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3. Results of the Multimodal transport market Study (MTMS)<br />

3.1 Introduction<br />

Despite the global context of relatively weak economic growth in the EU over the 2010 –<br />

2014 period, there is no major element to reconsider the overall conclusions of the 2014<br />

MTMS and its long-t erm forecasts for 2030.<br />

First of all, in the absence of a new complete full set of origin/destination data at<br />

European level (such as the ETIS database), the base year for projection remains 2010<br />

since more recent data are available for ports only. From this point of view, the traffic of<br />

the ports of the <strong>Mediterranean</strong> Corridor remains dynamic , with an average growth of<br />

2.2% per year between 2010 and 2014 for global tonnage and 5% per year for<br />

containers.<br />

Furthermore, recent studies at Corridor level (like the CLYMA project study or the RFC6<br />

study) also arrive at conclusions that are in line with those of the MTMS. For example,<br />

the potential rail freight market share at the French-Spanish border is estimated 21%<br />

against road for 2030 in the CLYMA study, very close to the figure of the <strong>Mediterranean</strong><br />

Corridor MTMS.<br />

Most importantly, the mentioned studies agree on the general conditions to generate<br />

modal shift from road to rail, insisting on the necessity of attractive train paths (mostly in<br />

t erms of reliability and precise schedules) and reasonable operating costs from door to<br />

door, thus clearly underlining the need for improving interoperability along the whole<br />

Corridor, including the last mile to main traffic generators.<br />

The short-sea maritime dimension of the Corridor, currently mainly consisting in MoS<br />

services between Spanish, French and Italian ports on the Tyrrhenian side, will be<br />

tackled and further analysed in the framework of the MoS horizontal Corridor, especially<br />

with a study recently launched by DG Move (“Study on support measures for the<br />

implementation of the TEN-T core network related to sea ports, inland ports and inland<br />

waterway transport”).<br />

The MTMS<br />

The Corridor Study, which has been published end of 2014 6 contains a detailed transport<br />

market Study (TMS) (cf. chapter 4.2.2) which analyses the transport flows along the<br />

Corridor by assessing the capacity and traffic flows on the respective parts of the<br />

infrastructure.<br />

The results of the TMS presented in this chapter have been inserted in the Work Plan in<br />

order to illustrate the traffic flows, demands and future prospects. These results will be<br />

used and further deepened in the on-going works to be undertaken in the 2015-2017<br />

Study.<br />

6 http://ec.europa.eu/transport/themes/infrastructure/ten-t-guidelines/Corridors/Corridorstudies_en.htm<br />

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