The Price of Illicit Drugs: 1981 through the - The White House

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Appendix A: Statistical Methods 1. The STRIDE Data....................................................................................................................A-1 2. Variables ..................................................................................................................................A-2 3. A Model for Price ....................................................................................................................A-6 4. An Alternative Model for Retail Prices ...................................................................................A-9 5. A Model for Purity.................................................................................................................A-13 6. A Model for Weights .............................................................................................................A-16 7. The Relationship Between Retail and Wholesale Prices .......................................................A-19 8. Regional Prices ......................................................................................................................A-21 Appendix A: Statistical Methods: List of Figures Figure A1. Flowchart for STRIDE and DAWN ..........................................................................A-2 Figure A2. Relative Frequency of Retail Cocaine Purchases ....................................................A-11 Figure A3. Relative Frequency of Retail Heroin Purchases ......................................................A-11 Figure A4. Predicted Weights for Cocaine: Chicago, 1981-Q1 to 2000-Q2 .............................A-18 Figure A5. Monthly Retail and Wholesale Cocaine Prices: National........................................A-20 Figure A6. Monthly Retail and Wholesale Cocaine Prices: South West Border.......................A-22 Appendix A: Statistical Methods: List of Tables Table A1. Criteria for Deleting Data Point by Drug....................................................................A-1 Table A2. The Effect of Outlier Deletion on STRIDE Sample Size ...........................................A-4 Table A3. Mean Price and Parameter Estimates for Cocaine ......................................................A-8 Table A4. Mean Price and Parameter Estimates for Heroin ........................................................A-8 Table A5. Mean Price and Parameter Estimates for Methamphetamine .....................................A-9 Table A6. Mean Price and Parameter Estimates for Marijuana.................................................A-12 Table A7. Mean Price and Parameter Estimates: Retail Cocaine and Heroin ...........................A-12 Table A8. Predicted mean amounts for given nominal prices: Cocaine, Rest of U.S., Q2 2000A-12 Table A9. Predicted mean amounts for given nominal prices: Heroin, Rest of U.S., Q2 2000.A-12 Table A10. Percentage of Cell Means with no Data..................................................................A-15 Appendix B: Data Adjustments: List of Tables Table B1. Estimated DAWN Weights for Cocaine ..................................................................... B-2 Table B2. Estimated DAWN Weights for Heroin ....................................................................... B-9 Table B3. Estimated DAWN Weights for Methamphetamine................................................... B-10 Table B4. Estimated DAWN Weights for Marijuana ................................................................ B-23 Table B5. Consumer Price Index, First Half of 2000 as Reference Point ................................. B-30 Appendix C: Regional Estimates: List of Tables Table C1. Annual Cocaine Price and Purity for Six Regions for Purchases < 1 pure gram ........ C-2 Table C2. Annual Cocaine Price and Purity for Six Regions for Purchases between 1 and 10 pure grams .................................................................................. C-3 Table C3. Annual Cocaine Price and Purity for Six Regions for Purchases between 10 and 100 pure grams ............................................................................................. C-4 Table C4. Annual Cocaine Price and Purity for Six Regions for Purchases > 100 pure grams... C-5 Table C5. Annual Heroin Price and Purity for Six Regions for Purchases < 0.1 pure gram ....... C-6 Table C6. Annual Heroin Price and Purity for Six Regions for Purchases between 0.1 and 1 pure grams ...................................................................................................... C-7 Table C7. Annual Heroin Price and Purity for Six Regions for Purchases between 1 and 10 pure grams .................................................................................................... C-8 vi
Table C8. Annual Heroin Price and Purity for Six Regions for Purchases > 10 pure grams....... C-9 Table C9. Annual Methamphetamine Price and Purity for Six Regions for Purchases < 10 pure gram........................................................................................................... C-10 Table C10. Annual Methamphetamine Price and Purity for Six Regions for Purchases between 10 and 100 pure grams ............................................................................ C-11 Table C11. Annual Methamphetamine Price and Purity for Six Regions for Purchases > 100 pure grams......................................................................................................... C-12 Table C12. Annual Marijuana Price for Six Regions for Purchases < 10 pure gram ................ C-13 Table C13. Annual Marijuana Price for Six Regions for Purchases between 10 and 100 pure grams......................................................................................................... C-14 Table C14. Annual Marijuana Price for Six Regions for Purchases between 100 and 1000 pure grams ..................................................................................................... C-15 Table C15. Annual Marijuana Price for Six Regions for Purchases > 1000 pure grams........... C-16 vii
Page 1: The Price of Illicit Drugs: 1981 th
Page 5: Table of Contents Introduction.....
Page 9: Acknowledgements The authors and st
Page 12 and 13: transit zone programs almost certai
Page 14 and 15: The System To Retrieve Information
Page 16 and 17: Secondly, even if the raw data over
Page 18 and 19: same month, and an increase of $0.0
Page 20 and 21: purchases, at least as reflected by
Page 22 and 23: difficulty this causes is that STRI
Page 24 and 25: References Box G.E., Jenkins G.M.,
Page 27 and 28: Figure 1: Estimated Cocaine Price P
Page 29 and 30: Figure 3: Estimated Cocaine Purity
Page 31 and 32: Figure 5: Comparison of Heroin Reta
Page 33 and 34: Figure 7: Estimated Methamphetamine
Page 35: Figure 9: Estimated Marijuana Price
Page 38 and 39: Table 1: Estimated Quarterly Price
Page 54 and 55: Table 7: Estimated Annual Price per
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Table 9: Estimated Annual Price per
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Figure A1. Flow Chart for STRIDE an
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the subsequent removal of extreme r
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From the viewpoint of the model, th
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Table A5. Mean Price and Parameter
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200 180 160 Number of Observat ions
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Corresponding predicted real prices
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model because each purity observati
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Figure A4. Predicted Weights for Co
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Figure A5. Monthly Retail and Whole
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The approach used to obtain the Sou
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Table B1: Estimated DAWN Weights fo
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Table B5: Comsumer Price Index, Fir
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Table C1. Annual Cocaine Price and
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Table C3. Annual Cocaine Price and
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Table C5. Annual Heroin Price and P
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Table C7. Annual Heroin Price and P
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Table C9. Annual Methamphetamine Pr
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Table C11. Annual Methamphetamine P
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Table C13. Annual Marijuana Price f
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Table C15. Annual Marijuana Price f
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The Price of Illicit Drugs: 1981 through the - The White House

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