03.04.2017 Views

PUTIN’S RESET

Putins_Reset

Putins_Reset

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

claim that Russian weapons used in Syria impress potential customers while Russia<br />

avidly cites Syria as a testimonial for its weapons. 23 Putin has intimated that one goal<br />

of the operation was to test and display capabilities and certainly certain operations,<br />

e.g. firing Kalibr’ cruise missiles from Caspian Sea-based frigates on Putin’s birthday<br />

in 2015 aim to broadcast Russian capabilities to both potential buyers and adversaries<br />

alike. 24<br />

Finally, some Russian objectives have either become more important or<br />

emerged as a result of the fighting, particularly the determination to humiliate Turkey<br />

after it shot down a Russian fighter, and the desire to aggravate European disunity by<br />

a bombing campaign that would generate mass flight of refugees to an overburdened<br />

Europe. 25 An August 2016 Putin-Erdogan summit illustrated the former point as<br />

Putin will only lift economic sanctions gradually upon Turkey to force it to change its<br />

policies. 26 Since political objectives often evolve with the course of combat operations,<br />

this is not surprising. But it is a sign of many analysts’ strategic failings that they<br />

claim that such adaptations signify Russian failure rather than realizing that they<br />

indicate an unexpected flexibility and determination, i.e. attributes of strength, not<br />

weakness.<br />

RUSSIAN OBJECTIVES<br />

As many writers and the Russian government have noted, internal and external<br />

security and the means of achieving them are fused in Putin’s Russia. Since the<br />

National Security Strategy of 2009, virtually all areas of Russian social and cultural life<br />

have been “securitized.” 27 As the state grows increasingly more concerned about<br />

foreign ideas and influences, it has assumed ever more responsibility for steering the<br />

entire socio-economic-cultural and political lives of the Russian people.<br />

Concurrently, there is an ongoing mobilization of the entire Russian state for<br />

purposes of permanent, albeit mainly non-military, conflict with foreign<br />

governments. 28 This securitization and mobilization paradigm provides the context<br />

for understanding Moscow’s Syrian gambit. As Moscow has frequently claimed, its<br />

perspective on the Middle East is closely tied to threats to the state’s domestic<br />

stability, particularly threats from Islamic terrorism. 29<br />

This commingling of internal and external threats is part of the officially<br />

sanctioned approach to national security and foreign policy in Putin’s Russia. As the<br />

2008 Foreign Policy Concept of the Russian Federation states: “Differences between<br />

domestic and external means of ensuring national interests and security are gradually<br />

26

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!