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140<br />

Temporal and Spatial Changes of <strong>Permafrost</strong> Distribution in the Tien<br />

Shan Mountains During the Last Millennia<br />

Sergei Marchenko and Vladimir Romanovsky<br />

(Geophysical Institute, University of Alaska Fairbanks, USA)<br />

Abstract: During the Late Holocene there were numerous periods of warming and cooling in<br />

the Tien Shan Mountains, Central Asia. The dynamics of air and ground surface temperature<br />

changes that occurred in the Tien Shan at an altitude of 2500 m a.s.l. during the last millennium<br />

has been obtained by correlating the data from radiocarbon dates, tree-rings indexes, and<br />

limnological, archeological and historical data. During the last millennium, the most significant<br />

periods of cooling occurred during 1150-1350 and 1600-1850.<br />

Ground temperatures and permafrost area in the Northern Tien Shan have been subject to<br />

repeated fluctuations during the Late Holocene. During the maximum warming, the ground<br />

temperatures rose by approximately 1.0-1.5°C. The altitude oscillations of the permafrost lower<br />

boundary had amplitude of about 200-300 m. The result of numerical simulations shows that<br />

the permafrost formation at an altitude of 2500 m a.s.l. has developed at least two times<br />

during the last millennia.<br />

At the lover boundary of permafrost distribution the permafrost temperatures now are<br />

close to 0°C and at some sites permafrost degradation has already started. Analysis of measured<br />

active layer and permafrost temperatures coupled with numerical thermal modeling (permafrost<br />

temperature reanalysis) shows that most of the recently thawed permafrost was formed during<br />

the Little Ice Age. Since the second part of the nineteenth century, permafrost in the Tien Shan<br />

Mountains is experiencing a warming period, which continues up to the present. The geothermal<br />

observations and modeling indicate that in the Tien Shan more favorable conditions of<br />

permafrost occurrences and preservation exist in the coarse blocky material where the mean<br />

annual temperatures are typically 2.5-4.0°С colder than the mean annual air temperature.<br />

Key words: Climate variability, alpine permafrost, modeling, Tien Shan.<br />

Natural Processes Trend in Russian <strong>Permafrost</strong> Regions<br />

Stanislav V. Maximovich<br />

(Institute of Physicochemical and Biological Problems in Soil Science, RAS,<br />

Pushchino, Russia, e-mail: svmax@ibbp.psn.ru)<br />

Abstract: The author of this report believes that naturally and anthropogenic disturbed habitats<br />

(waterside slopes, baidzherakhs, quarries, steep mountain slopes with mobile grounds, ground<br />

roads, open cuts, industrial workings, cutting slopes, embankment and dirt roads, and roadsides,<br />

streets of populated localities, etc.) are the most convenient objects for studying trend of recent<br />

natural processes – successions and fluctuations of vegetation, soil forming processes, etc.<br />

Researches have been conducted in Yakutia, in northern territories of Zabaikalye and Amur<br />

regions, near Vorkuta (Komi Republic), Labytnangi – Salechard (Yamal region), Khatanga<br />

(Taymyr region). These are zones of tundra, forest-tundra and taiga. Disturbed habitats of these

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