Fibonacci and Gann Applications in Financial Markets
Fibonacci and Gann Applications in Financial Markets
Fibonacci and Gann Applications in Financial Markets
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11<br />
Conclusion<br />
The application of <strong>Fibonacci</strong> ratios to f<strong>in</strong>ancial market analysis has a noble past.<br />
Although the use of <strong>Fibonacci</strong> retracements, fans <strong>and</strong> arcs <strong>in</strong> analysis has from time<br />
to time fallen <strong>in</strong> <strong>and</strong> out of favour, particular application of <strong>Fibonacci</strong> analysis<br />
rema<strong>in</strong>s a strong tool <strong>in</strong> the arsenal of analysts. Some f<strong>in</strong>ancial <strong>and</strong> technical analysts<br />
seem to be over-reliant on techniques that require comput<strong>in</strong>g power to deliver,<br />
for example, RSIs <strong>and</strong> Stochastics <strong>and</strong> other less famous momentum <strong>in</strong>dicators. As<br />
mentioned before, this is a great help <strong>in</strong> the analysis of a chart, but the primary goal<br />
of a technical analyst has to be on the prediction of price objectives with a reasonable<br />
degree of confidence, <strong>and</strong> tools utiliz<strong>in</strong>g price moves, such as pattern recognition<br />
<strong>and</strong> retracements, should be constantly used <strong>and</strong> should not be overlooked.<br />
Favourite techniques come <strong>and</strong> go as do fashionable ways of look<strong>in</strong>g at price<br />
moves. However, seasoned technical analysts will take what they can from new<br />
techniques <strong>and</strong>, <strong>in</strong>stead of discard<strong>in</strong>g old techniques <strong>in</strong> favour of the new, will adapt<br />
<strong>and</strong> adopt new methods <strong>and</strong> use them <strong>in</strong> conjunction with more traditional techniques.<br />
I have known analysts who have no <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong> traditional methods of technical<br />
analysis but who concentrate on Market Profile or C<strong>and</strong>lestick analysis to<br />
the exclusion of other analysis tools. While there is some success <strong>in</strong> this method, I<br />
believe that to construct an <strong>in</strong>vestment argument from only one technique is dangerous<br />
<strong>in</strong> the extreme <strong>and</strong> it is better to use several techniques together, as seen <strong>in</strong><br />
Chapter 8 on ‘Total Analysis’ <strong>in</strong> order to get a clear <strong>and</strong> confident outlook.<br />
With the application to Elliott wave theory (EWT) <strong>and</strong> the acceptance of the work<br />
of R.N. Elliott, <strong>Fibonacci</strong> levels ga<strong>in</strong>ed more importance <strong>and</strong> resurgence <strong>in</strong> use dur<strong>in</strong>g<br />
the last twenty years or so <strong>and</strong> rema<strong>in</strong> key elements of EWT itself. However, this<br />
has seen the traditional use <strong>and</strong> application of <strong>Fibonacci</strong> analysis slip out of the<br />
forefront of tools available to the technician, as the association with EWT has suggested<br />
that it is only appropriate for use <strong>in</strong> that analysis tool, <strong>and</strong> EWT is often seen<br />
as the preserve of the few. This is of course wrong, as <strong>Fibonacci</strong> retracements, arcs