2DkcTXceO

402 Good health: Statistical challengesBernstein, L., Allen, M., Anton-Culver, H., Deapen, D., Horn-Ross, P.L.,Peel, D., Pinder, R., Reynolds, P., Sullivan-Halley, J., West, D., Wright,W., Ziogas, A., and Ross, R.K. (2002). High breast cancer incidence ratesamong California teachers: Results from the California Teachers Study(United States). Cancer Causes Control, 13:625–635.Brier, G.W. (1950). Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability.Monthly Weather Review, 78:1–3.Costantino, J.P., Gail, M.H., Pee, D., Anderson, S., Redmond, C.K., Benichou,J., and Wieand, H.S. (1999). Validation studies for models projectingthe risk of invasive and total breast cancer incidence. Journal of theNational Cancer Institute, 91:1541–1548.Ernster, V.L. (1994). Nested case-control studies. Preventive Medicine,23:587–590.Fisher, B., Costantino, J.P., Wickerham, D.L., Cecchini, R.S., Cronin, W.M.,and Robidoux, A. (2005). Tamoxifen for the prevention of breast cancer:current status of the National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and BowelProject P–1 study. Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 97:1652–1662.Fisher, B., Costantino, J.P., Wickerham, D.L., Redmond, C.K., Kavanah,M., Cronin, W.M., Vogel, V., Robidoux, A., Dimitrov, N., Atkins, J.,Daly, M., Wieand, S., Tan-Chiu, E., Ford, L., and Wolmark, N. (1998).Tamoxifen for prevention of breast cancer: Report of the National SurgicalAdjuvant Breast and Bowel Project P–1 Study. Journal of the NationalCancer Institute, 90:1371–1388.Gail, M.H., Brinton, L.A., Byar, D.P., Corle, D.K., Green, S.B., Schairer,C., and Mulvihill, J.J. (1989). Projecting individualized probabilities ofdeveloping breast cancer for white females who are being examined annually.Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 81:1879–1886.Hanley, J.A. and McNeil, B.J. (1982). The meaning and use of the area undera receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Radiology, 143:29–36.Heagerty, P.J., Lumley, T., and Pepe, M.S. (2000). Time-dependent ROCcurves for censored survival data and a diagnostic marker. Biometrics,56:337–344.Hsu, W.R. and Murphy, A.H. (1986). The attributes diagram a geometricalframework for assessing the quality of probability forecasts. InternationalJournal of Forecasting, 2:285–293.John, E.M., Hopper, J.L., Beck, J.C., Knight, J.A., Neuhausen, S.L., Senie,R.T., Ziogas, A., Andrulis, I.L., Anton-Culver, H., Boyd, N., Buys, S.S.,Daly, M.B., O’Malley, F.P., Santella, R.M., Southey, M.C., Venne, V.L.,