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Acute Aortic Disease.. - Index of

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Epidemiology: Incidence, Prevalence, and Trends 95<br />

TRENDS<br />

There is little doubt that the diagnosis <strong>of</strong> aortic aneurysm and its acute complications<br />

are being made with greater frequency. The Swedish group found a<br />

doubling in the rate <strong>of</strong> ruptured AAA over several decades (7). The Mayo group<br />

found a tripling in the diagnosis <strong>of</strong> thoracic aortic aneurysm over 15 years (8).<br />

This trend toward increased incidence <strong>of</strong> aneurysm disease over the last<br />

three decades has been confirmed also for the United States as a whole by the<br />

Centers for <strong>Disease</strong> Control (14), for Scotland (15), for the Netherlands (16), and<br />

for England and Wales (17).<br />

So, the diseases <strong>of</strong> interest to this book are definitely being diagnosed more<br />

frequently than ever before.<br />

It is unclear how much <strong>of</strong> this increased incidence is due to several important<br />

factors:<br />

Improved Diagnosis in This Era <strong>of</strong> Common Application <strong>of</strong><br />

Three-Dimensional Imaging (Computed Tomography Scan,<br />

Magnetic Resonance Imaging, and Echocardiography)<br />

This seems quite likely an important factor in the increased incidence, as so many<br />

<strong>of</strong> our aneurysm patients have the first diagnosis made on a 3D image done for<br />

entirely unrelated reasons.<br />

The Aging <strong>of</strong> Our Population<br />

This is certainly an important factor, as aneurysm disease increases with age.<br />

True Increase in <strong>Disease</strong> Incidence, Independent <strong>of</strong> Diagnosis<br />

and Population Age<br />

This possibility is intriguing. Best et al. feel that, in addition to improved diagnosis<br />

<strong>of</strong> existing cases and aging <strong>of</strong> the population, a “genuine and persistent rise in the<br />

incidence <strong>of</strong> AAA has probably occurred” (15). They find this increase especially<br />

interesting in terms <strong>of</strong> its contrast with the general decrease in arteriosclerotic<br />

vascular disease realized through the vigorous preventive efforts <strong>of</strong> the last several<br />

decades. If we are living in an era <strong>of</strong> true increase in the incidence <strong>of</strong> aneurysm<br />

disease, the relevant causes are obscure.<br />

Genetics<br />

There is an important observation regarding the impact <strong>of</strong> genetic syndromes on<br />

the epidemiology <strong>of</strong> thoracic aortic aneurysms. This concerns the relative contributions<br />

<strong>of</strong> Marfan’s disease and bicuspid aortic valve disease to the incidence <strong>of</strong><br />

aortic aneurysm.<br />

Marfan’s disease is more widely recognized as a cause <strong>of</strong> aneurysm and<br />

dissection. Nonetheless, Marfan’s disease is relatively uncommon, affecting only<br />

1 in 10,000 live births. A patient with Marfan’s disease has a 40% likelihood over<br />

a lifetime <strong>of</strong> developing an aortic dissection.

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