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1998 SOUTHERN AFRICA ECONOMIC ... - National Treasury

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M O Z A M B IQ U E<br />

combined with a set of measures implemented by the<br />

authorities aiming at improving its reve nue collection.T h e re was<br />

a slight worsening of the fiscal deficit as a percentage of GDP,<br />

which is mainly attributable to the increase of expenditure more<br />

than reve nu e. It should be noted however that a 23 perc e n t<br />

i n c rease in trade related reve nue has been achieved since the<br />

contracting of the British Crown Agents in May 1997 to assist in<br />

the operation of the customs serv i c e.<br />

The cumu l a t i ve average inflation rate up to end-December 1997<br />

declined sharply to 5.8 percent from a level of 24.3 percent in<br />

the same period of the previous ye a r.The slow down of inflation<br />

is a result of the improvement in the monetary contro l ,<br />

exchange rate stability, and the strong supply response in the<br />

e c o n o my. In fact,inflation begun a declining trend in 1995 with a<br />

c u mu l a t i ve rate of 54.2 percent after 70.0 percent in 1994.<br />

The current account, in nominal US dollar terms, i m p roved by<br />

4.2 perc e n t ,as a result of the increase in exports by 6.7 perc e n t<br />

with imports increasing by 0.8 perc e n t .<br />

The currency (Metical) maintained a strong perfo r m a n c e,<br />

resulting in a cumu l a t i ve nominal depreciation of only 1.5<br />

p e rcent in the official exchange market and an ap p reciation by<br />

1.7 percent in the parallel marke t . As a re s u l t , the spre a d<br />

b e t ween the exchange rates of the two markets re m a i n e d<br />

b e l ow 2 perc e n t .The exchange rate stability was mainly due to<br />

a tight monetary policy, the good performance of the external<br />

sector combined with favourable inflows of external assistance<br />

f u n d s , as well as the dynamism of the interbank exchange<br />

m a r ke t .<br />

M o n ey supply growth has increased slightly from 13.2 perc e n t<br />

in 1996 to 16.6 percent in 1997.The authorities shifted tow a rd s<br />

i n d i rect monetary contro l , with the creation of the interbank<br />

m o n ey market in September, w h e re tre a s u ry bills and monetary<br />

authority bill are traded. The interbank money market also<br />

a l l ows commercial banks to lend and borrow funds to each<br />

o t h e r. The interbank exchange market operation has been<br />

i m p rove d ,with the introduction of non-fixing sessions.<br />

With the conclusion of the Paris Club A g re e m e n t s ,about 10<br />

p e rcent of the Mozambican external debt was re d u c e d . O f<br />

these USD500m we re rescheduled and USD100m cancelled.<br />

A dd i t i o n a l ly, in recognition of the country ’s re c o rd of economic<br />

re fo r m s ,the World Bank and the IMF along with other donors<br />

decided on April 7, <strong>1998</strong> to provide exceptional support ,<br />

amounting to USD2.9 billion in nominal terms in debt serv i c e<br />

relief for Mozambique, equivalent to USD1.4 billion in Net<br />

P resent Value terms in June 1999.<br />

With this initiative Mozambique’s external debt will be re d u c e d<br />

f rom USD5.6 billion in late 1996 to USD1.1 billion in June 1999<br />

when the HIPC (Highly Indebted Poor Countries) package is<br />

i m p l e m e n t e d .Debt service payments will have been reduced to<br />

b e l ow 20 percent of export earnings.The stock of debt in NPV<br />

terms will be reduced to 200 percent of export s ,c o m p a red to<br />

466 percent without the initiative.<br />

Financial Institutions<br />

The Government of Mozambique and the World Bank have<br />

d eveloped a financial sector adjustment programme aimed at<br />

i m p roving the efficiency of the banking sector, d eveloping the<br />

m o n ey and capital marke t s , and fo r mulating better re g u l a t i o n s<br />

governing the sector.<br />

The Banco de Moçambique was split into a central bank and a<br />

c o m m e rcial bank (Banco Comercial de Moçambique) in 1992.<br />

The independence of the central bank was laid down in law,<br />

although it is stated that the bank must respect the economic<br />

policy defined by the gove r n m e n t . Since then it has increased its<br />

independence and expanded its oversight cap a b i l i t i e s .<br />

T h e re are seven commercial banks operating in Mozambique,<br />

and some are beginning to take steps fo r w a rd in terms of<br />

o f fering their customers new products and taking marke t -<br />

oriented initiative s . The newest entrant on the banking scene is<br />

Banco Internaçional de Moçambique Investimento that was<br />

c reated in early <strong>1998</strong>. The bank is co-owned by Po rt u g u e s e<br />

Banco Commercial Po rtuguês (25 perc e n t ),its subsidiary Banco<br />

International de Moçambique (50 percent) the IFC (15 perc e n t ),<br />

and the parastatals Te l e c o m municações de Moçambique and<br />

Electricidade de Moçambique each own 5 perc e n t . B I M<br />

I nvestimento will concentrate on joint-ve n t u res in connection<br />

with the current privatisation pro g r a m m e, and on the<br />

d evelopment of links with South A f r i c a . Electricidade de<br />

M o ç a m b i q u e ’s interests in the bank is associated with its<br />

p robable invo l vement in future hy d roelectric projects in the<br />

Zambezi valley and the construction of an aluminum smelter<br />

outside Map u t o.<br />

In September 1997 the government sold sixty percent of the<br />

last state-owned bank, the Pe o p l e ’s Development Bank, t o<br />

Southern Bank Berhard of Malaysia and a Mozambican private<br />

c o m p a ny, I nve s t e c. The state retained 20 percent of the share s<br />

and 20 percent we re re s e rved for bank employees and<br />

m a n a g e r s . Liberalisation of the insurance sector is also<br />

p ro c e e d i n g , but as yet there are no long-term insurers in<br />

M o z a m b i q u e.<br />

The money market is still undeveloped in Mozambique, a l t h o u g h<br />

the legal framework for a money market is under finalisation.<br />

The central bank issues short-term bonds on a quart e r ly basis,<br />

which are sold mainly to commercial banks. The info r m a l<br />

m o n ey market is used extensive ly.<br />

Mozambique Stock Exchange<br />

One of the key reasons for the establishment of a stock<br />

exchange in Maputo is to provide a vehicle for the facilitation of<br />

the privatisation pro g r a m m e. The “Installation Commission fo r<br />

the Mozambique Stock Exchange” was consequently set up<br />

under the Ministry of Planning and Finance in 1997 to pre p a re<br />

for the establishment of the exchange. The work is curre n t ly in<br />

its final stages and the market is expected to open befo re the<br />

end of <strong>1998</strong>.<br />

E x c h a n ge Contro l s<br />

Fo reign investors are permitted to operate both local and<br />

fo reign currency accounts. Fo reign currency accounts fo r<br />

i nvestors may be denominated as retention accounts, m e a n i n g<br />

the availability of fo reign currency is guaranteed. Fo re i g n<br />

retention accounts, w h e re fo reign currency receipts fro m<br />

M o z a m b i q u e - d e r i ved production and sales are re c e i ved and<br />

held in fo reign bank accounts, a re permitted on a case-by - c a s e<br />

b a s i s .<br />

The right to repatriate cap i t a l ,dividends and other distributions<br />

of profit is guaranteed by law to fo reign inve s t o r s .Firms are<br />

obliged to register all imports of goods or money with the<br />

Central Bank. F u t u re repatriation of non-re g i s t e red inve s t m e n t<br />

is not guaranteed.<br />

Fo reign Tr a d e<br />

M o z a m b i q u e ’s principal trading partners are South A f r i c a ,<br />

Po rt u g a l ,S p a i n ,USA and Jap a n . Due to the limited industrial and<br />

food production in Mozambique, the value of the country ’s<br />

i m p o rts far exceeds that of its export s .<br />

The country ’s main export products are cashew nu t s , p r aw n s ,<br />

lobster and cotton. Main import goods are transport and<br />

electrical equipment, food and ve g e t a b l e s .<br />

56

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