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Hotel & Tourism SMARTreport #35

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ASIA PACIFIC<br />

AIR TRANSPORT<br />

APAC LEADS AIR PASSENGER<br />

IATA predicts Asia Pacific will be the world’s fastest growing<br />

Asia Pacific today represented some 1.3 billion passengers last year - 33% of all air<br />

passengers in the world. And this number could reach 50% within 20 years according<br />

to the latest forecasts by the International Air Transport Association.<br />

The International Air<br />

Transport Association<br />

(IATA) continues to see Asia<br />

Pacific as a major engine<br />

to passenger growth. The<br />

association forecasts 7.2<br />

billion passengers by 2035,<br />

compared to an expected<br />

4.1 billion air travellers this<br />

year. This is based on a 3.7%<br />

annual Compound Average<br />

Growth Rate (CAGR) noted<br />

in the release of the latest<br />

update to the association’s<br />

20-Year air passenger<br />

forecast.<br />

The passenger growth<br />

forecast thus confirms that<br />

the biggest driver of demand<br />

will be the Asia-Pacific<br />

region. Asia Pacific is already<br />

the largest world market<br />

representing close to 33%<br />

of all passengers (18.2% of<br />

all international passengers<br />

traffic in second position<br />

after Europe). The continent<br />

is expected to be the source<br />

of more than half the new<br />

passengers over the next 20<br />

years.<br />

China will displace the<br />

US as the world’s largest<br />

aviation market (defined by<br />

traffic to, from and within<br />

the country) around 2029.<br />

India will displace the UK for<br />

third place in 2026, while<br />

Indonesia enters the top ten<br />

at the expense of Italy.<br />

Routes to, from and within<br />

Asia-Pacific will see an extra<br />

1.8 billion annual passengers<br />

by 2035, for an overall<br />

market size of 3.1 billion. Its<br />

annual average growth rate<br />

of 4.7% will be the secondhighest,<br />

behind the Middle<br />

East. For 2017, passenger<br />

traffic in Asia Pacific is<br />

likely to be primarily driven<br />

by booming passengers<br />

demand on domestic routes<br />

from China and India.<br />

Both countries have been<br />

seeing double-digit growth<br />

SINCE THE<br />

BEGINNING OF<br />

THE YEAR, THE<br />

FASTEST GROWING<br />

SEGMENT OUT OF<br />

ASIA HAS BEEN<br />

ROUTES TO EUROPE<br />

WITH REVENUE/<br />

PASSENGERS/KM<br />

UP BY 11.7% ON<br />

AVERAGE BETWEEN<br />

FEBRUARY AND<br />

APRIL 2017.<br />

REVENUE<br />

PASSENGER/KM<br />

FOR ASIA<br />

PACIFIC<br />

% change to previous year 2016 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17<br />

Asia Pacific 9.0 6.9 10.3 10.7<br />

World 6.3 5.1 6.5 10.7<br />

India Domestic 23.3 17.0 14.9 15.3<br />

Japan Domestic 0.7 1.9 8.1 6.6<br />

Australia Domestic 1.6 2.9 0.7 2.1<br />

Asia-Europe 1.8 9.5 11.2 14.5<br />

Within Asia 7.3 4.1 7.0 7.1<br />

Asia-North America 6.4 3.1 6.4 8.6<br />

Asia-Middle East 9.0 5.7 4.5 10.0<br />

SouthWest Pacific- North/South America 15.5 10.4 14.2 12.3<br />

Asia-Africa 6.8 1.3 3.5 4.7<br />

Source: IATA Statistics<br />

Note: historical data may be subject to revision

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