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6th International Workshop on Breast Densitometry and Breast ...

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6 th <str<strong>on</strong>g>Internati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Workshop</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Breast</strong> <strong>Densitometry</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>Breast</strong> Cancer Risk Assessment<br />

IMPACT OF THE TRANSITION TO DIGITAL MAMMOGRAPHY ON THE BENEFITS,<br />

HARMS AND COSTS OF SCREENING FOR BREAST CANCER IN THE US<br />

Natasha K. Stout, PhD 1 ; S<strong>and</strong>ra J. Lee, DSc 2 ; Clyde B. Schechter, MD MA 3 ; Oguzhan Alagoz, PhD 4,5 ;<br />

D<strong>on</strong>ald Berry, PhD 6 ; Diana S.M. Buist, PhD 7 ; Mucahit Cevik 4 ; Gary Chisholm 6 ; Harry J. de K<strong>on</strong>ing, MD<br />

PhD 8 ; Hui Huang, MS 2 ; Rebecca Hubbard PhD 7 ; Karla Kerlikowske, MD 9 ; Mark Munsell, MS 6 ; Anna N.<br />

A. Tostes<strong>on</strong>, ScD 10 ; Amy Trentham-Dietz, PhD 5 ; Nicolien T. van Ravesteyn, MSc 8 ; Diana L. Miglioretti,<br />

PhD 11 ; Jeanne S. M<strong>and</strong>elblatt, MD MPH 12<br />

1 Department of Populati<strong>on</strong> Medicine, Harvard Medical School <strong>and</strong> Harvard Pilgrim Health Care<br />

Institute, Bost<strong>on</strong>, MA; 2 Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Bost<strong>on</strong>, MA; 3 Departments of Family & Social<br />

Medicine <strong>and</strong> Epidemiology & Populati<strong>on</strong> Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Br<strong>on</strong>x, New York;<br />

4 Department of Industrial <strong>and</strong> Systems Engineering, University of Wisc<strong>on</strong>sin, Madis<strong>on</strong>, WI; 5 Department<br />

of Populati<strong>on</strong> Health Sciences <strong>and</strong> Carb<strong>on</strong>e Cancer Center, University of Wisc<strong>on</strong>sin, Madis<strong>on</strong>, WI; 6 The<br />

University of Texas M.D. Anders<strong>on</strong> Cancer Center, Houst<strong>on</strong>, TX; 7 Group Health Research Institute,<br />

Seattle, WA; 8 Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, The Netherl<strong>and</strong>s; 9 Departments of<br />

Epidemiology <strong>and</strong> Biostatistics, <strong>and</strong> General Internal Medicine Secti<strong>on</strong>, Department of Veterans Affairs,<br />

University of California, San Francisco, CA; 10 The Dartmouth Institute for Health Policy <strong>and</strong> Clinical<br />

Practice, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Leban<strong>on</strong>, NH; 11 Department of Public Health<br />

Sciences, School of Medicine, University of California, Davis; 12 Department of Oncology, Georgetown<br />

University Medical Center <strong>and</strong> Cancer Preventi<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> C<strong>on</strong>trol Program, Lombardi Comprehensive<br />

Cancer Center<br />

Fueled in part by the 2005 Digital Mammographic Imaging Trial results showing improved sensitivity for<br />

selected subgroups of women, digital mammography has quickly replaced plain film mammography for<br />

routine breast cancer screening. Use in community settings supports the modest improvements in<br />

sensitivity for younger women <strong>and</strong> women with radiographically dense breasts seen in the trial, however,<br />

specificity is reduced. Further, digital has higher cost compared with plain film mammography. The<br />

impact of the switch in technology from film to digital mammography <strong>on</strong> women’s health <strong>and</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omic<br />

costs is unclear.<br />

Therefore, we will 1) assess the health effects <strong>and</strong> m<strong>on</strong>etary costs of screening mammography using<br />

digital mammography instead of film according the 2009 US Preventive Services Task Force breast<br />

cancer screening guidelines, <strong>and</strong> 2) examine alternative screening schedules using digital mammography<br />

that extend screening to younger women or women with dense breast tissue, two subgroups where digital<br />

has been shown to perform better than film mammography. This analysis represents a collaborati<strong>on</strong><br />

between researchers from the Nati<strong>on</strong>al Cancer Institute’s Cancer Interventi<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> Surveillance Modeling<br />

Network (CISNET) <strong>and</strong> <strong>Breast</strong> Cancer Surveillance C<strong>on</strong>sortium (BCSC). We will use a comparative<br />

modeling approach with five independent CISNET computer models of U.S. breast cancer epidemiology.<br />

The models account for differential risk breast cancer risk <strong>and</strong> mammography performance by breast<br />

density using inputs based <strong>on</strong> data from the BCSC.<br />

Model outcomes will include life years, quality-adjusted life years, costs, breast cancer mortality <strong>and</strong> false<br />

positives per screening scenario. We will compute incremental cost-effectiveness ratios for the digital<br />

screening strategies both within each model <strong>and</strong> across the five models to underst<strong>and</strong> the value of<br />

alternative screening scenarios. The comparative modeling approach using five models will allow us to<br />

better account for uncertainty in breast cancer natural history <strong>on</strong> analysis c<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong>s about the benefits<br />

<strong>and</strong> harms of screening.<br />

ABSTRACTS FOR SPEAKERS<br />

25

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