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Acute Aortic Disease.. - Index of

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Natural History <strong>of</strong> Thoracic <strong>Aortic</strong> Aneurysms 185<br />

Arteriosclerosis<br />

Joyce et al. (51) in 1964 studied 107 patients who had nondissecting, nonsurgically<br />

treated TAAs. Approximately 73% were considered “arteriosclerotic” in<br />

origin, and the incidence <strong>of</strong> syphilitic aneurysms at that time had fallen to 20%.<br />

One <strong>of</strong> the reasons that the natural history <strong>of</strong> aortic aneurysms has been<br />

difficult to record is the fact that arteriosclerosis is so prevalent in this population.<br />

Joyce et al. (51) attributed the most deleterious effects on survival to the presence<br />

<strong>of</strong> associated coronary, cerebral, or other peripheral arterial occlusive or aneurysmal<br />

disease. In their study, approximately 50% <strong>of</strong> patients with aortic aneurysms<br />

were not alive at five years after diagnosis. Whether arteriosclerosis is a cause<br />

<strong>of</strong> aortic aneurysm formation, or simply a coexisting disease process, is still a<br />

matter <strong>of</strong> debate.<br />

EVIDENCE-BASED CLINICAL DECISION-MAKING<br />

FOR THORACIC AORTIC ANEURYSM<br />

TAAs are serious conditions that frequently require surgical intervention due to<br />

the threat <strong>of</strong> dissection or rupture. The natural history <strong>of</strong> aortic aneurysm is <strong>of</strong>ten<br />

related to the specific location and the primary cause <strong>of</strong> the disease. The decisionmaking<br />

process is further complicated by the greater risks <strong>of</strong> thoracic aortic<br />

replacement compared to abdominal aortic replacement.<br />

In developing management protocols for appropriate patient selection for<br />

surgery, it is essential to study risk factors that may influence the natural history<br />

<strong>of</strong> the disease. The specific objective is to select patients for whom the operative<br />

risks are justified.<br />

Our team at the Yale Center for Thoracic <strong>Aortic</strong> <strong>Disease</strong> has developed and<br />

maintained a robust clinical database to:<br />

1. Further define the natural history <strong>of</strong> TAAs in terms <strong>of</strong> thoracic aortic<br />

growth, incidence <strong>of</strong> complications (dissection and rupture), and<br />

survival;<br />

2. determine risk factors for thoracic aortic growth, dissection, and<br />

rupture; and<br />

3. define scientific criteria for surgical intervention based on the natural<br />

history available from these patients.<br />

The Yale observations confirm that TAA is, over the long term, a lethal<br />

disease. Figure 7A illustrates that patients with TAA do, indeed, have a dramatically<br />

poorer natural outlook than an age and sex-matched general population.<br />

Figure 7B illustrates that patients with descending aneurysms do have a poorer<br />

outlook than those with ascending aneurysm. Figure 7C illustrates that patients<br />

with dissection fare more poorly than patients free <strong>of</strong> dissection. And, Figure 7D<br />

shows that prognosis depends on size <strong>of</strong> the aortic aneurysm: patients with larger<br />

aneurysms do more poorly. Careful scrutiny <strong>of</strong> Figure 7D reveals that that TAA is

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