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Copyright 2004 U.P.I.<br />

United Press International<br />

June 8, 2004 Tuesday<br />

LENGTH: 908 words<br />

HEADLINE: Analysis: Despite Iraqi gains, Sadr remains<br />

BYLINE: By GAOl OECHTER<br />

DATELINE: WASHINGTON, June 8 (UPI)<br />

BODY:<br />

Despite a recent spate of positive political news Iraq-watchers of diverse stripes·agree that renegade<br />

cleric Moqtada Sadr remains the critical thorn in the country's side, and not likely to be extirpated any<br />

time soon.<br />

Incoming Iraqi Prime Minister Ayad Allawl formally outlawed on Monday the defiant Shiite cleric's Mahdi<br />

Army, a private militia of 2,000..3,000 fighters that has repeatedly clashed with U.S. forces in recent<br />

months, and barred Sadr and his lieutenants from holding public office for three years.<br />

The order is an exception to a new Iraqi policy of Including private militias and their leaders in a postwar<br />

political process In exchange for their disbanding and pledging to work with the new government, which<br />

is scheduled to take over sovereignty from coalition forces on June 30. Nine other Iraqi political parties<br />

and movements pledged on Monday to comply with the order.<br />

Juan Cole, a University of Michigan history professor and frequent commentator on the Middle East said<br />

that banning Sadr from mainstream Iraqi politics would only endanger the fragile truce between the<br />

Mahdi Army and U.S. forces in the holy ShIIte cities of Najaf and Kufa, a cease-fire that has held since<br />

Friday.<br />

"I think there Is every prospect of drawing (Sadr) Into the political process," Cole told United Press<br />

International Tuesday. "(Sadr's) forces can be potentially drawn off into the regular army and it Is better<br />

to do that than confront him."<br />

Among the obstacles to Sadr's Inclusion in mainstream Iraqi politics Is an outstanding warrant for his<br />

arrest Issued In April by an Iraqi jUdge, on charges that Sadr allegedly murdered a rival cleric last year.<br />

A State Department spokesman said Monday it believes Iraqi authorities should prosecute SadrI<br />

"It Is our view that Moqtada Sadr Is a subject of Iraqi law and that law should be applied to him, as well<br />

as to any other Iraqi citizen who has been accused of violating the law," Adam Erell told a briefing In<br />

Washington.<br />

But the Iraqi government could take advantage of the transitional nature of Iraqi politics to amend<br />

Sadr's current fugitive status, said Cole.<br />

"The charges ~galnst (Sadr) were arbitrary anyway, since no grand jury has met and had him charged.<br />

They could be allowed to lapse or given over to the clerics to handle Internally," he said.<br />

Turning the outlaw cleric into a legitimate political player would not necessarily neutralize him as a<br />

security th~at,.and may In fact increase his power; according to Amatzia Baram, a senior fellow at the<br />

https:llw3.lexis.comllawenfsolutions_secu~d/searc.hfonnsl4oBr~)\_lVse.~p?Sear~hInfoID=...11/16/2004

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