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Volcanoes - Ministry of Civil Defence and Emergency Management

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1976) <strong>and</strong> conflicts over staff priorities between research<br />

<strong>and</strong> monitoring requirements.<br />

Egmont<br />

Network<br />

In February 1995, there was a major <strong>of</strong>fshore<br />

earthquake on Waitangi Day, <strong>and</strong> GNS had difficulty<br />

in providing accurate information with the minimal<br />

network <strong>of</strong> real-time seismometers available. GNS<br />

therefore initiated a review <strong>of</strong> capability requirements<br />

while simultaneously seeking funding for such a system.<br />

Leadership <strong>and</strong> funding for this purpose were eventually<br />

provided by the Earthquake Commission <strong>and</strong> in 2001<br />

the GeoNet Project was launched. Almost three years<br />

on, GeoNet is improving the detection, data gathering,<br />

<strong>and</strong> rapid response related to New Zeal<strong>and</strong> earthquakes,<br />

volcanic activity, large l<strong>and</strong>slides <strong>and</strong> the slow<br />

deformation that precedes large earthquakes. GeoNet<br />

will enable responding agencies to provide a much<br />

better service to the community during earthquake <strong>and</strong><br />

volcanic crises, <strong>and</strong> provide the high quality data needed<br />

for modern research to advance societies’ underst<strong>and</strong>ing<br />

<strong>of</strong> geological hazards.<br />

VOLCANO-SEISMIC NETWORKS<br />

Cracking <strong>of</strong> rocks under stress from magma<br />

produces small earthquakes, similar to those seen<br />

in non-volcanic areas. But particularly indicative <strong>of</strong><br />

impending volcanic activity are volcanic earthquakes<br />

<strong>and</strong> tremors. A normal small earthquake will have a<br />

vibration frequency <strong>of</strong> about 10 times a second (10 Hz),<br />

but volcanic earthquakes are much slower, about 1 or<br />

2 Hz. Some volcanic earthquakes are single events, but<br />

Auckl<strong>and</strong><br />

Network<br />

Taupo<br />

Network<br />

Volcano-Seismic Networks for major New Zeal<strong>and</strong> volcanoes.<br />

Rotorua–BOP<br />

Network<br />

Tongariro<br />

Network<br />

Mayor Isl<strong>and</strong><br />

at many volcanoes there is continuing low-frequency<br />

vibration, known as volcanic tremor. Scientific debate<br />

continues about the actual cause <strong>of</strong> these events, but<br />

they definitely seem to be related to fluids, especially<br />

fluids moving underground. At most volcanoes, an<br />

increase in the energy <strong>of</strong> volcanic earthquakes <strong>and</strong>/or<br />

tremor precedes eruptions. The Ruapehu volcano is a<br />

little anomalous in having long periods <strong>of</strong> tremor that do<br />

not precede eruptions, which makes it harder to use the<br />

tremor level by itself as an indication that an eruption<br />

is near. At some overseas volcanoes, another variety<br />

<strong>of</strong> seismic event, called a “tornillo” (Spanish for screw),<br />

with a sharp onset <strong>and</strong> regular slow decay, is noted as<br />

occurring before eruptions. We began to observe them<br />

under Tongariro in 2000, but so far there have been no<br />

eruptions.<br />

Seismic networks have now been established<br />

for all the major volcanoes in New Zeal<strong>and</strong>. The<br />

networks that extend from the Tongariro National Park<br />

volcanoes, through Taupo <strong>and</strong> Rotorua to the Bay <strong>of</strong><br />

Plenty, together with a station on White Isl<strong>and</strong> volcano<br />

are operated by GNS, while networks on Mt. Taranaki/<br />

Mt. Egmont <strong>and</strong> the Auckl<strong>and</strong> volcanoes are operated<br />

by the Taranaki <strong>and</strong> Auckl<strong>and</strong> regional councils. All<br />

these networks are linked for real-time analysis <strong>of</strong> the<br />

recorded signals by GNS staff at the GeoNet data centres.<br />

Any earthquakes near an active or dormant<br />

volcano will be looked at in terms <strong>of</strong> their possible<br />

connection with volcanism. At the frequently active<br />

volcanoes, seismicity can rapidly develop into an<br />

White Isl<strong>and</strong><br />

eruption. For instance, both<br />

the 1969 <strong>and</strong> 1975 eruptions<br />

<strong>of</strong> Ruapehu were preceded<br />

by volcanic earthquakes <strong>of</strong><br />

increasing size during the<br />

space <strong>of</strong> less than half an<br />

hour. The 1996 Ruapehu<br />

eruption commenced several<br />

days after strong anomalous<br />

tremors that resulted in<br />

warnings being issued. For<br />

the volcanoes <strong>and</strong> calderas<br />

that have been quiet for<br />

hundreds <strong>of</strong> years or longer,<br />

it is likely that there would be<br />

a longer period <strong>of</strong> warning.<br />

A particularly worrying<br />

pattern would be seismicity<br />

that got shallower over weeks<br />

or months, as magma rose. It<br />

is also necessary not to overreact<br />

to seismic events. For<br />

instance, the Rotorua area<br />

frequently has swarms <strong>of</strong> 50<br />

13<br />

TEPHRA<br />

June 2004

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