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1998 SOUTHERN AFRICA ECONOMIC ... - National Treasury

1998 SOUTHERN AFRICA ECONOMIC ... - National Treasury

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S O U T H A F R I C A<br />

F u rt h e r m o re,dual listings on the JSE and other SADC exchange<br />

a re now permitted, as are the issue of SADC depository<br />

receipts in South Africa for firms listed elsew h e re in the re g i o n .<br />

Financial institutions’ limit for investment in SADC stock<br />

exchanges was raised from a maximum of two percent of net<br />

a n nual cash inflow to 10 perc e n t ,subject to the overall asset sw ap<br />

limit of 15 perc e n t .<br />

C u rre n t ly, the JSE’s top five companies in terms of marke t<br />

c apitalisation are Anglo-American Corporation (USD9.1bn), S o u t h<br />

African Breweries (USD8.3bn), De Beers (USD7.5bn), L i b e rt y<br />

L i fe (USD6.6bn) and Sasol (USD6.2bn).<br />

s u rcharges have been abolished and the General Export<br />

I n c e n t i ve Scheme was phased out during 1997. South A f r i c a ’s<br />

tariffs for agricultural products averaged eight perc e n t , m i n i n g<br />

equipment 1.4 perc e n t ,m a nufacturing 17 perc e n t ,c o n s u m p t i o n<br />

goods 28 perc e n t , i n t e r m e d i a ry goods 6.4 percent and cap i t a l<br />

goods five perc e n t .This liberalisation will continue in line with<br />

South A f r i c a ’s commitment to the W TO.<br />

Goods from Botsw a n a ,L e s o t h o, M a l aw i ,N a m i b i a ,Swaziland and<br />

Z i m b a b we do not generally re q u i re import permits. E x p o rt<br />

permits are re q u i red for goods being exported outside SAC U<br />

JSE - Market Statistics (USDm unless otherwise stated)<br />

1 9 9 3 1 9 9 4 1 9 9 5 1 9 9 6 1 9 9 7<br />

Number of listed companies 6 4 7 6 4 0 6 4 0 6 2 6 642<br />

M a r ket cap i t a l i s a t i o n 217 , 046 259 , 523 280 , 257 241 , 246 235 , 318<br />

Number of companies making 40 33 43 52 54<br />

issues(including new issues,<br />

rights issues and bond issues)<br />

Value of new issues 4 , 1 5 0 2 , 8 1 4 5 , 3 7 5 6 , 6 1 0 5 0 , 3 1 8<br />

Volume of shares traded (m) 3 , 6 4 6 5 3 1 5 , 1 4 8 8 , 9 9 3 1 7 , 8 5 4<br />

Value of shares traded 1 3 , 4 1 4 2 0 , 1 5 7 1 7 , 4 3 8 2 7 , 2 5 5 –<br />

Number of trading day s 2 5 0 2 5 0 2 5 0 2 5 0 2 5 0<br />

JSE/Actuaries All Share Index 4 , 893 5 , 867 6 , 228 6 , 657 6 , 202<br />

Average price-earnings ratio 23 . 79 25 . 29 21 . 79 18 . 82 16 . 88<br />

of all listed companies<br />

Average dividend yield (annu a l ) 2 . 4 2 . 1 2 . 3 2 . 3 2 . 8<br />

Source: JSE <strong>1998</strong>.<br />

Fo reign Trade and Liberalisation<br />

Despite attempts to diversify its export base,South Africa is still<br />

l a r g e ly reliant on the export of primary and intermediate<br />

commodities to industrialised countries. H oweve r, m a nu f a c t u re d<br />

goods account for about 70 percent of exports to A f r i c a ,w h e re<br />

South African products have been ve ry successful, due to<br />

c o m p e t i t i ve prices, s h o rter supply routes and a go o d<br />

understanding of the African marke t .<br />

I m p o rts mainly comprise capital go o d s , r aw materials, s e m i -<br />

m a nu f a c t u red goods and consumer commodities, and originate<br />

l a r g e ly from Germany, the USA, the UK and Jap a n . T h e re is<br />

evidence that products from other African countries are losing<br />

some ground in the South African marke t ,w h i l e, South A f r i c a ’s<br />

e x p o rts to SADC jumped 30.9 percent to USD2.5bn in 1996,<br />

leading to an increase in the trade imbalance between the South<br />

Africa and the re g i o n .G e r m a ny, the USA, the UK and Japan are<br />

also major export markets for South A f r i c a , along with<br />

Switzerland and the BLNS countries (Botsw a n a ,L e s o t h o, N a m i b i a<br />

and Swaziland). South Africa re c e n t ly concluded a non-re c i p ro c a l<br />

bilateral trade agreement with Zambia, which should incre a s e<br />

trade between the two countries. South A f r i c a ’s principal export s<br />

a re go l d ,base metals and manu f a c t u red pro d u c t s .<br />

South Africa is curre n t ly in the process of liberalising trade,<br />

w h i c h , due to the economic isolation, was heav i ly re g u l a t e d .<br />

Q u a n t i t a t i ve restrictions have been replaced with tariffs, t a r i f f s<br />

h ave been phased down and their structure rationalised, i m p o rt<br />

that are considered to be in short supply or that are contro l l e d<br />

for strategic purposes.<br />

Fo reign Di rect Inve s t m e n t<br />

After the change of government in 1994,the net flow of fo re i g n<br />

d i rect investment changed from a negative balance to a positive<br />

o n e. Fo reign firms have shown an eagerness to exploit the South<br />

African marke t , enhanced by the depreciation of the Rand and<br />

the re l a t i ve political stability that South Africa has enjoyed since<br />

the 1994 elections. F u rt h e r m o re, m a ny fo reign firms use their<br />

operations in South Africa to serve the re g i o n a l ,as well as the<br />

local marke t .<br />

The largest investors in South Africa have been United States’<br />

f i r m s .Other major investors in the country have been Germany,<br />

the UK, S w i t z e r l a n d , F r a n c e, South Ko rea and Malay s i a .<br />

I nve s t m e n t f rom the Asian continent is a re l a t i ve ly new<br />

p h e n o m e n o n .One of the largest investments into South A f r i c a<br />

last year (USD1.3bn) was the purchasing of a 30 percent stake<br />

in the parastatal Te l ko m , by Te l e kom Malaysia and SBC<br />

International (USA).<br />

Multinational corporations have also start e d ,to a certain extent,<br />

to integrate South Africa into their global production netwo r k ,<br />

w h e re by South African operations would be supplying the wo r l d<br />

m a r ket as well as the local marke t .<br />

Fo reign direct investment into South Africa tends to be<br />

concentrated in the Gauteng Prov i n c e, which encompasses the<br />

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