Pagpati'ut - Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue

Mediating Violence In Sulu
While this claim may be big and unsubstantiated, it actually conforms to
the ‘progressive deprivation’ theory of Tedd Gurr. Accordingly, when there
is constant rise in expectation, and when suddenly confronted with a
sudden let-down, the level of frustration can be so severe that succeeding
actions can also be extreme.
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When young Moros are given a chance to study in a higher educational
opportunity or space to use their new found skills and knowledge, the level
of frustration can be so severe, that they can either migrate (where they
27
Obviously, more research is needed to prove this claim. The topic can be
the subject of future study.
[Note that the framework of ‘progressive deprivation’ can also be used
to analyze situations where the expectations of people are raised. The
new ARMM is a good example. It is therefore more crucial for the new
regional government to perform since uprisings usually occur in situations
that create an inverted “J-curve” (see Figure 4), where following a steady
upward movement of expectations, a sharp reversal happens – usually
when the institution(s) fail to perform and fail to provide spaces for the
V. Mediating Violence
now apparent. These are Barangays Silangkan, Punay Poblacion, and
Sionogan.
Data below shows the perception of safety of the community, relative to
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26 Gurr, Ted. 19741. Why Men Rebel. New Jersey: Princeton University Press
27 This can become precarious since these young, educated Moros (especially those educated
abroad) can serve as additional link of local armed groups with international groups.