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TABLE O27.—Unemployment by duration, 1947-73Year or monthTotal unemploymentLess than5 weeksDuration of unemployment5-14weeks15-26weeks27 weeksand overAverage(mean)durationin weeksThousands of persons 16 years of age and over1947194819492,3112,2763,6371,2101,3001,7567046691,1942341934281641162568.610.0195019511952195319543,2882,0551,8831,8343,5321,4501,1771,1351 1421,6051,0555745164821,116425166148132495357137847831712.19.78.48.011.819551956 . . .1957195819592,8522,7502,8594,6023,7401,3351,4121,4081,7531,5858158058911,3961,11436630132178546933623223966757113.011.310.513.914.41960 . . . . .196119621963 . . ..19643,8524,7143,9114,0703,7861,7191,8061,6631,7511,6971,1761,3761,1341,2311,11750372853453549145480458555348212.815.614.714.013.3196519661967196819693,3662,8752,9752,8172,8321,6281,5731,6341,5941,62998377989381082740428727125624235123917715613311.810.48.88.47.919701971197219734,0884,9934,8404,3042,1372,2342,2232,1961,2891,5781,4591,2964276655974752355175623378.711.312.010.0Seasonally adjusted i1972: JanFebMarAprMayJune5,0844,9675,0504,9524,9174,8382,3622,1162,3252,1972,2032,2371,5081,4701,4251,5071,5171,45864265460553059460459264761964258455412.112.412.212.512.312.5JulyAug . ...SeptOctNovDec4,8244,8584,7714 8704,4904,4202,2122,2332,3102 2852,1581,9821,4861,5061,3831,4361,3651,42364361456958155851951853554951247045811.912.012.111.811.411.31973: JanFeb . ..MarAprMayJune4,3814,4864,3804,4184 3134,3002,0812,2642,1682,2072 2512,2441,3691,2641,3371,4871,2871,21051053349646747046340736537332034832610.910.510.510.010.09.7JulyAugSeptOctNovDec4,2074,1914,2404,1004,2544,3642,2252,2062,1582,0012,2432,3081,2671,2201,3391,2831,2351,2704784464764314694092773312923253513319.810.09.410.310.09.3i Because of independent seasonal adjustment of the various series, detail will not add to totals.Note—See footnote 2 and Note, Table C-24.Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.280
TABLE C—28.—Unemployment insurance programs, selected data, 1946—731946..1947..1948..1949..1950.1951.1952..1953..1954..1955..1956.1957.1958..1959..1960.1961.1962.1963..1964.1965..1966.1967.1968.1969.Year or month1970...1971 ...1972 p..1973 P..1972: Jan"..Feb*._Mar»»..Apr'..Mayp..June p..July *..Aug*._Sept*.Oct *___Dec P1973: Jan p..Feb p..Mar p..Apr p..May p..June p.July p..Aug p..Sept p-Oct p...NOVP..Dec p..Coveredemployment*All programsInsuredunemployment(weeklyaverage)23Totalbenefitspaid(millionsof dollars)2 iInsuredunemployment3InitialclaimsExhaustions*State programsInsured unemploymentas percentof coveredemploymentThousands Weekly average, thousands Percent31,85633,87634,64633,09834,30836,33437,00638,07236,62240,01842,75143,43644,41145,72846,33446, 26647,77648,43449,63751, 58054,73956,34257, 97759,99959, 5268 59,3752,8041,7931,4462,4741,6051,0001,0691,0672,0511,3991,3231,5713,2692,0992,0712,9941,9461,9731,7531,4501,1291,2701,1871,1772, 878. 51, 785. 51, 328. 72, 269.81, 467.6862.91,043. 51,050.62, 291.81,560.21, 540.61.913.04, 290.62, 854. 33,022. 84, 358.13.145.13, 025. 92,749. 22, 360. 41,890.92, 221. 52,191. 02, 298. 62,070 4,179.12,313 5,498.22,185 5,000.01,783 4,441.83,0973,1222,9222,4302,1051,9512,0871,7631,5541,5121,6921,9942,3332,2502,0751,8281,6101,5231,6401,5721,4401,4511,6652,003530.1548.9593.2449.0423.1383.1375.2391.1307.8304.1325.3350.2509.2447.0473.9393.3365.9309.4320.9346.9273.9309.3320.9371.21,2959979801,9731,5139691,0449901,8701,2651,2151,4462,5261,6841,9082,2901,7837 1,8061,6051,3281,0611,2051,1111,1011,8052,1501,8481,6272,5242,4922,2792,0051,7401,6361,8231,5651,3881,3571,5071,8012,1242,0611,8981,6691,4651,3841,5051,4361,2991,2981,5011,8891891872003402362082152183042261112703692773313503027 298268232203226201200296295261246385293242237216250321213190214253324331249213216193206275212186210265395382420373616181534252023503331463230262115171616253837304040404339363533292728283332333331282727252429324.33.13.06.24.62.82.92.85.23.53.23.66.44.44.85.64.44.33.83.02.32.52.22.13.44.13.52.84.84.74.33.83.33.13.42.92.62.52.73.33.83.73.42.82.52.42.52.42.12.12.43.1UnadjustedSeasonallyadjusted3.53.63.63.63.63.63.63.43.43.33.23.02.72.82.82.72.72.72.62.72.82.82.82.9Benefits paid1,094.9775.1789.91.736.01.373.1840.4998.2962.22,026.91,350.31,380.71,733.93, 512.72.279.02,726. 73,422.72,675.42,774.72.522.12,166.01,771.32,092. 32,031. 62,127.93,848.54,957.04,550.04,105.0484.7502.9541.9407.9381.2344.4338.6349.7274.7273.7294.4320.9471.4416.4441.0365.7339.2286.6296.3316.3248.3280.7301.4341.6Total(millionsofdollars)*Averageweeklycheck(dollars)*18.5017.8319.0320.4820.7621.0922.7923.5824.9325.0427.0228.1730.5830.4132.8733.8034.5635.2735.9237.1939.7541.2543.4346.1750.3454.0256.0358.5055.5056.0457.2157.1256.4055.2355.7555.5360.1656.9557.5958.3558.6959.0859.0959.4158.4458.1257.4257.4658.1358.9758.6358.711 Includes persons under the State, UCFE (Federal employee, effective January 1955), and RRB (Railroad RetirementBoard) programs. Beginning October 1958, also includes the UCX program (unemployment compensation for ex-servicemen).2 Includes State, UCFE, RR, UCX, UCV (unemployment compensation for veterans, October 1952-January 1960), andSRA (Servicemen's Readjustment Act, September 1944-September 1951) programs. Also includes Federal and Stateextended benefit programs.3 Covered workers who have completed at least 1 week of unemployment.4 Annual data are net amounts and monthly data are gross amounts. Monthly data exclude extended benefit payments.8 Individuals receiving final payments in benefit year. Data for New Jersey not available for April-June 1971.8 For total unemployment only. Excludes data for New Jersey for April-December 1971.7 Programs include Puerto Rican sugarcane workers for initial claims and insured unemployment beginning July 1963.8 Latest data available for all programs combined. Workers covered by State programs account for about 89 percent ofthe total.Source: Department of Labor, Manpower Administration.281
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ECONOMICTRANSMITTEDTO THE CONGRESSF
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CONTENTSPageECONOMIC REPORT OF THE
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ECONOMIC REPORT OF THE PRESIDENTTo
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of the inflation rate of 1973, and
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or permit incentives—including hi
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people of an easy time. Like our pa
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THE PRESIDENT:LETTER OF TRANSMITTAL
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CHAPTER 3. INFLATION CONTROL UNDER
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Page7. Unemployment Rates by Sex an
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Page53. Maximum Percent Change in E
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We have specific problems, too, asi
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This curtailment of supply does, of
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consumption we would not have chose
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outside the food and fuel sectors a
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about $14 billion from deficit to s
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8 percent, at annual rates. Continu
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A third method, which seems to have
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DEVELOPMENT OF LOW-COST ENERGY FOR
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would otherwise have been invested
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TRANSPORTATION REFORMLast year the
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constraints. Restrictions on entry
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In early 1974 the Commerce Departme
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Consumer SpendingConsumer expenditu
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Chart 1Changes in GNP, Real GNP, GN
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During the fourth quarter the downt
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A number of points may be noted abo
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income do not appear to have played
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Chart 2Changes in Real GNPPERCENTUN
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of essentially declining participat
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The unemployment rate for adult mal
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from job losers, the remainder of t
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to maintain a somewhat larger work
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Chart 3Changes in Selected Price Me
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TABLE 12.—Changes in selected pri
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production workers, and it is sensi
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the profits that companies report a
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Two measures of changes in income t
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About $8 billion of the growth in e
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effect of covered wage and employme
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Since these apparent stabilization
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MONETARY POLICY AND FINANCIAL MARKE
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lation requiring ceilings on all CD
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TABLE 19.—Offerings of new securi
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CHAPTER 3Inflation Control Under th
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(A more detailed presentation of th
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ate of advance in grocery store foo
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to the economy but also in the sens
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were imposed, limiting prices to th
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spurring of domestic inflation by e
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was more than twice as high in 1973
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wage increases in many cases, const
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TABLE 26.—Behavior of items in co
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Chart 6Changes in RelatedWholesale
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and natural gas. A complex set of f
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CHAPTER 4Energy and AgricultureFOR
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al gas have contributed to the low
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TABLE 30*—Wholesale prices, all i
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tion sector, which in 1972 accounte
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United States on oil imports, OPEC
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of old oil and prices of imported a
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LONG-TERM PROSPECTSThe price of imp
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important that the higher costs be
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improving the environment. The fund
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pollutants into the atmosphere will
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of research and rapid mechanization
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lion in fiscal 1972. Actually the a
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a minimum income. Unless prices fal
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The Administration supports the exa
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and estimates of some of these effe
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Since families typically pool their
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ability were not perfectly correlat
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Farm wages and farm income received
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TABLE 37.—Average usual weekly ea
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Chart 9Real Incomes for Men in Diff
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ecause they have acquired more expe
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whose owners or white workers have
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Several factors can be mentioned to
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y social pressures, however, which
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TABLE 42.—Relation of wage and sa
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ferences in their mix of occupation
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for public housing may be valued by
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8 to 20 percent for black females.
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sufficiently high to cover the addi
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TABLE 45.—Federal Government tran
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given to the problems of poverty du
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TABLE 47.—Trends in the employmen
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enefit increases greater than the i
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(Table 45). Medicare is chiefly des
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Public assistance is specifically d
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Then, subtracting equation (4) from
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policies, and the tensions among co
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In the fourth quarter the dollar ro
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which include trade, grants and oth
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tarily by foreign central banks, ev
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ply of oil, and by domestic price c
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in the United States. In view of th
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TABLE 52.—U.S. balances on intern
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esult from changes in market value
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TABLE 54.—Major changes in capita
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attempt was made to agree on a code
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The official price of gold was rais
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system, these demand changes were a
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What Pressures Should Be Exerted on
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The composition of reserves among d
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prices of approximately the same or
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tained, they would probably be felt
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Reducing Nontariff BarriersIn order
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Structural problems. Agreements on
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arrangements which are designed to
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capital and the means of putting th
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Canada and four smaller countries u
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currencies have appreciated relativ
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Effective Changes in Other Currenci
Page 235 and 236: Activities of the Advisory Committe
Page 237: Appendix BREPORT TO THE PRESIDENT O
Page 241 and 242: Report to the President on the Acti
Page 243 and 244: govern the exploitation of the reso
Page 245 and 246: Manpower and Social Affairs Committ
Page 247 and 248: Junior Staff EconomistsJames S. Fac
Page 249: Appendix CSTATISTICAL TABLES RELATI
Page 252 and 253: PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY:Pa
Page 255 and 256: NATIONAL INCOME OR EXPENDITURETABLE
Page 257 and 258: TABLE C-2.—Gross national product
Page 259 and 260: TABLE C-3.—Implicit price deflato
Page 265 and 266: TABLE C—8.—Gross national produ
Page 267 and 268: TABLE C-10.—Gross national produc
Page 269 and 270: TABLE C-12.—Personal consumption
Page 271 and 272: TABLE C-14.—Relation of gross nat
Page 273 and 274: TABLE C—16.—Relation of nationa
Page 275 and 276: TABLE C-18.— Total and per capita
Page 277 and 278: TABLE C-19.—Sources of personal i
Page 279 and 280: TABLE C-21.—Saving by individuals
Page 281 and 282: POPULATION, EMPLOYMENT, WAGES, ANDP
Page 283 and 284: TABLE C-24.—Noninstitutional popu
Page 285: TABLE C-26.— Selected unemploymen
Page 289 and 290: TABLE C-29.—Wage and salary worke
Page 291 and 292: TABLE C-31.—.•Average weekly ea
Page 293 and 294: TABLE C-33.—Changes in output per
Page 295 and 296: TABLE C—35.—Industrial producti
Page 297 and 298: TABLE C-37.—Capacity utilization
Page 299 and 300: TABLE C—38.—New construction ac
Page 301 and 302: TABLE C-39.—New housing starts an
Page 303 and 304: TABLE C-41.—Sales and inventories
Page 305 and 306: TABLE C-43.—Manvjacturers* new an
Page 307 and 308: TABLE O45.—Consumer price indexes
Page 309 and 310: TABLE C—47.—Consumer price inde
Page 311 and 312: TABLE C~49.—Wholesale price index
Page 313 and 314: TABLE C-50.—Wholesale price index
Page 315 and 316: 194819491950.,1951195219531954Yearo
Page 317 and 318: TABLE C-53.—Commercial bank loans
Page 319 and 320: TABLE G-54.—Total funds raised in
Page 321 and 322: TABLE C-56.—Federal Reserve Bank
Page 323 and 324: TABLE C-58.—Bond yields and inter
Page 325 and 326: TABLE C-59.—Short- and intermedia
Page 327 and 328: TABLE C-61.—Mortgage debt outstan
Page 329 and 330: TABLE C-63.—Net public and privat
Page 331 and 332: TABLE C-65.—Federal budget receip
Page 333 and 334: TABLE C-66.—Relation of the Feder
Page 335 and 336: TABLE C-68.—Receipts and expendit
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TABLE C-10.—State and local gover
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TABLE C-72.—Estimated ownership o
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CORPORATE PROFITS AND FINANCETABLE
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TABLE C-76.—Relation of profits a
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TABLE C-77.—Sources and uses of f
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TABLE C-79.—State and municipal a
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TABLE C-81.—Business formation an
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Year1929...1933...1939...1940...194
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TABLE C-85.—Indexes of prices rec
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TABLE G-87.—Comparative balance s
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TABLE G-88.— U.S. balance of paym
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TABLE C-90.— U.S. merchandise exp
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TABLE C-92.—International reserve
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TABLE G-94.—International investm
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TABLE C-96.—Consumer price indexe
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