Permafrost
Permafrost
Permafrost
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• the territories where the permafrost is absent because of low ground humidity<br />
(permafrost forms after inevitable increasing of ground humidity by engineering of such sites;<br />
this process is accompanied by formation of icings and pingos).<br />
Key words: permafrost extent, cryoindicators, small-scale mapping of permafrost.<br />
Local-level processes associated with progressive permafrost thaw as<br />
examplified by data from a CALM grid<br />
Galina Mazhitova and Dmitry Kaverin<br />
(Komi Science Centre, Russian Academy of Sciences, Syktyvkar, Russia)<br />
Abstract: Active layer depths in the permafrost area of the European Russian North have been<br />
demonstrating clear increasing trend during the recent three decade covered with geological and<br />
CALM (Circumpolar Active Layer Monitoring) records (Oberman & Mazhitova, 2001;<br />
Mazhitova et al., 2004). In a non-linear way, the trend corresponds to climate dynamics during<br />
the same period, first of all, to the increasing trend in thaw degree days in air.<br />
Local-level processes related to the progressive permafrost thaw are often<br />
landscape-specific and not yet well studied. CALM design allows for statistical studies on<br />
these processes with further upscaling to the regional level. The paper discusses such studies<br />
examplified with data from the 100x100 m Ayach-Yakha CALM grid located in the<br />
discontinuous permafrost zone of the European Russian North (67 0 35.4'N; 64 0 09.9'E). The<br />
deposit is silty loam, vegetation is dwarf shrub/moss tundra, and frost boils occupy 3% of the<br />
site area.<br />
General Linear Model analyses were used to find landscape predictors of thaw depth and<br />
to assess their relative input to thaw variability. Examined factors were the conventionally<br />
defined “macro-“ and “meso-“ topography (within-grid ranges of 5 m and 1.1 m, respectively),<br />
volumetric soil water content (14-73%), snow depth (0-70 cm), vegetation (dwarf shrub/moss<br />
class and tall shrub class) and soil organic layer thickness (5-23 cm). In different years the<br />
examined factors explained in total 5-35% of the end-of-season thaw depth variability. Effect of<br />
organic layer was most sensitive to thaw depth showing logarithmical trend (R 2 =0.18).<br />
Long-term increase in thaw depth thickness in permafrost regions causes surface<br />
subsidence, which is one of potentially hazardous consequences of climate warming. In the<br />
termokarst-prone terrain types, i.e. those with high ice content in permafrost, subsidence<br />
combined with other processes can lead to catastrophic changes of surface topography. Terrains<br />
with smaller ice contents in the ground still experience subsidence. Subsidence measurements<br />
were conducted annually in 1999-2005 at the end of warm season. Site-averaged retreat of<br />
permafrost table totaled 33 cm during this period. Accompanied with site-averaged subsidence<br />
of 17 cm, it resulted in a 16 cm increase in active layer depth. Subsidence (or heave at few grid<br />
nodes) values were well correlated with node-specific amounts of downward or upward shift of<br />
the permafrost table (R 2 =0.76). Normalized subsidence index (a ratio of subsidence to<br />
permafrost retreat) approximating the ice content in the ground averaged 0.52 for the<br />
observation period. It was found that the differential subsidence changed the site surface<br />
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