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TABLE G-58.—Bond yields and interest rates, 1929-73—Continued(Percent per annumlYear or month3-monthTreasurybills iU.S. Government securities9-12monthissues 23-5yearissues 3Taxablebonds 4Corporatebonds(Moody's)AaaBaaHighgrademunicipalbonds(Standard&Poor's)Averagerate onshorttermbankloansto businessselectedcitiesPrimecommercialpaper,monthsFederalReserveBankdiscountrateFHAnewhomemortgageyields s1971: JanFebMarAprMayJune4.4943.7733.3233.7804.1394.6994.293.803.664.214.935.575.725.314.745.426.026.365.915.845.715.755.965.947.367.087.217.257.537.648.748.398.468.458.628.755.705.555.445.656.146.227 6.596.015.114.474.194.575 105.455.234.914 754.754 754 758.407 327 377 75JulyAugSeptOctNovDec5.4055.0784.6684.4894.1914.0235.895.675.314.744.504.386.776.395.965.685.505.425.915.785.565.465.445.627.647.597.447.397.267.258.768.768.598.488.388.386.315.955.525.245.305.366.516.185.755.735.755.544.924.744 885.005.005 004.904.637 897.977.927 847.757.621S72: Jan .FebMarAprMayJune3.4033.1803.7233.7233.6483.8743.994.074.544.844.584.875.335.515.746.015.695.775.625.675.665.745.645.597.197.277.247.307.307.238.238.238.248.248.238.205.255.335.305.455.265.375.525.594.083.934.174.584.514.644.504.504.504.504.504.507.597.497 467.457.507 53JulvAugSeptOctNovDec4.0594.0144.6514.7194.7745.0614.894.915.495.415.225.465.865.926.166.116.036.075.575.545.705.695.505.637.217.197.227.217.127.088.238.198.098.067.997.935.395.295.365.205.035.035.846.334.854.825.145.305.255.454 504.504.504.504.504.507 547.547.557 567.577.571973: JanFebMarAprMayJune5.3075.5586.0546.2896.3487.1885.786.076.816.796.837.276.296.616.856.746.786.765.946.146.206.116.226.327.157.227.297.267.297.377.907.978.038.098.068.135.055.125.305.165.125.156.527.355.786.226.857.147.277.994.775.055.505.505.906.337.567.557.567.637.737.79JulyAugSeptOctNovDec8.0158.6728 4787.1557.8667.3648.378.828.447.427.667.387.497.757.166.816.966.806.536.816.426.266.316.357.457.687.637.607.677.688.248.538.638.418.428.485.395.475.115.055.175.129.2410.089.1810.2110.238.928.949.086.987.297.507.507.507.507.898.199.188.978.861 Rate on new issues within period. First issued in December 1929.3 Certificates of indebtedness and selected note and bond issues.3 Selected note and bond issues.* First issued in 1941. Series includes bonds which are neither due nor callable before a given number of years as follows:April 1953 to date, 10 years; April 1952-March 1953,12 years; October 1941-March 1952,15 years.* Data for first of the month, based on the maximum permissible interest rate (8H percent beginning August 25,1973).Through July 1961, computed on 25-year mortgages paid in 12 years and thereafter, 30-year mortgages paid in 15 years.6 From October 30, 1942, to April 24,1946, a preferential rate of 0.50 percent was in effect for advances secured byGovernment securities maturing in 1 year or less.7 Series revised. Not strictly comparable with earlier data.N Ote.—Yields and rates computed for New York City except for short-term bank loans.Sources: Department of Housing and Urban Development, Department of the Treasury, Board of Governors of theFederal Reserve System, Moody's Investors Service, and Standard & Poor's Corporation.318
TABLE C-59.—Short- and intermediate-term consumer credit outstanding, 1929-73[Millions of dollars]End of year ormonthTotalTotalInstalment creditAutomobilepaperOtherconsumergoodspaperHomeimprovementloans*Personalloansr^oninstalmentcrediTotalOther 2ChargeaccountsAddendum:Policyloans bylife insurancecompaniess1929.7,1163, 5241,3841,544275693, 5921,9961, 5962,37919333,8851, 7?349379915416?, lfi?1,2868763 7691939.7,2224, 5031,4971,6202981,088? 7191,4141 3053,248194019411942.194319441945.19461947.1948.1949.8,3389,1725,9834,9015,1115,6658,38411, 59814,44717, 364\ 5146 085166?' 13fi? 1762, 4624, 17?6, 6958 99611, 5902,0712,4587423553974559811,9243,0184,5551,8271,9291,1958197918161,2902,1432,9013,7063713762551301191824057188538981,2451,3229748328691,0091,4961,9102,2242,431?, 8?43 0872, 817?, 7fiS2, 9353,2034,2124, 9035 4f>15, 7741 4711,6451,4441 440i; 5171,6122,0762,3812,7222,8541, 3S31, 44?1, 3731, 3? 1 )1, 418591?\ 1362, 522? 7?92, 9203 0912 9192,6832 3732 1341,9621 8941,9372,0572,24019501951.195219531954.195519561957.19581959.21,47122,71227, 52031,39332,46438, 83042,33444,97145,12951, 54414, 70S15, 29419, 403?\ DOS23, 568?8,31, 7?n33, 86833, fi4?39,2476,0745,9727,7339,8359,80913,46014, 42015, 34014,15216,4204,7994,8806,1746,7796,7517,6418,6068,8449,02810,6311,0161,0851,3851,6101,6161,6931,9052,1012,3462,8092,8143,3574,1114,7815,3926,1126,7897,5828,1169,386fi, 7fiR7, 4188, 1178,3888, 8969, 9?4in, 614ii, 10311, 48712, 2973,3673,7004 1304,2744,4854 7954,9955,1465 0605,1043 4013, 7183, 9874, 1144, 4115, 1?9\ 6195, 957fi, 4?77, 1932,4132,5902 7132,9143,1273,2903,5193,8694,1884,61819601961.1962.19631964.196519661967.19681969.56,14157,98263, 82171,73980, 26889, 88396, 239100,783110,770121,14642,96843, 89148, 72055,6?70,76,7987,48669?893?454?874597,10517,65817,13519, 38122, 25424, 93428,43730,01029, 79632,94835, 52711,54511,86212,62714,17716,33318, 48320, 73222, 38924, 62628,3133,1483,2213,2983,4373,5773,7363,8414,0084,2394,61310,61711,67313,41415,61817, 84820, 23721,66223, 23525, 93228,65217314, 09115 10116, ?S317, 57fi18,99019,994?1 355?3, 0?524, 0415,3295,3245,6845,9036,1956,4306,6867,0707,1937,3737, 8448,7679,41710 3sn 11 3811? •ifif)13 30814 ?8515 83?16,6685,2315,7336,2346,6557,1407,6789,11710,05911,30613,82519701971.1972.1973*1972:Jan ...FebMarAprMayJune127,163138,394157, 564180, 800137,426136,941137,879139,410141,450143,812102, 064111,295127, 332148,100110,110111112114116757510?574391833fi535,18438,66444,12951, 40038,45038,51638,85339, 34840, 06341,01931,46534,35340,08047, 75034, 04633, 57933, 69533, 98134, 43935, 0415,0705,4136,2017 3505,3995,4035,4375,5045,6045,71730, 34532, 86536,92241,60032, 86233,01233, 27233, 60634, 07734, 588?5 09927 09930 2323? 70026 66926 431?6 6??26 97127 ?fi727, 4477,9688,3509,0029,6007,6306,9876,9637,1797,4647,61017,13118 74921 230?3 inn19 03919 44419 65919 79219 80319 83716,06417,06518, 00317,13017,18617,26717,35217,43417,522July. .. .AugSept. . .Oct.NovDec145,214147, 631148,976150, 576152, 968157, 564117,702119,911121,193122, 50512412732533241,60342, 32342, 64443,16243, 67444,12935, 47036,18836, 74537,21638, 06440, 0805,7975,9506,0496,1246,1746,20134, 83235, 45035, 75536, 00336, 41336, 92227 512?7 7?n27 783?8 07128 64330 2327,6447,7177,6937,7808,0109,00219,86820, 00320, 09020, 29120, 63321, 23017,60117,69117, 77117,85517,92718, 003197 VJanFebMarAprMay .June157, 227 1?7 3fi8157, 582 127 959159, 320 129 375161,491 131 0??164, 277 133 531167, 083 136,01844, 35344,81745,61046, 47847, 51848, 54939, 95239,79539,95140, 44141, 09641, 8536,1936,2396,3286,4086,5416,68836, 87037,10837, 48637, 69538,37638,92829 8S929, 62329,94530.46930 74fi31 0658,3577,6467,7028,0368,3198,55521 r 50221 97722 243?? 433?? 4?722 ,51018, 08018,16618, 28818, 42018, 53318, 673JulyAugSeptOct .Nov .Dec 4169,148171,978173, 035174,840176,969180,800138 r 212140 81014? 093143 610145 400148 10049,35250,23250,55751,09251,37151,40042,57543, 50544, 01944, 63245,59247, 7506,8457,0097 1207,2357,3217,35039,44040, 06440,39740,65141,11641,60030313n 31313293616894?2305697008,4798,6058,3358,5908,7859,600?? 457?? 563?? 60722,640?? 78423,10018, 84119,18119,51119,76819, 9261 Holdings of financial institutions only; holdings of retail outlets are included in other consumer goods paper.2 Single-payment loans and service credit.3 Data are annual statement asset values. These loans are not included in consumer credit series.* Preliminary; by Council of Economic Advisers.Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Institute of Life Insurance (except as noted).319
Page 1:
ECONOMICTRANSMITTEDTO THE CONGRESSF
Page 5:
CONTENTSPageECONOMIC REPORT OF THE
Page 9 and 10:
ECONOMIC REPORT OF THE PRESIDENTTo
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of the inflation rate of 1973, and
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or permit incentives—including hi
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people of an easy time. Like our pa
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THE PRESIDENT:LETTER OF TRANSMITTAL
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CHAPTER 3. INFLATION CONTROL UNDER
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Page7. Unemployment Rates by Sex an
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Page53. Maximum Percent Change in E
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We have specific problems, too, asi
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This curtailment of supply does, of
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consumption we would not have chose
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outside the food and fuel sectors a
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about $14 billion from deficit to s
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8 percent, at annual rates. Continu
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A third method, which seems to have
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DEVELOPMENT OF LOW-COST ENERGY FOR
Page 44 and 45:
would otherwise have been invested
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TRANSPORTATION REFORMLast year the
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constraints. Restrictions on entry
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In early 1974 the Commerce Departme
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Consumer SpendingConsumer expenditu
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Chart 1Changes in GNP, Real GNP, GN
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During the fourth quarter the downt
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A number of points may be noted abo
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income do not appear to have played
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Chart 2Changes in Real GNPPERCENTUN
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of essentially declining participat
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The unemployment rate for adult mal
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from job losers, the remainder of t
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to maintain a somewhat larger work
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Chart 3Changes in Selected Price Me
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TABLE 12.—Changes in selected pri
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production workers, and it is sensi
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the profits that companies report a
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Two measures of changes in income t
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About $8 billion of the growth in e
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effect of covered wage and employme
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Since these apparent stabilization
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MONETARY POLICY AND FINANCIAL MARKE
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lation requiring ceilings on all CD
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TABLE 19.—Offerings of new securi
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CHAPTER 3Inflation Control Under th
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(A more detailed presentation of th
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ate of advance in grocery store foo
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to the economy but also in the sens
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were imposed, limiting prices to th
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spurring of domestic inflation by e
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was more than twice as high in 1973
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wage increases in many cases, const
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TABLE 26.—Behavior of items in co
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Chart 6Changes in RelatedWholesale
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and natural gas. A complex set of f
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CHAPTER 4Energy and AgricultureFOR
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al gas have contributed to the low
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TABLE 30*—Wholesale prices, all i
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tion sector, which in 1972 accounte
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United States on oil imports, OPEC
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of old oil and prices of imported a
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LONG-TERM PROSPECTSThe price of imp
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important that the higher costs be
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improving the environment. The fund
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pollutants into the atmosphere will
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of research and rapid mechanization
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lion in fiscal 1972. Actually the a
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a minimum income. Unless prices fal
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The Administration supports the exa
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and estimates of some of these effe
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Since families typically pool their
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ability were not perfectly correlat
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Farm wages and farm income received
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TABLE 37.—Average usual weekly ea
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Chart 9Real Incomes for Men in Diff
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ecause they have acquired more expe
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whose owners or white workers have
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Several factors can be mentioned to
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y social pressures, however, which
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TABLE 42.—Relation of wage and sa
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ferences in their mix of occupation
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for public housing may be valued by
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8 to 20 percent for black females.
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sufficiently high to cover the addi
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TABLE 45.—Federal Government tran
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given to the problems of poverty du
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TABLE 47.—Trends in the employmen
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enefit increases greater than the i
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(Table 45). Medicare is chiefly des
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Public assistance is specifically d
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Then, subtracting equation (4) from
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policies, and the tensions among co
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In the fourth quarter the dollar ro
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which include trade, grants and oth
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tarily by foreign central banks, ev
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ply of oil, and by domestic price c
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in the United States. In view of th
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TABLE 52.—U.S. balances on intern
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esult from changes in market value
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TABLE 54.—Major changes in capita
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attempt was made to agree on a code
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The official price of gold was rais
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system, these demand changes were a
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What Pressures Should Be Exerted on
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The composition of reserves among d
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prices of approximately the same or
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tained, they would probably be felt
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Reducing Nontariff BarriersIn order
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Structural problems. Agreements on
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arrangements which are designed to
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capital and the means of putting th
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Canada and four smaller countries u
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currencies have appreciated relativ
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Effective Changes in Other Currenci
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Activities of the Advisory Committe
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Appendix BREPORT TO THE PRESIDENT O
Page 241 and 242:
Report to the President on the Acti
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govern the exploitation of the reso
Page 245 and 246:
Manpower and Social Affairs Committ
Page 247 and 248:
Junior Staff EconomistsJames S. Fac
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Appendix CSTATISTICAL TABLES RELATI
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PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY:Pa
Page 255 and 256:
NATIONAL INCOME OR EXPENDITURETABLE
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TABLE C-2.—Gross national product
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TABLE C-3.—Implicit price deflato
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Page 263 and 264:
Page 265 and 266:
TABLE C—8.—Gross national produ
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TABLE C-10.—Gross national produc
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TABLE C-12.—Personal consumption
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TABLE C-14.—Relation of gross nat
Page 273 and 274: TABLE C—16.—Relation of nationa
Page 275 and 276: TABLE C-18.— Total and per capita
Page 277 and 278: TABLE C-19.—Sources of personal i
Page 279 and 280: TABLE C-21.—Saving by individuals
Page 281 and 282: POPULATION, EMPLOYMENT, WAGES, ANDP
Page 283 and 284: TABLE C-24.—Noninstitutional popu
Page 285 and 286: TABLE C-26.— Selected unemploymen
Page 287 and 288: TABLE C—28.—Unemployment insura
Page 289 and 290: TABLE C-29.—Wage and salary worke
Page 291 and 292: TABLE C-31.—.•Average weekly ea
Page 293 and 294: TABLE C-33.—Changes in output per
Page 295 and 296: TABLE C—35.—Industrial producti
Page 297 and 298: TABLE C-37.—Capacity utilization
Page 299 and 300: TABLE C—38.—New construction ac
Page 301 and 302: TABLE C-39.—New housing starts an
Page 303 and 304: TABLE C-41.—Sales and inventories
Page 305 and 306: TABLE C-43.—Manvjacturers* new an
Page 307 and 308: TABLE O45.—Consumer price indexes
Page 309 and 310: TABLE C—47.—Consumer price inde
Page 311 and 312: TABLE C~49.—Wholesale price index
Page 313 and 314: TABLE C-50.—Wholesale price index
Page 315 and 316: 194819491950.,1951195219531954Yearo
Page 317 and 318: TABLE C-53.—Commercial bank loans
Page 319 and 320: TABLE G-54.—Total funds raised in
Page 321 and 322: TABLE C-56.—Federal Reserve Bank
Page 323: TABLE C-58.—Bond yields and inter
Page 327 and 328: TABLE C-61.—Mortgage debt outstan
Page 329 and 330: TABLE C-63.—Net public and privat
Page 331 and 332: TABLE C-65.—Federal budget receip
Page 333 and 334: TABLE C-66.—Relation of the Feder
Page 335 and 336: TABLE C-68.—Receipts and expendit
Page 337 and 338: TABLE C-10.—State and local gover
Page 339 and 340: TABLE C-72.—Estimated ownership o
Page 341 and 342: CORPORATE PROFITS AND FINANCETABLE
Page 343 and 344: TABLE C-76.—Relation of profits a
Page 345 and 346: TABLE C-77.—Sources and uses of f
Page 347 and 348: TABLE C-79.—State and municipal a
Page 349 and 350: TABLE C-81.—Business formation an
Page 351 and 352: Year1929...1933...1939...1940...194
Page 353 and 354: TABLE C-85.—Indexes of prices rec
Page 355 and 356: TABLE G-87.—Comparative balance s
Page 357 and 358: TABLE G-88.— U.S. balance of paym
Page 359 and 360: TABLE C-90.— U.S. merchandise exp
Page 361 and 362: TABLE C-92.—International reserve
Page 363 and 364: TABLE G-94.—International investm
Page 365: TABLE C-96.—Consumer price indexe
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