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FIGURE 7 IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON CROP YIELDS, AREA, PRODUCTION, PRICES AND TRADE BY 2050 AT THE GLOBAL LEVEL PERCENTAGE CHANGE 20 15 10 East Asia and the Pacific 5 Europe Yields 0 Former Soviet Union Area Latin -5 America and the Caribbean Production Prices Trade -10Middle East and North Africa North SSP1–RCP America 4.5 SSP1–RCP 6.0 SSP3–RCP 8.5 Notes: : Crops included are coarse grains, South rice, wheat, Asia oilseeds and sugar. See Box 7 for an explanation of RCPs and SSPs. SOURCE: Wiebe et al., 2015. Sub-Saharan Africa World FIGURE 8 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON POPULATION NUMBER AT RISK OF PEOPLE OF (MILLIONS) HUNGER IN 2050, BY REGION 2010 2050-NoCC 2050-CC East Asia and the Pacific Europe Former Soviet Union Latin America and the Caribbean Notes: IMPACT model results for Middle East and North Africa SSP2 and RCP 8.5. See Box 7 North America for an explanation of RCPs and SSPs. Population at risk of hunger is South Asia estimated as a function of the Sub-Saharan Africa availability of food energy relative to requirements. World SOURCE: Wiebe et al., 2015. 110 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 100 NUMBER OF PEOPLE (MILLIONS) 90 FIGURE 9 802010 POPULATION AT RISK 702050-NoCC OF HUNGER, WITH AND WITHOUT CLIMATE CHANGE CC range 602050-CC 50 CC median 40 NoCC 30 110 2010 2015 100 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Notes: Range for climate change 90 (CC) is represented by RCPs 2.6, 80 4.5, 6.0, and 8.5; simulation results assume a middle-of-the 70 road socio-economic pathway 60 (SSP 2). See Box 7 for an CC range 50 explanation of RCPs and SSPs. CC median SOURCE: Simulations using IFPRI’s 40 IMPACT model, as cited NoCC by De 30 Pinto, Thomas and Wiebe (2016). 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 INDEX (2010 =100) INDEX (2010 =100) | 36 |
FIGURE 10 FOOD INSECURITY AND CLIMATE CHANGE VULNERABILITY: PRESENT DAY, WORST CASE AND BEST CASE SCENARIOS PRESENT DAY 2050: WORST CASE SCENARIO 2050: BEST CASE SCENARIO Vulnerability to food insecurity SOURCE: Met Office Hadley Centre and WFP, 2015. Low High | 37 |
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2016 THE STATE OF FOOD AND AGRICULT
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ISSN 0081-4539 2016 THE STATE OF FO
Page 5 and 6: NOTES BORIA VOLOREIUM, SIT AUT QUIS
Page 7 and 8: FOREWORD Following last year’s hi
Page 9 and 10: productivity in regions where peopl
Page 11 and 12: Statistical annex The annex was pre
Page 13 and 14: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY THE WORLD FACES A
Page 15 and 16: productivity improvements. However,
Page 17 and 18: emissions of greenhouse gases. The
Page 19: flows. This approach would allow fa
Page 22 and 23: NAROK, KENYA Maasai pastoralists gr
Page 24 and 25: CHAPTER 1 HUNGER, POVERTY AND CLIMA
Page 32 and 33: TABLE 1 CLIMATE IMPACTS ON SELECTED
Page 37 and 38: CHAPTER 2 CLIMATE, AGRICULTURE AND
Page 39 and 40: KEY MESSAGES 1 UNTIL ABOUT 2030, GL
Page 41 and 42: BOX 5 SUMMARY OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMP
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Page 45 and 46: SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA NEAR EAST AND NO
Page 47 and 48: FIGURE 5 PROJECTED CHANGES IN CROP
Page 51 and 52: BOX 7 PROJECTING CLIMATE CHANGE: RC
Page 53 and 54: TABLE 3 NUMBER OF PEOPLE LIVING IN
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Page 64 and 65: BYUMBA, RWANDA A tea plantation in
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THE STATE OF FOOD AND AGRICULTURE 2
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RUSUMO, UNITED REPUBLIC OF TANZANIA
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CHAPTER 5 THE WAY FORWARD: REALIGNI
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BOX 21 THE AGRICULTURE SECTORS AND
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CHAPTER 6 FINANCING THE WAY FORWARD
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KEY MESSAGES 1 INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC
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BOX 25 DEDICATED CLIMATE FUNDS AND
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BOX 26 TOWARDS SUSTAINABILITY AND R
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BOX 27 INTEGRATING CLIMATE CHANGE I
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COVERAGE OF INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CL
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STATISTICAL ANNEX NOTES ON THE ANNE
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STATISTICAL ANNEX Emissions from cu
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TABLE A.1 (CONTINUED) REFERENCE GEO
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TABLE A.2 NET EMISSIONS AND REMOVAL
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TABLE A.2 (CONTINUED) EMISSIONS FRO
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TABLE A.2 (CONTINUED) EMISSIONS FRO
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TABLE A.2 (CONTINUED) Svalbard and
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TABLE A.3 (CONTINUED) BURNING CROP
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REFERENCES CHAPTER 1 Alexandratos,
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REFERENCES Antle, J.M. & Crissman,
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REFERENCES Lancelot, R., de La Rocq
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REFERENCES Seo, N. & Mendelsohn, R.
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REFERENCES Burney J.A., Davis S.J.
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REFERENCES Holmes, R. & Jones, N. 2
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REFERENCES Rasmussen, L. V., Mertz,
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REFERENCES EC (European Commission)
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REFERENCES Mottet, A., Henderson, B
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REFERENCES Arslan, A., McCarthy, N.
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REFERENCES Government of Thailand.
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REFERENCES Moriondo, M., Bindi, M.,
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SPECIAL CHAPTERS OF THE STATE OF FO
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2016 THE STATE OF FOOD AND AGRICULT
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AGRICULTURE

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