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Mobile convergence<br />

1xEV-DO handsets and cellular gateways<br />

are already available to operators.Thestandardisevolvingandthe<br />

next release termed ‘EV-DO Rev A’,<br />

that will commence carrier testing in<br />

2006, will enhance quality of service<br />

for low latency applications such as<br />

Push-to-X services, instant messaging,fullmultimediacontentandinteractive<br />

gaming. HSDPA trials are<br />

underway now with networks in<br />

Europe planning launches this year,<br />

withmomentumbuildingin2006/7.<br />

WiMAXequipmentiscurrentlybeing<br />

installed to lower the cost of fixed<br />

backhaul services. Trials are now<br />

starting for the next generation of<br />

WiMAXstandardstermed‘revisionE’,<br />

thatwillextendthetechnologytosupport<br />

data and voice mobility.<br />

Commercialmarketlaunchisexpectedin2006/07.Theseservicescanbe<br />

extendedbeyondthehomeandenterpriseasmobiledevicesthatarecompliant<br />

with ‘revision E’ standards for<br />

transmission equipment become<br />

availablein2007andbeyond.<br />

Thelaunchofnewhigh-speedservices<br />

will gather pace over the next 12-18<br />

months.Interestwillbedrivenbyconsumer<br />

demand, demonstrated by<br />

fixed-line broadband, for high-speed<br />

dataservicesandthemotivatingeffect<br />

ofcompetition.<br />

Businessplanning<br />

Attheheartofconcernsoverconvergenceliesflexibility.Theeaseofprovisioning<br />

high-speed wireless networks<br />

removes the traditional boundaries<br />

thatrequireacustomertohavedifferentcontractsformobile,ISPandlandline<br />

services. This development will<br />

havealiberatingeffectonthemarket<br />

– there is no doubt that competition<br />

willencouragecompaniestoinvestin<br />

newtechnologiestoprotectandgrow<br />

subscribernumbers.<br />

NewVoIPcompaniesareaconcernfor<br />

traditional networks but it’s unlikely<br />

that any one sector of the telecoms<br />

market will secure clear dominance.<br />

However, success can be achieved<br />

throughastuteassessmentsofservice<br />

requirements, coupled with flexible<br />

servicepackagesandtariffs.Atthetop<br />

endofthescalewillbeaservicelevel<br />

thatprovides‘onenumber’communicationsencompassingallacustomer’s<br />

requirements.<br />

Individual products can also be marketed,<br />

from broadband through to<br />

voiceoverIPandmobilepackages.It<br />

is likely that major fixed and mobile<br />

brandswithlargenumbersofexisting<br />

subscriberswillpushhardtoprovide<br />

‘one number’ services. This will<br />

become a highly competitive front as<br />

thenewhigh-speeddatatechnologies<br />

comeon-stream.<br />

Constructivedevelopments<br />

Convergenceisdramaticallychanging<br />

thetelecomsmarketandmobile,fixed<br />

andISPplayersfaceaperiodofuncertainty.<br />

However, while it is understandable,<br />

given the level of change,<br />

that industry observers refer to the<br />

‘destruction’ of traditional modes of<br />

business. Astute risk assessment,<br />

though,alongwithin-depthcustomer<br />

profilingcanmitigateinvestmentrisk.<br />

Moreover,asIPtechnologyprovidesa<br />

modular investment option, companiescanscalequicklytomeetchanges<br />

in service demand and to counter<br />

competitoractivity.<br />

It is a cliché that challenge brings<br />

opportunity, but the statement certainlyappliestotechnicalconvergence<br />

that, combined with the progress of<br />

digitisation, brings unprecedented<br />

opportunity for telecoms companies<br />

to provide a new product that consumers<br />

have already shown they are<br />

keen to utilise. Indeed, networks can<br />

create new ways to deepen customer<br />

loyalty,attractnewcustomers,reduce<br />

churnandrealisenewsourcesofrevenue.<br />

Convergence provides creative freedomforcontentandmediaownersto<br />

develop new ways to distribute their<br />

products.Thisnewcycleofinnovation<br />

may well exceed that achieved at the<br />

startoftheInternetrevolution.<br />

Convergence is also having a major<br />

impactonsociety.Peoplewillcommunicate,<br />

interact and collaborate on<br />

personaldigitalcontentcustomisedto<br />

personal preferences, location, circumstances<br />

and availability. Vehicles<br />

andtheiroccupantswillcommunicate<br />

with the world they travel through<br />

keeping them safe, informed and<br />

entertained.<br />

Convergence will also have a liberatingeffectonproductivityandefficiency.<br />

Executives will access fully functioningmobileofficesthatprovidethe<br />

sameuserexperienceasafixed,officebased,connection.Theywillbeableto<br />

communicatewithcolleaguesthrough<br />

voice, video and dedicated collaboration<br />

applications that provide the<br />

scopetoachievemoreinlesstime.Itis<br />

alsohavingamajorimpactinstreamliningbusinessbysupportingubiqui-<br />

tousaccesstodata,andbyintroducing<br />

newwaystosense,monitorandcontrol<br />

the physical world to enhance<br />

supply chains and make manufacturingprocessesmoreefficient.<br />

The impact of convergence suggests<br />

that the ‘destruction’ of traditional<br />

businessmodelsinthetelecomsmarketwillhavealiberatingeffect.Itconstructs<br />

a new platform to create and<br />

market products, attract and retain<br />

customers, and apply technology to<br />

transform the way people communicate<br />

to make their lives easier. That,<br />

after all, is the goal of technology<br />

innovators.<br />

An insight into<br />

the future!<br />

You are a decision<br />

maker;<br />

You understand your<br />

business;<br />

Do you understand<br />

how ICT affect the<br />

markets the countries<br />

and the people you<br />

serve<br />

Gain insight into how<br />

ICT leaders see the<br />

future.<br />

<strong>Connect</strong>-<strong>World</strong>,<br />

The Decision Makers’<br />

Forum for ICT Driven<br />

Development,<br />

brings you the thoughts<br />

and opinions of<br />

leaders from<br />

around the globe,their<br />

personal assessment of<br />

the issues that drive<br />

the ICT revolution and<br />

change the lives<br />

of us all.<br />

46

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