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SCIENCE REVIEW 1987 - Bedford Institute of Oceanography

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problems in the Vancouver area may be<br />

exacerbated in the future, but more<br />

important will be the possible flooding <strong>of</strong><br />

the Fraser Delta. Costly modifications to<br />

the existing dyke system may be required<br />

to protect the very large real estate<br />

investment on the low-lying delta plain,<br />

primarily in the communities <strong>of</strong> Delta and<br />

Richmond.<br />

The British Columbia coast is in a<br />

tectonically active area (the Cascadia<br />

subduction zone lies west <strong>of</strong> Vancouver<br />

island). Atwater (<strong>1987</strong>) reported on<br />

evidence from adjacent Washington that<br />

six major catastrophic subsidence events<br />

and their associated tsunamis (tidal waves)<br />

have occurred during the last 7000 years,<br />

caused by major earthquakes. The hazards<br />

associated with such events may outweigh<br />

the slower effects <strong>of</strong> the postulated sea-level<br />

rise.<br />

Coastal research and global change<br />

The International Geosphere Biosphere<br />

Program is a broad initiative aimed at “a<br />

fuller understanding <strong>of</strong> the earth as an<br />

interconnected whole”. Canadian researchers<br />

are well equipped to participate<br />

in this international effort. We recognize<br />

that the history <strong>of</strong> the past 20,000 years is<br />

a record <strong>of</strong> change: the retreat and final<br />

dissipation <strong>of</strong> great ice sheets, the subse-<br />

quent northward migration <strong>of</strong> boreal and<br />

temperate forest zones, and <strong>of</strong> course, the<br />

rises and falls in relative sea-level as the<br />

crust and ocean respond to the new<br />

conditions. Now that we are aware <strong>of</strong> the<br />

strong possibility <strong>of</strong> a rapid sea-level rise,<br />

we will continue to gather information<br />

about past sea-levels, since even in Atlantic<br />

Canada there are large areas where the<br />

nature <strong>of</strong> past changes remains uncertain.<br />

Without this knowledge the local impact <strong>of</strong><br />

global trends cannot be predicted<br />

adequately.<br />

We will also continue with routine<br />

coastal surveys to detect changes in coastal<br />

configuration. New monitoring sites may<br />

be established in Arctic areas which, as has<br />

been suggested, may be especially susceptible<br />

to change.<br />

Finally <strong>of</strong> course, we shall continue to<br />

watch for signs <strong>of</strong> the predicted rise. If and<br />

when it happens, we should be prepared.<br />

References<br />

ATWATER, B.F. <strong>1987</strong> Evidence for great Holocene<br />

earthquakes along the outer coast <strong>of</strong> Washington<br />

State, Science, Vol. 236, 942-944.<br />

BOYD, R., BOWEN, A.J. and HALL, R.K. <strong>1987</strong> An<br />

evolutionary model for transgressive sedimentation on<br />

the eastern shore <strong>of</strong> Nova Scotia, in Fitzgerald, D.M.<br />

and Rosen, P.F. (eds.) Glaciated Coasts, Academic<br />

Press.<br />

CLAGUE, J.J. and BORNHOLD, B.D. 1980<br />

Morphology and littoral processes <strong>of</strong> the west coast <strong>of</strong><br />

Ocean Mapping at the Atlantic Geoscience Centre<br />

R. Macnab and D.J.W. Piper<br />

R. Macnab<br />

Introduction<br />

A significant portion <strong>of</strong> Canada’s resource<br />

heritage lies <strong>of</strong>f our three coasts. Fishing<br />

and mineral rights are now the nation’s<br />

exclusive property out to 200 nautical<br />

miles in the Atlantic, Arctic, and Pacific<br />

oceans. In the Atlantic and Arctic Oceans,<br />

there is an additional potential for controlling<br />

non-living resources over vast areas <strong>of</strong><br />

the sea bed beyond 200 miles: the terms <strong>of</strong><br />

this extended jurisdiction are defined in the<br />

1982 United Nations Convention on the<br />

Law <strong>of</strong> the Sea, and will be recognized<br />

when sixty nations have ratified the<br />

Convention (about half that number have<br />

ratified so far).<br />

Ultimately, Canada’s total marine resource<br />

area (Figure 1) could be half the size<br />

<strong>of</strong> the nation’s primary landmass; fully a<br />

Canada, in The coastline <strong>of</strong> Canada, Geological<br />

Survey <strong>of</strong> Canada, Paper 80-10, Ottawa.<br />

FORBES, D.L. and FROBEL, D. 1985 Coastal<br />

erosion and sedimentation in the Canadian Beaufort<br />

Sea, in Current Research, Part B, Geological Survey<br />

<strong>of</strong> Canada, Paper 85-lB, Ottawa, 69-80.<br />

FORBES, D.L., TAYLOR, R.B., ORFORD, J.D.,<br />

CARTER, R.W.G. and SHAW, J. 1988 Gravel<br />

barrier migration and overstepping, in review.<br />

GRANT, D.R. 1970 Recent coastal submergence <strong>of</strong><br />

the Maritime Provinces, Canada, Canadian Journal <strong>of</strong><br />

Earth Sciences, Vol. 7, 676-689.<br />

GRANT, D.R. 1980 Quaternary sea-level change in<br />

Atlantic Canada as an indication <strong>of</strong> crustal delevelling,<br />

in Earth Rheology, Isostasy and Eustasy, N.A.<br />

Momer (ed.) John Wiley and Sons, London, 201-<br />

214.<br />

HOFFMAN, J.S., KEYES, D. and TITUS, J.G. 1983<br />

Projecting future sea level rise, 2nd rev. edn.,<br />

Government Printing Office, Washington D.C.<br />

MARTEC LTD, <strong>1987</strong> Effects <strong>of</strong> a one metre rise in<br />

mean sea-level at Saint John, New Brunswick and the<br />

lower reaches <strong>of</strong> the Saint John River, Climate<br />

Change Digest CCD-87-04, Environment Canada,<br />

Ottawa.<br />

PIPER, J.W., MUDIE, P.J., LETSON, J.R.J.,<br />

BARNES, N.E. and LULIUCCI, R.J. 1986 The<br />

marine geology <strong>of</strong> the inner Scotian shelf <strong>of</strong>f the South<br />

Shore, Nova Scotia, Geological Survey <strong>of</strong> Canada,<br />

Paper 85-19, Ottawa.<br />

SHAW, J. and FORBES, D.L. <strong>1987</strong> Coastal barrier<br />

and beach-ridge sedimentation in Newfoundland, in<br />

Proceedings, Canadian Coastal Conference <strong>1987</strong><br />

(Quebec), National Research Council Canada, 437-<br />

454.<br />

TAYLOR, R.B., WITTMAN, S.L., MILNE, M.J. and<br />

KOBER, S.M. 1985 Beach morphology and coastal<br />

changes at selected sites, mainland Nova Scotia, Paper<br />

85-12, Geological Survey <strong>of</strong> Canada, Ottawa.<br />

D.J. W Piper<br />

third <strong>of</strong> that - equalling the combined<br />

areas <strong>of</strong> Manitoba, Saskatchewan, and<br />

Alberta - would lie beyond the 200 mile<br />

limit.<br />

35

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