Hotel & Tourism SMARTreport #35
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ASIA PACIFIC<br />
AIR TRANSPORT<br />
APAC LEADS AIR PASSENGER<br />
IATA predicts Asia Pacific will be the world’s fastest growing<br />
Asia Pacific today represented some 1.3 billion passengers last year - 33% of all air<br />
passengers in the world. And this number could reach 50% within 20 years according<br />
to the latest forecasts by the International Air Transport Association.<br />
The International Air<br />
Transport Association<br />
(IATA) continues to see Asia<br />
Pacific as a major engine<br />
to passenger growth. The<br />
association forecasts 7.2<br />
billion passengers by 2035,<br />
compared to an expected<br />
4.1 billion air travellers this<br />
year. This is based on a 3.7%<br />
annual Compound Average<br />
Growth Rate (CAGR) noted<br />
in the release of the latest<br />
update to the association’s<br />
20-Year air passenger<br />
forecast.<br />
The passenger growth<br />
forecast thus confirms that<br />
the biggest driver of demand<br />
will be the Asia-Pacific<br />
region. Asia Pacific is already<br />
the largest world market<br />
representing close to 33%<br />
of all passengers (18.2% of<br />
all international passengers<br />
traffic in second position<br />
after Europe). The continent<br />
is expected to be the source<br />
of more than half the new<br />
passengers over the next 20<br />
years.<br />
China will displace the<br />
US as the world’s largest<br />
aviation market (defined by<br />
traffic to, from and within<br />
the country) around 2029.<br />
India will displace the UK for<br />
third place in 2026, while<br />
Indonesia enters the top ten<br />
at the expense of Italy.<br />
Routes to, from and within<br />
Asia-Pacific will see an extra<br />
1.8 billion annual passengers<br />
by 2035, for an overall<br />
market size of 3.1 billion. Its<br />
annual average growth rate<br />
of 4.7% will be the secondhighest,<br />
behind the Middle<br />
East. For 2017, passenger<br />
traffic in Asia Pacific is<br />
likely to be primarily driven<br />
by booming passengers<br />
demand on domestic routes<br />
from China and India.<br />
Both countries have been<br />
seeing double-digit growth<br />
SINCE THE<br />
BEGINNING OF<br />
THE YEAR, THE<br />
FASTEST GROWING<br />
SEGMENT OUT OF<br />
ASIA HAS BEEN<br />
ROUTES TO EUROPE<br />
WITH REVENUE/<br />
PASSENGERS/KM<br />
UP BY 11.7% ON<br />
AVERAGE BETWEEN<br />
FEBRUARY AND<br />
APRIL 2017.<br />
REVENUE<br />
PASSENGER/KM<br />
FOR ASIA<br />
PACIFIC<br />
% change to previous year 2016 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17<br />
Asia Pacific 9.0 6.9 10.3 10.7<br />
World 6.3 5.1 6.5 10.7<br />
India Domestic 23.3 17.0 14.9 15.3<br />
Japan Domestic 0.7 1.9 8.1 6.6<br />
Australia Domestic 1.6 2.9 0.7 2.1<br />
Asia-Europe 1.8 9.5 11.2 14.5<br />
Within Asia 7.3 4.1 7.0 7.1<br />
Asia-North America 6.4 3.1 6.4 8.6<br />
Asia-Middle East 9.0 5.7 4.5 10.0<br />
SouthWest Pacific- North/South America 15.5 10.4 14.2 12.3<br />
Asia-Africa 6.8 1.3 3.5 4.7<br />
Source: IATA Statistics<br />
Note: historical data may be subject to revision