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Business Removing

Doing Business in 2005 -- Removing Obstacles to Growth

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56 DOING BUSINESS IN 2005<br />

In 2003 only 3 companies delayed their disclosure. South<br />

Africa recently implemented similar regulation that enables<br />

the stock exchange to suspend trading in companies<br />

that neglect disclosure. Again, the number of delinquents<br />

has dropped.<br />

No matter how good the disclosure, the legal protections,<br />

and the enforcement channels that government<br />

provides, they will amount to nothing unless someone<br />

uses them. Enter the institutional investors. The California’s<br />

Public Employees’ Retirement System (CalPERS),<br />

with $162 billion in assets, is the most active. Every year<br />

CalPERS publishes its assessment of investor protections<br />

in emerging markets. This year its analysis shows that<br />

India, Israel, Korea and Poland have the strongest investor<br />

protections. Egypt, Jordan, Turkey and Venezuela<br />

have the weakest. Using such rankings, CalPERS only invests<br />

in countries with good protection. 25<br />

TIAA-CREF, the second largest pension fund in the<br />

United States, and Franklin Templeton, a large mutual<br />

fund, are also active in promoting disclosure and better<br />

corporate governance. Others should follow. These large<br />

players, because of their financial clout, influence not<br />

only individual companies but also regulators, putting<br />

them in the best position to lobby for change.<br />

Why reform?<br />

The more corporate governance scandals are reported,<br />

the better. It means expropriators are getting caught.<br />

And that small investors can take comfort in being protected<br />

by disclosure laws and shareholder rights.<br />

If the rights of investors are not protected, having<br />

majority ownership in a business is the only way to eliminate<br />

expropriation. A majority investor has access to all<br />

the company documents and prevails in business decisions.<br />

But few entrepreneurs would agree to have their<br />

business controlled by someone else. Those who do have<br />

less incentive to work hard, as the payoffs from success<br />

accumulate to someone else. The result: entrepreneurship<br />

is suppressed and fewer profitable investment projects<br />

are undertaken.<br />

A recent study of private equity transactions finds<br />

this exact pattern: Both the entrepreneur and investors<br />

lose out. In countries with higher risk of expropriation,<br />

the size of investments is half that in countries with good<br />

investor protections. Two deals take place for every 3<br />

deals in countries that protect investors. And in the risky<br />

countries investors acquire majority stakes, limiting their<br />

opportunity for diversification. 26<br />

This pattern also holds down the size of stock markets.<br />

When small investors see high expropriation risk,<br />

they do not invest. The market stays underdeveloped,<br />

with low trading volume (figure 7.7). 27 Instead, they may<br />

put their money in the banking sector, invest in real estate,<br />

or transfer it abroad. Either way, it does not reach<br />

profitable businesses in need of long-term financing.<br />

Better disclosure can change this. The United States securities<br />

legislation of 1933–34 increased financial disclosure<br />

and made auditors liable for mistakes—resulting in<br />

a significantly larger number of listings. 28 Today, if Russia<br />

were to adopt the more stringent disclosure regulations<br />

of Thailand, analysis suggests that its stock market<br />

capitalization would increase by up to 60%, and the volume<br />

of trades by 40%. 29<br />

FIGURE 7.7<br />

More disclosure, more access to equity markets and more turnover<br />

Perceived access to equity<br />

Turnover of stocks traded<br />

High<br />

High<br />

Low<br />

Low<br />

Least disclosure<br />

Most disclosure<br />

Countries ranked by disclosure index, quintiles<br />

Note: Analysis controls for income per capita. Relationships are significant at the 1% level.<br />

Source: Doing <strong>Business</strong> database, WEF (2004), World Bank (2004a).<br />

Least disclosure<br />

Most disclosure<br />

Countries ranked by disclosure index, quintiles

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