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Jamaica: Macro-Socio-Economic and Environmental Assessment of ...

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also have an impact on employment. Available data for the banana sub sector indicates<br />

that it will sustain a temporary loss <strong>of</strong> 8 000 jobs.<br />

The manufacturing sector will be mildly affected by the impact <strong>of</strong> Hurricane Ivan<br />

(4.7percent <strong>and</strong> 4.2percent for the pre <strong>and</strong> post Ivan Scenarios). The losses are<br />

concentrated in the food processing sub-sector. The losses will also affect manufacturing<br />

export products.<br />

The mining sectors’ rate <strong>of</strong> growth taking into account the effects <strong>of</strong> the disaster is<br />

estimated at 9.1percent (10percent in the pre-Ivan scenario). Most <strong>of</strong> the losses were due<br />

to temporary stoppage <strong>of</strong> production, which will be impossible o recover during the<br />

current year given the close to full capacity utilization rates during the year.<br />

The performance <strong>of</strong> the electricity <strong>and</strong> water (3.7percent <strong>and</strong> 2.2percent in the pre <strong>and</strong><br />

post Ivan scenarios) sector is expected to be affected by the declines in output <strong>and</strong><br />

income caused by the interruption <strong>of</strong> the power supply.<br />

For transport, storage <strong>and</strong> communications (3.4percent <strong>and</strong> 2.6percent in the pre <strong>and</strong> post<br />

Ivan Scenario) losses in production resulted from the temporary interruption <strong>of</strong> passenger<br />

<strong>and</strong> cargo traffic in the toad network, reduction in the volume <strong>of</strong> traffic <strong>and</strong> higher costs<br />

due to the use <strong>of</strong> alternative means <strong>of</strong> transportation <strong>and</strong> communications.<br />

Table III.3<br />

Ratio <strong>of</strong> value added to gross output by economic sector (In percentages)<br />

2003<br />

Sector<br />

Value added to gross output<br />

Agriculture forestry & fishing 46.4<br />

Mining & quarrying 43.7<br />

Manufacture 32.2<br />

Electricity & water 44.0<br />

Construction & installation 26.4<br />

Distributive trade<br />

(Wholesale & retail) 66.8<br />

Transport, storage & communication 49.3<br />

Tinancing & insurance services 63.4<br />

Real estate & business services 66.7<br />

Producers <strong>of</strong> government services 72.6<br />

Miscellaneous services 37.0<br />

Household & private 87.8<br />

Source: ECLAC computations based on information provided by the Statistical Institute<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>Jamaica</strong> (STATIN).<br />

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