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Comprehensive Report

GPO-DUELFERREPORT-3

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Weaponization<br />

Between the late 1980s and the start of Desert Storm<br />

in 1991, Iraq attempted to develop a range of systems<br />

for the dispersion of BW agent. In the dash to<br />

field viable BW weapons the workers in the program<br />

adapted robust bombs capable of mounting on many<br />

types of aircraft and warheads, including the Al<br />

Husayn missile. They also worked furiously to ready<br />

an aircraft spray system.<br />

• The scientists and engineers conducted weapons<br />

trials over some three years with both simulants and<br />

BW agents, on occasion using living animals as<br />

targets. Delivery systems tested included a<br />

helicopter-borne spray system, aerial bombs,<br />

artillery shells, multi-barrel rocket launchers, longrange<br />

missile warheads and an aircraft mounting of<br />

an adapted auxiliary fuel tank.<br />

• In the haste to prepare for the 1991 conflict,<br />

systems tried and tested with CW agents were<br />

preferred; the R-400 aerial bomb and the Al Husayn<br />

warhead, charged with anthrax, botulinum toxin<br />

and aflatoxin. Additionally, engineers at<br />

Al Muthanna rushed the auxiliary fuel tank,<br />

modified into a spray system, of the Mirage F1<br />

aircraft into service (see Figure 12).<br />

• Shortly after the passage of Security Council<br />

Resolution 687 in early April 1991, Iraqi leaders<br />

also decided to erase all traces of the offensive BW<br />

program.<br />

• By the autumn of 1991, Iraq probably accomplished<br />

both the destruction of the weapons stockpile and<br />

surviving evidence of the BW program.<br />

• Interviews conducted by ISG have produced a<br />

reasonably coherent picture of this unilateral<br />

destruction, with few conflicting details, although<br />

important questions about the disposition of bulk<br />

BW agent and bacterial reference strains remain.<br />

• ISG judges that the former Regime destroyed most<br />

of its hidden stockpile of BW weapons. A few<br />

pre-1991 weapons probably either escaped destruction<br />

in 1991 or suffered only partial damage. It is<br />

thus possible that a few more will be found in the<br />

months and years ahead.<br />

ISG bases its reservations on the following factors:<br />

• The security situation in Iraq has limited the<br />

physical verification of Iraq’s unilateral destruction<br />

claims—by excavating and counting weapon fragments,<br />

for example.<br />

• Prior to Desert Storm, Iraq had dedicated<br />

complimentary programs to develop spray technology<br />

that could effectively disseminate either<br />

CW or BW agents. These spray dispersal systems<br />

were intended for use in conjunction with various<br />

developmental unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV)<br />

programs. Initial testing was quickly beginning to<br />

show progress by the time of Desert Storm. Since<br />

that time however, while their desire for these<br />

systems remained, their developmental work shifted<br />

focus. Due to the attention of the UNSCOM<br />

inspectors, the developmental effort shifted away<br />

from the more controversial spray technologies<br />

toward completing the longer range UAV goals.<br />

• Many of the officials interviewed by ISG had<br />

previously lied–or told half-truths–to UNSCOM,<br />

and they may have lied to ISG as well, though ISG<br />

assesses that most were being open and truthful.<br />

• The continuing exploitation of Iraqi documents may<br />

produce evidence that contradicts the assertions of<br />

the Iraqi officials.<br />

• The efforts of the Iraqi Interim Government and<br />

Coalition forces may yet result in the discovery<br />

of unacknowledged WMD stockpiles left by the<br />

former Regime, though ISG judges this to be very<br />

unlikely.<br />

Biological<br />

ISG judges—with important reservations—that the<br />

former Regime clandestinely destroyed almost all of<br />

Iraq’s biological WMD and long-range missiles in<br />

1991. Numerous interviews with high-ranking Iraqi<br />

political figures, WMD scientists, and military and<br />

security officers indicate that after a brief period of<br />

concealment in 1991, Iraqi leaders decided to destroy<br />

Iraq’s undeclared weapons stockpile in secret.<br />

ISG has not discovered any evidence that Iraq has<br />

conducted research or trials dedicated to the dispersion<br />

of BW agents since declaring its offensive program<br />

in 1995. Iraq pursued some delivery systems<br />

projects until OIF that could have provided some<br />

BW utility and whose origins lay in the development<br />

of BW and CW dispersion systems.<br />

45

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