 Census
Lambeth JSNA – Preliminary Assessment
Version 4
October 2008
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