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(based on the ground temperature record at 10 m depth). Nevertheless, the degradation of the<br />

lithalsa was accelerated in recent years through subsurface warming by heat carrying<br />

groundwater flow across the surrounding unfrozen terrain. Indeed, the collapsing half of the<br />

lithalsa is on the upstream side of the regional slope and surface water flow, a pattern that is<br />

apparent also in other degrading palsas and lithalsas in the same wetland.<br />

A numerical model simulating the current thermal degradation of this lithalsa will be<br />

presented with an estimate on the relative amounts of heat carried into the lithalsa by heat<br />

conduction and, eventually, heat advection. It will be argued that warming of the permafrost<br />

core by heat carrying groundwater might well be the dominant process responsible for<br />

degradation of shallow permafrost layers.<br />

Key words: Lithalsa, permafrost degradation, numerical model<br />

126<br />

Negative Consequences of <strong>Permafrost</strong> Degradation<br />

Grebenets V., Kraev G. Nagornov D.<br />

(Lomonosov Moscow State University, Geographical faculty, Department of Cryolithology and Glaciology)<br />

Abstract: <strong>Permafrost</strong> occupies about a fifth part of Earth’s surface. Modern observations assess<br />

permafrost condition as unstable due to the global climate warming and human impact. A result<br />

of climate change in fact influences the cryosphere elements: permafrost, glaciers, marine ice.<br />

The influence is taken exaggerated or understated very often as positive and negative parts of it<br />

are discussed. The oldest permafrost is dated 3 million years. Climate has been changing<br />

multiple times until our days. The presence of humanity with the economical demands on the<br />

environment corrects the natural processes. At first human just explored the surrounding<br />

environment extensively in agricultural matters like natives do so today and the centuries before.<br />

As society develop the more areas become used in any purposes. Human impact on this areas<br />

exists anyway, was it a survey information collection or mining or factory work. An observation<br />

of cryosphere response to a clear climate change nowadays is possible only on always<br />

unsuitable for humanity localized areas such as high-mountainous ones. Mountain permafrost<br />

behavior is very complicated depending on multiple factors, basically climatic and geographical<br />

ones. Though the most convenient and more observed cryospheric element for clear climate<br />

change is glacier response.<br />

The amount of urbanized in various extent sites in cryolithozone growing for centuries,<br />

reached maximum during industrialization era and stabilized last decades. <strong>Permafrost</strong><br />

investigations at number of the sites are held. It is difficult to separate local microclimatic<br />

changes from urbanized center work energy and mass incomes into atmosphere at any of these<br />

sites. However the biosphere separates lithosphere from atmosphere. That means any changes<br />

of landscape lead to changes in permafrost conditions with the impact of climatic change on or<br />

without it.<br />

Self-restoration of cryolithozone landscapes leads to not identical environment. So on the<br />

route of climate influence on permafrost the landscape stays whether it anthropogenic modified<br />

or not. Results are different. <strong>Permafrost</strong> condition change on sites of anthropogenic landscape

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