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ECONOMIC

Report - The American Presidency Project

Report - The American Presidency Project

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lateral swap facilities had been increased by $6*4 billion; the amount offoreign currencies that the Federal Reserve could borrow from other centralbanks thus rose to nearly $18 billion. In fact, intervention by theFederal Reserve amounted to only about $250 million during the last 3weeks of July. During this period the dollar rose by around 4 percentagainst the jointly floating European currencies.The fourth quarter of 1973: The dollar rises further. During the fourthquarter the appreciation of the dollar continued, in part because it wasthought that the United States was in a relatively better position thanWestern European countries and Japan to deal with the cutback of oilproduction in the Middle East and the simultaneous increase in world oilprices. At the same time, the surpluses in U.S. trade were becoming larger,and figures published for the long-term investment account began to showa surplus. Between September 28 and December 27 the dollar rose by about 11percent against the jointly floating European currencies. By the end of theyear the dollar was thus approximately back to its February post-devaluationlevel. The dollar was rising so fast, in fact, that some foreign centralbanks found it increasingly desirable to reduce their controls on capital inflowsand to sell off some of the dollars which they had accumulated in thepast. Foreign exchange reserves of the Bank of Japan and the Bundesbankdeclined by $1 billion each during the October to November period as aresult of their dollar sales.Increasingly in the fourth quarter the exchange markets became dominatedby the energy crisis and the abrupt and massive additions to importcosts of oil. Early in January 1974 both the yen and the European currenciesfloating jointly depreciated sharply, and in some cases reached levelslower than those prevailing immediately after the multilateral adjustmentof February 1973. On January 21, the French franc was allowed to floatfreely, and immediately declined by 5 percent.Over the year as a whole the functioning of the exchange market improvedas traders gained experience with floating exchange rates. This can beseen, for instance, in the narrowing spread between the buying and sellingrates of the major currencies traded and in.the diminished day-to-day fluctuationsof these currencies. In general, one has to conclude that despitethe dramatic decline and the equally dramatic rise of the dollar against themajor European currencies, foreign exchange markets functioned remarkablywell, and only on a few days was it difficult to carry out foreign exchangetransactions.What Happened to All Those Dollars?Over the years a large volume of dollars has been accumulated by foreigners,both governments and private individuals. To a large extent thesedollars are held because the dollar is the most widely used currency for internationaltransactions, and a stock of dollars was therefore useful for all thereasons that induce people to hold money. Dollars are thus held voluntarilyby private banks, corporations, and individuals. They are also held volun-187

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