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Percentage increase in per capita Real GDP<br />

Country from 1970 to 2010<br />

China 846%<br />

India 290%<br />

U.S. 102%<br />

Indonesia 386%<br />

Brazil 116%<br />

Pakistan 139%<br />

Other nations that achieved large increases in per capita Real GDP between 1970 and 2010<br />

included Bhutan (275%), Botswana (599%), Bulgaria (273%), Cyprus (211%), Dominican<br />

Republic (263%), Egypt (315%), Equatorial Guinea (1795%), Hong Kong (460%), Ireland (219%),<br />

Laos (368%), Luxembourg (227%), Macao (755%), Malaysia (484%), Maldives (450%), Malta<br />

(485%), Mauritius (398%), Oman (266%), Romania (218%), Singapore (674%), South Korea<br />

(848%), Sri Lanka (363%), Taiwan (807%), Thailand (415%), and Vietnam (407%).<br />

The economic growth led to decreasing world poverty. According to the World Bank, the<br />

percentage of the developing world’s population living in extreme poverty (income of less than<br />

$1.25 per day, 2005 base) fell from 52% in 1981 to 43% in 1990 and then to 21% in 2010. The<br />

percentage living in extreme poverty in China fell from 26% in 2007 to 6% in 2012.<br />

Economic Growth in the U.S.<br />

The table below illustrates that the U.S. achieved both absolute economic growth and per capita<br />

economic growth in every decade over the period from 1930 to 2010. The information is from the<br />

Bureau of Economic Analysis.<br />

Real GDP Population Per Capita Percentage<br />

Year (Base Year 2009) (Rounded) Real GDP Increase<br />

1930 $967 billion 123 million $7,847 X<br />

1940 1,266 billion 132 million 9,583 22%<br />

1950 2,184 billion 152 million 14,398 50%<br />

1960 3,109 billion 181 million 17,198 19%<br />

1970 4,722 billion 205 million 23,024 34%<br />

1980 6,450 billion 228 million 28,325 23%<br />

1990 8,955 billion 250 million 35,794 26%<br />

2000 12,560 billion 282 million 44,475 24%<br />

2010 14,784 billion 310 million 47,724 7%<br />

Determinants of Economic Growth<br />

Absolute economic growth is defined as an increase in Real GDP. A country may be able to<br />

increase its Real GDP in the short run by moving from a point inside its production possibilities<br />

frontier to a point on its production possibilities frontier. But in the long run, a country must shift its<br />

production possibilities frontier outward (increase its productive capacity) in order to achieve<br />

absolute economic growth. The factors that determine a country’s ability to increase its productive<br />

capacity are the determinants of economic growth:<br />

1. Natural resources. Having abundant natural resources is probably helpful to achieving<br />

economic growth. U.S. economic growth has almost certainly been enhanced by the<br />

abundance of fertile farmland, temperate weather, fossil fuels, minerals, etc. But some<br />

countries with abundant natural resources (e.g. Nigeria) have achieved relatively little<br />

economic growth. And some countries with few natural resources (e.g. Singapore) have<br />

achieved a great deal of economic growth. Some economists argue that abundant natural<br />

resources may be a hindrance to economic growth. See an appendix at the end of the chapter<br />

for a discussion of “the resource curse”.<br />

FOR REVIEW ONLY - NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION<br />

Economic Growth 14 - 2

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