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Shefrin - Behavioral & Neoclassical asset pricing theories - 2008

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Sentiment<br />

Probability<br />

0.045<br />

6<br />

0.040<br />

0.035<br />

0.030<br />

5<br />

0.025<br />

Bearish Density<br />

Bullish Density<br />

0.020<br />

Objective Density ¬<br />

0.015<br />

Equilibrium Density PM<br />

4<br />

0.010<br />

0.005<br />

3<br />

0.000<br />

96%<br />

97%<br />

98%<br />

100%<br />

101%<br />

102%<br />

103%<br />

105%<br />

106%<br />

Consumption Growth g (Gross Rate)<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

96%<br />

97%<br />

98%<br />

100%<br />

101%<br />

102%<br />

103%<br />

105%<br />

106%<br />

-1<br />

Consumption Growth Rate g (Gross)<br />

Copyright Hersh <strong>Shefrin</strong> <strong>2008</strong><br />

15

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